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Pro League · Relegation Group - 35 May 03, 2026 19:15 Dender Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Dender
2 – 1
Final score
RAAL La Louvière
#16 · 1 pts
M. Berte (ast. D. Acquah) 34'
B. Nsimba 44' (pen.)
31' P. M. Fall
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave RAAL La Louvière a 48% win probability (draw 23%, Dender 27%). The final result was Dender 2–1 RAAL La Louvière. In 3 previous meetings, Dender have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for RAAL La Louvière.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
5
1.47
Actual xG
1.67
4
Saves
0
50%
Possession
50%
4
Corners
5
17
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
31'
P. M. Fall⚽
↕ A. Jahanbakhsh / B. Nsimba
32'
⚽M. Berte · ast. D. Acquah
34'
⚽B. Nsimba (pen.)
44'
46'
J. Afriyie / B. Soumare ↕
46'
M. Ashimeru / A. Beka Beka ↕
↕ D. Acquah / R. Oratmangoen
46'
46'
N. Nsingi
R. Oratmangoen
53'
↕ L. De Fougerolles / M. Sambu
60'
61'
S. Gueulette / N. Nsingi ↕
72'
T. Lutonda / J. Liongola ↕
↕ M. Viltard / R. Kvet
75'
↕ B. Nsimba / A. Daali
76'
B. De Kerf
88'
Pre-match prediction
27.9%
Dender ←
23.11%
X
48.99%
RAAL
we assigned to the actual result (Dender) 27.9% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Dender
1.12
1.47
+0.35
RAAL
1.72
1.67
-0.05
xG dominance was balanced (1.47 – 1.67). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Gent Gent 5 15
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 5 13
3 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 5 12
4 Charleroi Charleroi 5 12
5 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 5 11
6 Standard Liege Standard Liege 5 11
7 Anderlecht Anderlecht 6 10
8 SK Beveren SK Beveren 6 9
9 Genk Genk 5 8
10 St. Truiden St. Truiden 6 8
11 Lommel United Lommel United 5 7
12 Antwerp Antwerp 5 7
13 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 5 4
14 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 5 2
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 6 2
16 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 5 1
17 OH Leuven OH Leuven 5 0
18 Kortrijk Kortrijk 5 0
Lineups
Dender Dender 3-4-3
30
G 6.30
7 Bryan Goncalves Bryan Goncalves D 7.50
44 Luc De Fougerolles Luc De Fougerolles 60' D 6.30
6 Bo De Kerf Bo De Kerf 88' D 5.90
15 K. Koton K. Koton M 6.30
24 M. Viltard M. Viltard 75' M 7.30
18 N. Rôdes N. Rôdes M 6.90
5 L. Marijnissen L. Marijnissen M 6.70
27 A. Jahanbakhsh A. Jahanbakhsh 32' F 6.30
90 M. Berte M. Berte 1 ⚽ F 7.30
23 Desmond Acquah Desmond Acquah 1 👟 45' F 7.00
Bench
77 B. Nsimba B. Nsimba 1 ⚽ 44' F 6.70
9 D. Toševski D. Toševski F
70 M. Sambu M. Sambu 30' D 7.30
67 Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui D
11
Ragnar Oratmangoen 45' F 7.20
16 R. Květ R. Květ 15' M 6.30
RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.70
13
D 7.20
99 Y. Okou Y. Okou D 5.90
4 W. Faye W. Faye D 6.90
3 Nolan Gillot Nolan Gillot M 7.20
6
A. Beka Beka 45' M 6.30
23 J. Ito J. Ito M 6.30
11 Jordi Liongola Jordi Liongola 72' M 6.30
27 N. Nsingi N. Nsingi 61' F 6.50
28 B. Soumaré B. Soumaré 45' F 6.50
7 P. Fall P. Fall 1 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
25 D. Lamego D. Lamego D
22 J. Afriyie J. Afriyie 45' F 6.90
18 Majeed Ashimeru Majeed Ashimeru 45' M 7.00
8 S. Gueulette S. Gueulette 29' M 6.70
15
S. Lahssaini M
5 T. Lutonda T. Lutonda 18' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
P. Fall
P. Fall
F · RAAL
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 21 pass
Bryan Goncalves
Bryan Goncalves
D · Dender
7.50
· 46 pass
M. Viltard
M. Viltard
M · Dender
7.30
· 36 pass
M. Sambu
M. Sambu
D · Dender
7.30
· 11 pass
M. Berte
M. Berte
F · Dender
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
Ragnar Oratmangoen
F · Dender
7.20
· 15 pass
Dender Dender — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 33 14% — — —
Bryan Goncalves D 90 7.50 — — — 46 39% 2 — —
Luc De Fougerolles D 60 6.30 — — — 30 25% — — —
Bo De Kerf D 88 5.90 — — — 41 28% 2 — 1
K. Koton M 90 6.30 — — — 22 14% 1 — —
M. Viltard M 75 7.30 — — — 36 31% 1 — —
N. Rôdes M 90 6.90 — — 2 45 37% 5 — —
L. Marijnissen M 90 6.70 — — — 32 24% 1 — —
A. Jahanbakhsh F 32 6.30 — — 3 4 1% — — —
M. Berte F 90 7.30 1 — 1 13 7% 2 — —
Desmond Acquah F 45 7.00 — 1 — 24 16% — — —
B. Nsimba F 44 6.70 1 — 1 9 5% — — —
M. Sambu D 30 7.30 — — — 11 9% 2 — —
Ragnar Oratmangoen F 45 7.20 — — — 15 12% 1 1 —
R. Květ M 15 6.30 — — — 8 7% — — —
RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 29 20% 1 — —
D 90 7.20 — — 2 61 46% 2 — —
Y. Okou D 90 5.90 — — — 46 39% — — —
W. Faye D 90 6.90 — — — 58 47% 3 — —
Nolan Gillot M 90 7.20 — — 3 32 22% 1 — —
A. Beka Beka M 45 6.30 — — — 17 15% 2 — —
J. Ito M 90 6.30 — — 1 24 23% 1 — —
Jordi Liongola M 72 6.30 — — — 24 16% 1 — —
N. Nsingi F 61 6.50 — — 1 8 7% 2 1 —
B. Soumaré F 45 6.50 — — — 15 13% 1 — —
P. Fall F 90 7.90 1 — 2 21 12% 2 — —
J. Afriyie F 45 6.90 — — 1 6 3% — — —
Majeed Ashimeru M 45 7.00 — — — 19 14% — — —
S. Gueulette M 29 6.70 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
T. Lutonda D 18 6.70 — — — 8 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Dender vs RAAL La Louvière?
The final score was Dender 2–1 RAAL La Louvière.
What did the model predict before Dender vs RAAL La Louvière?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Dender win, 23% to a draw, and 48% to an RAAL La Louvière win.