Defensores De Belgrano - Deportivo Moron
Primera Nacional
July 04, 2026 20:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
18.01%
Win
Defensores De Belgrano
31.37%
Draw
50.63%
Win
Deportivo Moron
0.39
1.14
Expected xG
Most likely result
0–1
(24.8%)
2+ goals
58%
3+ goals
20%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Deportivo Moron a 50% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 18% for Defensores De Belgrano. Expected goals are 0.4 for Defensores De Belgrano and 1.1 for Deportivo Moron (total 1.5), with a 57% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 24.8% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Defensores De Belgrano have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Moron.
Season Stats
3W
6D
6L
9W
2D
4L
Averages per game
0.6
Goals
1.5
0.9
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
67%
27%
O 2.5
47%
27%
BTTS
40%
47%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
61%
O 1.5
34%
O 2.5
11%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
1W
6D
2L
· at home
3W
2D
4L
· away
0.4
gls/g
1.3
0.8
Conceded
1.2
11%
Win %
33%
78%
Win or Draw
56%
44%
O 1.5
78%
11%
O 2.5
56%
0%
O 3.5
22%
33%
BTTS
56%
44%
Clean Sht
11%
56%
Failed to Score
33%
last 9
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Defensores De Belgrano
Deportivo Moron →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21.7% | 24.8% | 14.2% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Defensores De Belgrano
Attack
9
Defence
75
Form
39
Deportivo Moron
Attack
31
Defence
81
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
14 Feb 2026
1–1
Group 1
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Deportivo Moron
|
18 | 34 |
| 2 |
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
18 | 34 |
| 3 |
Los Andes
|
18 | 29 |
| 4 |
Colon Santa Fe
|
18 | 29 |
| 5 |
Deportivo Madryn
|
18 | 28 |
| 6 |
Ciudad de Bolívar
|
18 | 27 |
| 7 |
Almirante Brown
|
18 | 26 |
| 8 |
CA Estudiantes
|
18 | 26 |
| 9 |
Godoy Cruz
|
18 | 25 |
| 10 |
San Miguel
|
18 | 24 |
| 11 |
San Telmo
|
18 | 20 |
| 12 |
Defensores De Belgrano
|
18 | 20 |
| 13 |
Racing Cordoba
|
18 | 20 |
| 14 |
All Boys
|
18 | 19 |
| 15 |
Central Norte
|
18 | 18 |
| 16 |
Acassuso
|
18 | 18 |
| 17 |
Atletico Mitre
|
18 | 17 |
| 18 |
Chaco For Ever
|
18 | 12 |
What's at stake · Group 1
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #12 | #1 |
| → Defensores De Belgrano | #11 | #1 |
| → Draw | #11 | #1 |
| → Deportivo Moron | #12 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Moron?
The model gives Defensores De Belgrano a 18% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 50% for an Deportivo Moron win.
How many goals are expected in Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Moron?
Expected goals: Defensores De Belgrano 0.4, Deportivo Moron 1.1 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 57%.
What is the most likely score in Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Moron?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 24.8%.