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MLS · Regular Season - 14 May 17, 2026 01:30
DC United
#11 · 30 pts
1 – 1
Final score
St. Louis City
#2 · 47 pts
Peglow 90'
50' (ast. S. Jeong) C. Durkin
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave DC United a 49% win probability (draw 25%, St. Louis City 24%). The final result was DC United 1–1 St. Louis City.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
0.80
Actual xG
1.12
2
Saves
4
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
8
16
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
28'
F. Fall
41'
C. Wallem
50'
ast. S. Jeong · C. Durkin⚽
58'
M. Perez
J. Hopkins
60'
↕ M. Peltola / J. Stroud
62'
63'
S. Cordova / S. Jeong ↕
63'
E. Lowen / C. Teuchert ↕
63'
D. Edelman / M. Perez ↕
S. Hefti
70'
↕ K. Kurokawa / C. Antley
78'
↕ J. Hopkins / N. Markovic
78'
78'
T. Totland / Rafael Santos ↕
90'+1
M. Mbacke / S. Becher ↕
90'+2
C. Wallem
90'+2
C. Wallem
K. Rowles
90'+3
90'+5
M. Mbacke
90'+7
⚽Peglow
90'
Pre-match prediction
49.5%
DC
25.65%
X ←
24.85%
St.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.65% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
DC
1.79
0.80
-0.99
St.
0.95
1.12
+0.17
St. Louis City dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.80). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 27 60
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 27 46
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 27 46
4 Charlotte Charlotte 27 43
5 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 27 33
9 New York City FC New York City FC 27 33
10 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 26 33
11 DC United DC United 26 30
12 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 27 29
13 Toronto FC Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 27 24
Lineups
DC United DC United 4-4-2
1 S. Johnson S. Johnson G 6.30
6 K. Kurokawa K. Kurokawa 78' D 6.70
15 K. Rowles K. Rowles D 7.00
3 L. Bartlett L. Bartlett D 7.00
5 S. Hefti S. Hefti D 7.30
7 Peglow Peglow 1 ⚽ M 7.90
23 B. Servania B. Servania M 7.30
4 M. Peltola M. Peltola 62' M 6.90
25 J. Hopkins J. Hopkins 78' M 6.70
11 L. Munteanu L. Munteanu F 6.30
9 T. Baribo T. Baribo F 6.30
Bench
26 A. Bono A. Bono G
12 C. Antley C. Antley 23' D 6.50
30 C. Clark C. Clark M
48 Gavin Turner Gavin Turner M
77 Hosei Kijima Hosei Kijima M
17 J. Murrell J. Murrell F
24 Jordan Farr Jordan Farr G
8 J. Stroud J. Stroud 39' M 7.30
27 Nikola Markovic Nikola Markovic 23' D 6.30
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-3
1 R. Bürki R. Bürki G 7.20
27 F. Fall F. Fall D 7.50
32 T. Baumgartl T. Baumgartl D 7.50
21 D. Polvara D. Polvara D 7.30
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos 78' M 7.30
8 C. Durkin C. Durkin 1 ⚽ M 7.60
28 M. Perez M. Perez 63' M 6.60
6 C. Wallem C. Wallem M 6.30
36 Cedric Teuchert Cedric Teuchert 63' F 7.30
11 S. Becher S. Becher F 5.90
77 Jeong Sang-Bin Jeong Sang-Bin 1 👟 63' F 7.00
Bench
39 B. Lundt B. Lundt G
80 Brendan McSorley Brendan McSorley F
24 D. Edelman D. Edelman 38' M 6.90
10 E. Löwen E. Löwen 38' M 6.30
22 Kyle Hiebert Kyle Hiebert D
4 M. Fall M. Fall 10' D 6.70
59 M. Joyner M. Joyner M
16 S. Córdova S. Córdova 38' F 6.90
14 T. Totland T. Totland 23' D 6.20
Best on the pitch
Peglow
Peglow
M · DC
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 29 pass
C. Durkin
C. Durkin
M · St.
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 43 pass
T. Baumgartl
T. Baumgartl
D · St.
7.50
· 52 pass
F. Fall
F. Fall
D · St.
7.50
1 shots · 52 pass
J. Stroud
J. Stroud
M · DC
7.30
1 shots · 17 pass
Cedric Teuchert
Cedric Teuchert
F · St.
7.30
· 27 pass
DC United DC United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Johnson G 101 6.30 — — — 15 11% — — —
K. Kurokawa D 78 6.70 — — 1 21 19% — — —
K. Rowles D 101 7.00 — — 1 39 32% 2 1 —
L. Bartlett D 101 7.00 — — — 47 36% 1 — —
S. Hefti D 101 7.30 — — — 32 25% 4 1 —
Peglow M 101 7.90 1 — 3 29 22% 3 — —
B. Servania M 101 7.30 — — 1 25 22% 3 — —
M. Peltola M 62 6.90 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
J. Hopkins M 78 6.70 — — — 21 15% 1 1 —
L. Munteanu F 101 6.30 — — 5 16 11% — — —
T. Baribo F 101 6.30 — — 1 17 15% — — —
C. Antley D 23 6.50 — — — 9 3% — — —
J. Stroud M 39 7.30 — — 1 17 12% 1 — —
Nikola Markovic D 23 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
R. Bürki G 101 7.20 — — — 34 27% — — —
F. Fall D 101 7.50 — — 1 52 46% 3 1 —
T. Baumgartl D 101 7.50 — — — 52 50% — — —
D. Polvara D 101 7.30 — — 1 48 43% 2 — —
Rafael Santos M 78 7.30 — — — 18 15% 1 — —
C. Durkin M 101 7.60 1 — 1 43 37% 2 — —
M. Perez M 63 6.60 — — — 33 30% 1 1 —
C. Wallem M 90 6.30 — — 2 36 29% 2 2 1
Cedric Teuchert F 63 7.30 — — — 27 24% 1 — —
S. Becher F 91 5.90 — — 2 19 11% 1 — —
Jeong Sang-Bin F 63 7.00 — 1 1 22 18% — — —
D. Edelman M 38 6.90 — — — 10 8% — — —
E. Löwen M 38 6.30 — — — 12 10% — — —
M. Fall D 10 6.70 — — — 2 1% — 1 —
S. Córdova F 38 6.90 — — — 9 4% 2 — —
T. Totland D 23 6.20 — — — 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of DC United vs St. Louis City?
The final score was DC United 1–1 St. Louis City.
What did the model predict before DC United vs St. Louis City?
The model assigned 49% probability to a DC United win, 25% to a draw, and 24% to an St. Louis City win.