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De Graafschap - Almere City FC

Eredivisie May 09, 2026 20:00
De Graafschap
vs
Almere City FC
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.79%
Win
De Graafschap
31.94%
Draw
36.28%
Win
Almere City FC
0.63
Expected xG
2.88

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Almere City FC a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for De Graafschap. Expected goals are 0.6 for De Graafschap and 2.9 for Almere City FC (total 3.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–2 at 12.4% probability. In 4 previous meetings, De Graafschap have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Almere City FC.

Score Matrix
↕ De Graafschap Almere City FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0% 8.6% 12.4% 11.9% 8.5% 4.9%
1 1.9% 5.4% 7.8% 7.5% 5.4% 3.1%
2 0.6% 1.7% 2.5% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
4 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% —
5 — — — — — —
Recent form
De Graafschap De Graafschap
L Almere City FC 3–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 31%
Almere City FC Almere City FC
W De Graafschap 3–1
W Den Bosch 3–0
W Den Bosch 2–3
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 16%
Playing profile
De Graafschap De Graafschap
Attack
22
Defence
44
Form
34
Almere City FC Almere City FC
Attack
74
Defence
69
Form
81
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
De Graafschap
1
Draw
2
Almere City FC
D 9 May 2026 Eerste Divisie 2–2
L 6 May 2026 Eredivisie 1–3
L 18 Jan 2026 Eerste Divisie 0–2
W 29 Sep 2025 Eerste Divisie 3–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
The model gives De Graafschap a 31% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 36% for an Almere City FC win.
How many goals are expected in De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
Expected goals: De Graafschap 0.6, Almere City FC 2.9 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
0–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.4%.