Defensores De Belgrano - Los Andes
Primera Nacional
July 20, 2026 20:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
24.1%
Win
Defensores De Belgrano
25.22%
Draw
50.68%
Win
Los Andes
0.62
1.57
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(18.16%)
1X2 Result
1
24%
X
25%
2
51%
Double Chance
1X
49%
X2
76%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
59%
Over 2.5
31%
✓ 40.0% hit rate (10 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Los Andes a 50% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Defensores De Belgrano. Expected goals are 0.6 for Defensores De Belgrano and 1.6 for Los Andes (total 2.2), with a 59% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 18.16% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Defensores De Belgrano have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Los Andes.
Season Stats
3W
5D
7L
7W
5D
3L
Averages per game
0.6
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
0.4
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
47%
33%
O 2.5
20%
33%
BTTS
20%
33%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
31%
BTTS
2W
6D
2L
· at home
4W
3D
2L
· away
0.6
gls/g
1.1
0.8
Conceded
0.4
20%
Win %
44%
80%
Win or Draw
78%
50%
O 1.5
56%
20%
O 2.5
22%
0%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
22%
40%
Clean Sht
67%
50%
Failed to Score
33%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Defensores De Belgrano
Los Andes →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.2% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Defensores De Belgrano
Attack
9
Defence
79
Form
44
Los Andes
Attack
28
Defence
87
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
28 Feb 2026
1–0
Group 1
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
23 | 43 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Moron
|
22 | 38 |
| 3 |
Colon Santa Fe
|
23 | 36 |
| 4 |
Almirante Brown
|
23 | 35 |
| 5 |
Godoy Cruz
|
22 | 34 |
| 6 |
Ciudad de Bolívar
|
23 | 34 |
| 7 |
Los Andes
|
22 | 33 |
| 8 |
Deportivo Madryn
|
22 | 33 |
| 9 |
CA Estudiantes
|
23 | 32 |
| 10 |
Racing Cordoba
|
23 | 27 |
| 11 |
San Miguel
|
22 | 26 |
| 12 |
Defensores De Belgrano
|
22 | 25 |
| 13 |
Atletico Mitre
|
23 | 25 |
| 14 |
San Telmo
|
22 | 23 |
| 15 |
All Boys
|
23 | 23 |
| 16 |
Chaco For Ever
|
22 | 22 |
| 17 |
Central Norte
|
22 | 22 |
| 18 |
Acassuso
|
22 | 21 |
What's at stake · Group 1
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #12 | #7 |
| → Defensores De Belgrano | #10 | #7 |
| → Draw | #11 | #5 |
| → Los Andes | #12 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes?
The model gives Defensores De Belgrano a 24% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 50% for an Los Andes win.
How many goals are expected in Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes?
Expected goals: Defensores De Belgrano 0.6, Los Andes 1.6 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 59%.
What is the most likely score in Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.16%.