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MLS · Regular Season - 29 October 15, 2026 01:30 Audi Field, Washington
DC United
#13 · 33 pts
2 – 1
Final score
New York Red Bulls
#9 · 39 pts
Tai Baribo 5' (pen.)
Silvan Hefti (ast. Tai Baribo) 45'+5
71' (ast. Emil Forsberg) Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave DC United a 47% win probability (draw 21%, New York Red Bulls 31%). The final result was DC United 2–1 New York Red Bulls. In 1 previous meetings, DC United have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for New York Red Bulls.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
24
3
Shots on target
6
1.31
Actual xG
2.81
5
Saves
1
26%
Possession
74%
3
Corners
11
27
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Tai Baribo (pen.)
5'
19'
Devin Padelford
Lucas Bartlett
22'
Jackson Hopkins
29'
⚽Silvan Hefti · ast. Tai Baribo
45'+5
↕ Jackson Hopkins / João Gabriel Martins Peglow
56'
↕ Oscar Avilez / Jared Stroud
56'
57'
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty / Justin Che ↕
57'
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting / Cade Cowell ↕
57'
Emil Forsberg / Adri Mehmeti ↕
57'
Cameron Harper / Jorge Ruvalcaba ↕
67'
Dylan Nealis
Lucas Bartlett
68'
↕ Brandon Servania / Sean Nealis
70'
71'
ast. Emil Forsberg · Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting⚽
73'
Ronald Donkor
78'
Sekou Kone / Ronald Donkor ↕
Pre-match prediction
47.02%
DC ←
21.31%
X
31.67%
New
we assigned to the actual result (DC United) 47.02% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
DC
1.98
1.31
-0.67
New
1.63
2.81
+1.18
New York Red Bulls dominated by xG (2.81 vs 1.31). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 31 70
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 31 55
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 31 55
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 31 51
5 Charlotte Charlotte 31 47
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 31 46
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 31 42
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 31 42
9 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 31 39
10 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 31 38
11 Toronto FC Toronto FC 31 36
12 New York City FC New York City FC 31 35
13 DC United DC United 31 33
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 31 30
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 31 25
Lineups
DC United DC United 4-3-3
1 S. Johnson S. Johnson G 6.74
6 K. Kurokawa K. Kurokawa D 6.02
15 K. Rowles K. Rowles D 6.10
3 L. Bartlett L. Bartlett 68' D 5.56
5 S. Hefti S. Hefti 1 ⚽ D 7.45
23 B. Servania B. Servania 70' M 6.27
21 A. Dozzell A. Dozzell M 6.48
2 K. Nono K. Nono M 6.46
25 J. Hopkins J. Hopkins 56' F 6.62
9 T. Baribo T. Baribo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 7.65
32 O. Avilez O. Avilez 56' F 6.40
Bench
26 A. Bono A. Bono G 0.00
48 Gavin Turner Gavin Turner M 0.00
8 J. Stroud J. Stroud 34' M 6.26
40 K. Castillo K. Castillo M 0.00
4 M. Peltola M. Peltola D 0.00
27 Nikola Markovic Nikola Markovic D 0.00
22 N. Ordaz N. Ordaz F 0.00
7 Peglow Peglow 34' F 6.74
13 S. Nealis S. Nealis 20' D 6.37
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-3-3
34 E. Horvath E. Horvath G 6.10
59 D. Padelford D. Padelford D 6.33
14 J. Bazán J. Bazán D 6.86
2 J. Che J. Che 57' D 6.71
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis D 6.19
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo M 6.28
15 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti 57' M 6.11
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor 78' M 6.37
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell 57' F 7.20
16 J. Hall J. Hall F 6.46
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba 57' F 6.46
Bench
45 C. Faello C. Faello D 0.00
17 C. Harper C. Harper 33' F 5.87
13 E. Choupo-Moting E. Choupo-Moting 1 ⚽ 33' F 7.35
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg 1 👟 33' M 7.70
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty 33' D 6.59
77 J. McCarthy J. McCarthy G 0.00
56 M. Dos Santos M. Dos Santos D 0.00
79 R. Mosquera R. Mosquera F 0.00
60 S. Kone S. Kone 12' M 5.99
Best on the pitch
E. Forsberg
E. Forsberg
M · New
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 19 pass
T. Baribo
T. Baribo
F · DC
7.65
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 21 pass
S. Hefti
S. Hefti
D · DC
7.45
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
E. Choupo-Moting
E. Choupo-Moting
F · New
7.35
1 ⚽
2 shots · 6 pass
C. Cowell
C. Cowell
F · New
7.20
1 shots · 11 pass
J. Bazán
J. Bazán
D · New
6.86
4 shots · 105 pass
DC United DC United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Johnson G 90 6.74 — — 0 30 7% 0 — —
K. Kurokawa D 90 6.02 — — 0 17 13% 2 — —
K. Rowles D 90 6.10 — — 0 21 13% 0 — —
L. Bartlett D 68 5.56 — — 0 13 6% 1 — 1
S. Hefti D 90 7.45 1 — 1 11 5% 9 — —
B. Servania M 70 6.27 — — 1 17 14% 2 — —
A. Dozzell M 90 6.48 — — 0 20 15% 2 — —
K. Nono M 90 6.46 — — 0 18 8% 2 — —
J. Hopkins F 56 6.62 — — 0 9 7% 1 1 —
T. Baribo F 90 7.65 1 1 1 21 17% 0 — —
O. Avilez F 56 6.40 — — 1 8 4% 1 — —
J. Stroud M 34 6.26 — — 0 7 3% 2 — —
Peglow F 34 6.74 — — 0 4 2% 4 — —
S. Nealis D 20 6.37 — — 0 3 2% 1 — —
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Horvath G 90 6.10 — — 0 8 8% 0 — —
D. Padelford D 90 6.33 — — 2 49 45% 2 1 —
J. Bazán D 90 6.86 — — 4 105 100% 1 — —
J. Che D 57 6.71 — — 3 69 65% 1 — —
D. Nealis D 90 6.19 — — 1 82 72% 3 1 —
M. Sofo M 90 6.28 — — 4 26 23% 5 — —
A. Mehmeti M 57 6.11 — — 0 50 40% 2 — —
R. Donkor M 78 6.37 — — 0 67 60% 3 1 —
C. Cowell F 57 7.20 — — 1 11 8% 0 — —
J. Hall F 90 6.46 — — 3 16 13% 0 — —
J. Ruvalcaba F 57 6.46 — — 0 28 22% 1 — —
C. Harper F 33 5.87 — — 1 15 11% 0 — —
E. Choupo-Moting F 33 7.35 1 — 2 6 4% 0 — —
E. Forsberg M 33 7.70 — 1 2 19 16% 0 — —
J. Marshall-Rutty D 33 6.59 — — 1 37 35% 0 — —
S. Kone M 12 5.99 — — 0 23 19% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of DC United vs New York Red Bulls?
The final score was DC United 2–1 New York Red Bulls.
What did the model predict before DC United vs New York Red Bulls?
The model assigned 47% probability to a DC United win, 21% to a draw, and 31% to an New York Red Bulls win.