MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 26, 2026 03:30
✓Model correct — prediction DC United
J. Hopkins
(ast. K. Kurokawa)
10'
L. Munteanu
(ast. N. Markovic)
84'
K. Rowles
(ast. J. Murrell)
90'
56'
J. Ellis
67'
(ast. A. Gomez)
T. Spicer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave DC United a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Orlando City SC 21%). The final result was DC United 3–2 Orlando City SC.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
5
1.07
Actual xG
0.83
3
Saves
5
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
8
18
Tackles
14
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
4'
Iago Teodoro
⚽J. Hopkins
· ast. K. Kurokawa
10'
L. Bartlett
21'
A. Herrera
/ J. Stroud
46'
46'
G. Dorsey
/
Z. Taifi
56'
J. Ellis⚽
61'
T. Spicer
/
Tiago
67'
ast. A. Gomez ·
T. Spicer⚽
73'
Luis Otavio
L. Munteanu
75'
J. Hopkins
/ J. Murrell
77'
S. Hefti
/ N. Markovic
77'
83'
T. Reid-Brown
/
J. Ellis
B. Servania
84'
⚽L. Munteanu
· ast. N. Markovic
84'
88'
W. Cartagena
/
Luis Otavio
J. Stroud
90'+2
K. Kurokawa
90'+4
Peglow
/ C. Antley
90'+5
90'+8
W. Cartagena
⚽K. Rowles
· ast. J. Murrell
90'
Pre-match prediction
54.45%
DC ←
24.06%
X
21.49%
Orlando
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (DC United)
54.45%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.28
1.07
-1.21
0.80
0.83
+0.03
xG dominance was balanced (1.07 – 0.83).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
6
Keisuke Kurokawa
1 👟
D
Keisuke Kurokawa
1 👟
D
15
Kye Rowles
1 ⚽
D
Kye Rowles
1 ⚽
D
3
Lucas Bartlett
D
Lucas Bartlett
D
5
Silvan Hefti
77'
D
Silvan Hefti
77'
D
7
João Peglow
M
João Peglow
M
23
Brandon Servania
M
Brandon Servania
M
4
Matti Peltola
M
Matti Peltola
M
22
Aaron Herrera
45'
M
Aaron Herrera
45'
M
11
Louis Munteanu
1 ⚽
F
Louis Munteanu
1 ⚽
F
25
J. Hopkins
1 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
30
Caden Clark
M
Caden Clark
M
12
Conner Antley
5'
D
Conner Antley
5'
D
48
Gavin Turner
M
Gavin Turner
M
77
Hosei Kijima
M
Hosei Kijima
M
17
Jacob Murrell
1 👟
23'
F
Jacob Murrell
1 👟
23'
F
8
Jared Stroud
55'
M
Jared Stroud
55'
M
27
Nikola Markovic
1 👟
23'
D
Nikola Markovic
1 👟
23'
D
71
Maxime Crépeau
G
Maxime Crépeau
G
77
Iván Angulo
D
Iván Angulo
D
3
D
6
Robin Jansson
D
Robin Jansson
D
57
Iago Silva
D
Iago Silva
D
19
Zakaria Taifi
45'
D
Zakaria Taifi
45'
D
11
Tiago Souza
61'
M
Tiago Souza
61'
M
5
Luis Otávio
88'
M
Luis Otávio
88'
M
8
B. Ojeda
M
B. Ojeda
M
10
M. Ojeda
F
M. Ojeda
F
22
Justin Ellis
1 ⚽
83'
F
Justin Ellis
1 ⚽
83'
F
Bench
25
C. Guske
M
24
Griffin Dorsey
55'
D
Griffin Dorsey
55'
D
21
N. Miller
D
29
Tahir Reid-Brown
17'
D
Tahir Reid-Brown
17'
D
14
Tyrese Spicer
1 ⚽
39'
F
Tyrese Spicer
1 ⚽
39'
F
16
W. Cartagena
12'
M
W. Cartagena
12'
M
Best on the pitch
Louis Munteanu
F · DC
8.00
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 23 pass
Tyrese Spicer
F · Orlando
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
J. Hopkins
F · DC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
Kye Rowles
D · DC
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 29 pass
Nikola Markovic
D · DC
7.00
1 👟
· 4 pass
Aaron Herrera
M · DC
7.00
· 17 pass
DC United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| Keisuke Kurokawa | D | 100 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Kye Rowles | D | 100 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Bartlett | D | 100 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Silvan Hefti | D | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| João Peglow | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Brandon Servania | M | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Matti Peltola | M | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Aaron Herrera | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Louis Munteanu | F | 100 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 4 | 23 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Hopkins | F | 77 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Conner Antley | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Murrell | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jared Stroud | M | 55 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 6% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Nikola Markovic | D | 23 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Orlando City SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Crépeau | G | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Iván Angulo | D | 100 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 100 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 69 | 58% | 2 | — | — | |
| Robin Jansson | D | 100 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 64 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Iago Silva | D | 100 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 74 | 68% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Zakaria Taifi | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Tiago Souza | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Otávio | M | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Ojeda | M | 100 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ojeda | F | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Justin Ellis | F | 83 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Griffin Dorsey | D | 55 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Tahir Reid-Brown | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Tyrese Spicer | F | 39 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| W. Cartagena | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of DC United vs Orlando City SC?
The final score was DC United 3–2 Orlando City SC.
What did the model predict before DC United vs Orlando City SC?
The model assigned 54% probability to a DC United win, 24% to a draw, and 21% to an Orlando City SC win.