Deportes Santa Cruz - San Marcos de Arica
Primera B
July 20, 2026 01:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
27.45%
Win
Deportes Santa Cruz
33.53%
Draw
39.01%
Win
San Marcos de Arica
0.85
1.17
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(15.19%)
1X2 Result
1
27%
X
34%
2
39%
Double Chance
1X
61%
X2
73%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
44%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives San Marcos de Arica a 39% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Deportes Santa Cruz. Expected goals are 0.9 for Deportes Santa Cruz and 1.2 for San Marcos de Arica (total 2.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 15.19% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Deportes Santa Cruz have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for San Marcos de Arica.
Season Stats
2W
6D
7L
6W
7D
2L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.3
1.7
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
67%
47%
O 2.5
27%
67%
BTTS
47%
13%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera B. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
48%
O 3.5
68%
BTTS
1W
4D
2L
· at home
3W
4D
1L
· away
1.7
gls/g
1.5
1.9
Conceded
0.9
14%
Win %
38%
71%
Win or Draw
88%
86%
O 1.5
75%
71%
O 2.5
38%
71%
O 3.5
25%
86%
BTTS
50%
14%
Clean Sht
38%
14%
Failed to Score
25%
last 8
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.2% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | — | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Deportes Santa Cruz
Attack
32
Defence
49
Form
32
San Marcos de Arica
Attack
29
Defence
82
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
21 Feb 2026
1–1
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cobreloa
|
17 | 33 |
| 2 |
Santiago Wanderers
|
17 | 32 |
| 3 |
San Marcos de Arica
|
17 | 29 |
| 4 |
D. Puerto Montt
|
17 | 29 |
| 5 |
San Luis
|
17 | 27 |
| 6 |
Antofagasta
|
17 | 26 |
| 7 |
Deportes Copiapo
|
17 | 26 |
| 8 |
Union Espanola
|
17 | 25 |
| 9 |
Magallanes
|
17 | 25 |
| 10 |
Deportes Temuco
|
17 | 23 |
| 11 |
Recoleta
|
17 | 22 |
| 12 |
Curico Unido
|
17 | 19 |
| 13 |
Deportes Iquique
|
17 | 17 |
| 14 |
Union San Felipe
|
17 | 16 |
| 15 |
Deportes Santa Cruz
|
17 | 12 |
| 16 |
Rangers de Talca
|
17 | 5 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
The model gives Deportes Santa Cruz a 27% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 39% for an San Marcos de Arica win.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
Expected goals: Deportes Santa Cruz 0.9, San Marcos de Arica 1.2 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.19%.