✓Model correct — prediction Denmark
Ben Davies
53'
(og)
Gustav Isaksen
66'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Denmark a 68% win probability (draw 19%, Wales 12%). The final result was Denmark 2–0 Wales. In 1 previous meetings, Denmark have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Wales.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
2
Corners
4
13
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
24'
Patrick Dorgu
/ Mohammed Daramy
30'
Joakim Maehle
35'
48'
Chris Mepham
⚽Ben Davies
(og)
53'
60'
Josh Sheehan
/
Charlie Savage
65'
Brennan Johnson
⚽Gustav Isaksen
66'
67'
Lewis Koumas
/
Kieffer Moore
67'
Jordan James
/
Daniel James
Gustav Isaksen
/ Adam Daghim
76'
83'
Wes Burns
/
Brennan Johnson
Mikkel Damsgaard
/ Victor Froholdt
87'
Rasmus Hojlund
/ Kasper Hogh
87'
Pre-match prediction
68.51%
Denmark ←
19.37%
X
12.12%
Wales
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Denmark)
68.51%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.36
—
—
0.71
—
—
Lineups
22
F. Jörgensen
G
F. Jörgensen
G
5
J. Mæhle
D
J. Mæhle
D
3
O. Provstgaard
D
O. Provstgaard
D
2
J. Andersen
D
J. Andersen
D
13
R. Kristensen
D
R. Kristensen
D
23
P. Højbjerg
M
P. Højbjerg
M
21
M. Hjulmand
M
M. Hjulmand
M
17
P. Dorgu
30'
M
P. Dorgu
30'
M
14
M. Damsgaard
87'
M
M. Damsgaard
87'
M
8
G. Isaksen
1 ⚽
76'
M
G. Isaksen
1 ⚽
76'
M
9
R. Højlund
87'
F
R. Højlund
87'
F
Bench
11
A. Daghim
14'
F
A. Daghim
14'
F
18
A. Gaaei
D
A. Gaaei
D
1
Andreas Jungdal
G
Andreas Jungdal
G
19
K. Høgh
3'
F
K. Høgh
3'
F
4
L. Høgsberg
D
L. Høgsberg
D
12
M. Bidstrup
M
M. Bidstrup
M
20
M. Daramy
60'
F
M. Daramy
60'
F
16
M. Hermansen
G
M. Hermansen
G
10
T. Jørgensen
M
T. Jørgensen
M
15
V. Bak Jensen
D
V. Bak Jensen
D
7
Victor Mow Froholdt
3'
M
Victor Mow Froholdt
3'
M
6
Victor Nelsson
D
Victor Nelsson
D
12
D. Ward
G
D. Ward
G
3
N. Williams
D
N. Williams
D
4
B. Davies
1 ⚽
D
B. Davies
1 ⚽
D
2
C. Mepham
D
C. Mepham
D
14
C. Roberts
D
C. Roberts
D
7
C. Savage
60'
M
C. Savage
60'
M
5
E. Ampadu
M
E. Ampadu
M
19
S. Thomas
M
S. Thomas
M
11
B. Johnson
83'
M
B. Johnson
83'
M
20
D. James
67'
M
D. James
67'
M
13
K. Moore
67'
F
K. Moore
67'
F
Bench
6
B. Cabango
D
B. Cabango
D
23
C. Congreve
M
C. Congreve
M
1
D. Cornell
G
D. Cornell
G
15
J. Dasilva
D
J. Dasilva
D
17
J. James
23'
M
J. James
23'
M
22
J. Sheehan
30'
M
J. Sheehan
30'
M
10
L. Cullen
F
L. Cullen
F
9
L. Koumas
23'
F
L. Koumas
23'
F
18
M. Harris
F
M. Harris
F
16
R. Norrington-Davies
D
R. Norrington-Davies
D
21
T. King
G
T. King
G
8
W. Burns
7'
F
W. Burns
7'
F
Best on the pitch
G. Isaksen
M · Denmark
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
J. Andersen
D · Denmark
7.41
1 shots
· 76 pass
M. Daramy
F · Denmark
7.20
5 shots
· 29 pass
F. Jörgensen
G · Denmark
7.16
· 34 pass
M. Hjulmand
M · Denmark
7.07
1 shots
· 60 pass
O. Provstgaard
D · Denmark
6.99
1 shots
· 78 pass
Denmark — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Jörgensen | G | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mæhle | D | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 52% | 0 | 1 | — |
| O. Provstgaard | D | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Andersen | D | 90 | 7.41 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 64% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Kristensen | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Højbjerg | M | 90 | 6.91 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 90 | 7.07 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Dorgu | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Damsgaard | M | 87 | 6.69 | — | — | 2 | 56 | 50% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Isaksen | M | 76 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Højlund | F | 87 | 6.33 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Daghim | F | 14 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Høgh | F | 3 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Daramy | F | 60 | 7.20 | — | — | 5 | 29 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| Victor Mow Froholdt | M | 3 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Wales — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ward | G | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Williams | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Davies | D | 90 | 5.47 | 1 | — | 0 | 61 | 55% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Mepham | D | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 47% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Roberts | D | 90 | 5.75 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Savage | M | 60 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Ampadu | M | 90 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Thomas | M | 90 | 5.69 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Johnson | M | 83 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. James | M | 67 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Moore | F | 67 | 6.25 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| J. James | M | 23 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Sheehan | M | 30 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Koumas | F | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Burns | F | 7 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Denmark vs Wales?
The final score was Denmark 2–0 Wales.
What did the model predict before Denmark vs Wales?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Denmark win, 19% to a draw, and 12% to an Wales win.