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MLS · Regular Season - 10 April 26, 2026 01:30
DC United
#11 · 30 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Orlando City SC
#7 · 34 pts
✓Model correct — prediction DC United
J. Hopkins (ast. K. Kurokawa) 10'
L. Munteanu (ast. N. Markovic) 84'
K. Rowles (ast. J. Murrell) 90'
56' J. Ellis
67' (ast. A. Gomez) T. Spicer
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave DC United a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Orlando City SC 21%). The final result was DC United 3–2 Orlando City SC.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
5
1.07
Actual xG
0.83
3
Saves
5
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
8
18
Tackles
14
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
4'
Iago Teodoro
⚽J. Hopkins · ast. K. Kurokawa
10'
L. Bartlett
21'
↕ A. Herrera / J. Stroud
46'
46'
G. Dorsey / Z. Taifi ↕
56'
J. Ellis⚽
61'
T. Spicer / Tiago ↕
67'
ast. A. Gomez · T. Spicer⚽
73'
Luis Otavio
L. Munteanu
75'
↕ J. Hopkins / J. Murrell
77'
↕ S. Hefti / N. Markovic
77'
83'
T. Reid-Brown / J. Ellis ↕
B. Servania
84'
⚽L. Munteanu · ast. N. Markovic
84'
88'
W. Cartagena / Luis Otavio ↕
J. Stroud
90'+2
K. Kurokawa
90'+4
↕ Peglow / C. Antley
90'+5
90'+8
W. Cartagena
⚽K. Rowles · ast. J. Murrell
90'
Pre-match prediction
54.45%
DC ←
24.06%
X
21.49%
Orlando
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (DC United) 54.45% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
DC
2.28
1.07
-1.21
Orlando
0.80
0.83
+0.03
xG dominance was balanced (1.07 – 0.83). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 27 60
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 27 46
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 27 46
4 Charlotte Charlotte 27 43
5 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 27 33
9 New York City FC New York City FC 27 33
10 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 26 33
11 DC United DC United 26 30
12 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 27 29
13 Toronto FC Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 27 24
Lineups
DC United DC United 4-4-2
1
G 6.70
6 K. Kurokawa K. Kurokawa 1 👟 D 6.30
15 K. Rowles K. Rowles 1 ⚽ D 7.50
3 L. Bartlett L. Bartlett D 6.30
5 S. Hefti S. Hefti 77' D 6.30
7 Peglow Peglow M 6.60
23 B. Servania B. Servania M 6.90
4 M. Peltola M. Peltola M 6.90
22 A. Herrera A. Herrera 45' M 7.00
11 L. Munteanu L. Munteanu 1 ⚽ F 8.00
25 J. Hopkins J. Hopkins 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.70
Bench
12 C. Antley C. Antley 5' D
30 C. Clark C. Clark M
48 Gavin Turner Gavin Turner M
77 Hosei Kijima Hosei Kijima M
17 J. Murrell J. Murrell 1 👟 23' F 6.60
8 J. Stroud J. Stroud 55' M 6.90
27 Nikola Markovic Nikola Markovic 1 👟 23' D 7.00
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 5-3-2
71 M. Crépeau M. Crépeau G 6.70
77 I. Angulo I. Angulo D 6.30
3
D 6.60
6 R. Jansson R. Jansson D 6.50
57 Iago Iago D 6.50
19 Z. Taifi Z. Taifi 45' D 6.70
11 Tiago Tiago 61' M 6.30
5 Luis Otávio Luis Otávio 88' M 6.70
8 Braian Ojeda Braian Ojeda M 6.30
10 M. Ojeda M. Ojeda F 6.90
22 Justin Ellis Justin Ellis 1 ⚽ 83' F 6.90
Bench
25 Colin Guske Colin Guske M
24 G. Dorsey G. Dorsey 55' D 6.00
21 N. Miller N. Miller D
29 Tahir Reid-Brown Tahir Reid-Brown 17' D 6.30
14 T. Spicer T. Spicer 1 ⚽ 39' F 7.70
16 W. Cartagena W. Cartagena 12' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
L. Munteanu
L. Munteanu
F · DC
8.00
1 ⚽
4 shots · 23 pass
T. Spicer
T. Spicer
F · Orlando
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
J. Hopkins
J. Hopkins
F · DC
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
K. Rowles
K. Rowles
D · DC
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 29 pass
Nikola Markovic
Nikola Markovic
D · DC
7.00
1 👟
· 4 pass
A. Herrera
A. Herrera
M · DC
7.00
· 17 pass
DC United DC United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 100 6.70 — — — 26 15% — — —
K. Kurokawa D 100 6.30 — 1 1 29 21% — 1 —
K. Rowles D 100 7.50 1 — 2 29 22% 1 — —
L. Bartlett D 100 6.30 — — — 28 21% — 1 —
S. Hefti D 77 6.30 — — — 22 15% 4 — —
Peglow M 95 6.60 — — — 24 21% 3 — —
B. Servania M 100 6.90 — — — 27 19% 4 1 —
M. Peltola M 100 6.90 — — 2 32 21% 1 — —
A. Herrera M 45 7.00 — — — 17 14% 1 — —
L. Munteanu F 100 8.00 1 — 4 23 16% 1 1 —
J. Hopkins F 77 7.70 1 — 1 24 18% — — —
C. Antley D 5 — — — — 1 1% — — —
J. Murrell F 23 6.60 — 1 — 2 1% — — —
J. Stroud M 55 6.90 — — 2 11 6% 3 1 —
Nikola Markovic D 23 7.00 — 1 — 4 4% — — —
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Crépeau G 100 6.70 — — — 17 14% — — —
I. Angulo D 100 6.30 — — — 49 38% 1 — —
D 100 6.60 — — — 69 58% 2 — —
R. Jansson D 100 6.50 — — — 64 60% — — —
Iago D 100 6.50 — — 2 74 68% 2 1 —
Z. Taifi D 45 6.70 — — — 14 10% 1 — —
Tiago M 61 6.30 — — — 16 14% 2 — —
Luis Otávio M 88 6.70 — — — 42 35% 2 1 —
Braian Ojeda M 100 6.30 — — — 33 29% 1 — —
M. Ojeda F 100 6.90 — — 1 39 32% — — —
Justin Ellis F 83 6.90 1 — 3 22 15% — — —
G. Dorsey D 55 6.00 — — 1 11 8% 2 — —
Tahir Reid-Brown D 17 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
T. Spicer F 39 7.70 1 — 1 5 2% — — —
W. Cartagena M 12 6.50 — — — 12 9% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of DC United vs Orlando City SC?
The final score was DC United 3–2 Orlando City SC.
What did the model predict before DC United vs Orlando City SC?
The model assigned 54% probability to a DC United win, 24% to a draw, and 21% to an Orlando City SC win.