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De Graafschap - Excelsior

Friendlies Clubs August 01, 2026 12:00
De Graafschap
vs
Excelsior
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.36%
Win
De Graafschap
28.26%
Draw
39.39%
Win
Excelsior
2.39
Expected xG
3.88

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–2 (7.28%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 28%
2 39%
Double Chance
1X 61%
X2 68%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 57%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Excelsior a 39% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 32% for De Graafschap. Expected goals are 2.4 for De Graafschap and 3.9 for Excelsior (total 6.3), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–2 at 7.28% probability.

Season Stats

De Graafschap
2W 0D 3L
Excelsior
4W 0D 0L
Averages per game
2.4
Goals
3.2
3.6
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
75%
100%
BTTS
75%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
67%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
De Graafschap
1W 0D 2L · at home
Excelsior
3W 0D 0L · away
2.7
gls/g
3.3
3.3
Conceded
1.3
33%
Win %
100%
33%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
67%
O 3.5
67%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ De Graafschap Excelsior →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 1.4%
1 0.5% 1.8% 3.4% 4.4% 4.3% 3.3%
2 0.5% 2.1% 4.1% 5.3% 5.1% 4.0%
3 0.4% 1.7% 3.2% 4.2% 4.1% 3.2%
4 0.3% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 2.4% 1.9%
5 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9%

Recent form

De Graafschap De Graafschap
W Kifisia 4–2
L Telstar 3–6
L AEK Athens FC 1–2
L Heerenveen 7–2
W Utrecht 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
Excelsior Excelsior
W Heracles 3–5
W NAC Breda 1–3
W Dordrecht 0–2
W Cambuur 3–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

De Graafschap De Graafschap
Attack
61
Defence
35
Form
49
Excelsior Excelsior
Attack
76
Defence
62
Form
80
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win De Graafschap vs Excelsior?
The model gives De Graafschap a 32% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 39% for an Excelsior win.
How many goals are expected in De Graafschap vs Excelsior?
Expected goals: De Graafschap 2.4, Excelsior 3.9 (total 6.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in De Graafschap vs Excelsior?
2–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.28%.