De Graafschap - Almere City FC
Eredivisie
May 09, 2026 20:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.79%
Win
De Graafschap
31.94%
Draw
36.28%
Win
Almere City FC
0.63
2.88
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–2
(12.4%)
1X2 Result
1
32%
X
32%
2
36%
Double Chance
1X
64%
X2
68%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
✓ 77.6% hit rate (49 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Almere City FC a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for De Graafschap. Expected goals are 0.6 for De Graafschap and 2.9 for Almere City FC (total 3.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–2 at 12.4% probability. In 6 previous meetings, De Graafschap have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 4 wins for Almere City FC.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
3W
0D
0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
3.0
3.0
Conceded
1.0
2.0
Shots OT
7.7
3.0
Corners
5.7
59%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Eredivisie. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ De Graafschap
Almere City FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.0% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 4 | — | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
De Graafschap
Attack
22
Defence
44
Form
34
Almere City FC
Attack
74
Defence
69
Form
81
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
7 | 19 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
7 | 17 |
| 3 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
7 | 16 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
7 | 16 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
7 | 14 |
| 6 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
7 | 13 |
| 7 |
Excelsior
|
7 | 11 |
| 8 |
Groningen
|
7 | 11 |
| 9 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
7 | 10 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
7 | 9 |
| 11 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
7 | 8 |
| 12 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
7 | 5 |
| 13 |
Telstar
|
7 | 5 |
| 14 |
Cambuur
|
7 | 5 |
| 15 |
Utrecht
|
7 | 5 |
| 16 |
PEC Zwolle
|
7 | 4 |
| 17 |
ADO Den Haag
|
7 | 2 |
| 18 |
Willem II
|
7 | 2 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
The model gives De Graafschap a 31% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 36% for an Almere City FC win.
How many goals are expected in De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
Expected goals: De Graafschap 0.6, Almere City FC 2.9 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in De Graafschap vs Almere City FC?
0–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.4%.