Denmark - Wales
⚡ Pre-match analysis
80.79%
Win
Denmark
9.03%
Draw
10.17%
Win
Wales
4.29
1.39
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Denmark
80.79%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
4–1
(7.2%)
1X2 Result
1
81%
X
9%
2
10%
Double Chance
1X
90%
X2
19%
12
91%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
92%
Over 2.5
85%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Denmark a 80% win probability, against 9% for a draw and 10% for Wales. Expected goals are 4.3 for Denmark and 1.4 for Wales (total 5.7), with a 91% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 4–1 at 7.2% probability.
Season Stats
3W
2D
3L
3W
3D
0L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.5
1.2
Conceded
0.7
4.6
Shots OT
4.3
5.9
Corners
4.7
46%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
63%
O 1.5
50%
38%
O 2.5
50%
38%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
46%
BTTS
3W
0D
1L
· at home
1W
2D
0L
· away
1.5
gls/g
1.3
0.5
Conceded
1.0
75%
Win %
33%
75%
Win or Draw
100%
75%
O 1.5
67%
25%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
33%
25%
BTTS
67%
75%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 4
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Denmark
Wales →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Denmark
Attack
53
Defence
81
Form
49
Wales
Attack
43
Defence
59
Form
16
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 4
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 4
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #2 | #4 |
| → Denmark | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Wales | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Denmark vs Wales?
The model gives Denmark a 80% win probability, 9% for a draw, and 10% for an Wales win.
How many goals are expected in Denmark vs Wales?
Expected goals: Denmark 4.3, Wales 1.4 (total 5.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 91%.
What is the most likely score in Denmark vs Wales?
4–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.2%.