Skip to main content
← Brasileirão Série D

Democrata GV - Ivinhema

Brasileirão Série D June 30, 2026 00:00
Democrata GV
#1 · 16 pts
vs
Ivinhema
#4 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.12%
Win
Democrata GV
23.41%
Draw
21.47%
Win
Ivinhema
2.34
Expected xG
1.14
Most likely result 2–1 (9.6%)
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
68%
Model prediction
Democrata GV
55.12%
Probability
69.7%
1X2 accuracy · 33 predictions (3 months)
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Democrata GV a 55% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Ivinhema. Expected goals are 2.3 for Democrata GV and 1.1 for Ivinhema (total 3.5), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Democrata GV have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Ivinhema.

Season Stats

Democrata GV
5W 2D 4L
Ivinhema
4W 4D 3L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.1
1.1
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
64%
O 1.5
82%
45%
O 2.5
36%
55%
BTTS
55%
36%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 11 matches in Brasileirão Série D. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
80%
O 1.5
40%
O 2.5
20%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Democrata GV
5W 0D 0L · at home
Ivinhema
1W 2D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.8
0.4
Conceded
1.6
100%
Win %
20%
100%
Win or Draw
60%
60%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
40%
40%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
60%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Democrata GV Ivinhema →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% —
1 7.2% 8.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.6% 7.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.9% 4.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —

Recent form

Democrata GV Democrata GV
L Ivinhema 3–1
D Real Noroeste 0–0
W Rio Branco ES 3–1
W Porto BA 3–1
L Tombense 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
Ivinhema Ivinhema
W Democrata GV 3–1
D CRAC 1–1
D Uberlandia 1–1
L Ipatinga 3–0
L Operario Ferroviario 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Democrata GV Democrata GV
Attack
37
Defence
68
Form
62
Ivinhema Ivinhema
Attack
26
Defence
71
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Democrata GV
0
Draw
1
Ivinhema
21 Jun 2026 Brasileirão Série D 1–3

Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A12

# Team G Pts
1 Democrata GV Democrata GV 9 16
2 Tombense Tombense 9 16
3 Vitória ES Vitória ES 9 14
4 Rio Branco ES Rio Branco ES 9 10
5 Porto BA Porto BA 9 10
6 Real Noroeste Real Noroeste 9 7

What's at stake · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A12

Top 2 advance to the next round

Democrata GV Ivinhema
Current #1 #1
→ Democrata GV #1 #1
→ Draw #1 #1
→ Ivinhema #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Democrata GV vs Ivinhema?
The model gives Democrata GV a 55% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 21% for an Ivinhema win.
How many goals are expected in Democrata GV vs Ivinhema?
Expected goals: Democrata GV 2.3, Ivinhema 1.1 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Democrata GV vs Ivinhema?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.6%.