Deportes Santa Cruz - San Marcos de Arica
Primera B
October 04, 2026 01:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
27.45%
Win
Deportes Santa Cruz
33.53%
Draw
39.01%
Win
San Marcos de Arica
0.85
1.17
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(15.19%)
1X2 Result
1
27%
X
34%
2
39%
Double Chance
✓ 92.9% hit rate (14 picks)
1X
61%
X2
73%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
44%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives San Marcos de Arica a 39% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 27% for Deportes Santa Cruz. Expected goals are 0.9 for Deportes Santa Cruz and 1.2 for San Marcos de Arica (total 2.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 15.19% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Deportes Santa Cruz have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for San Marcos de Arica.
Season Stats
3W
6D
6L
4W
4D
7L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
1.1
1.2
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
80%
27%
O 2.5
40%
47%
BTTS
53%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera B. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
0W
6D
4L
· at home
3W
3D
4L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.4
1.7
Conceded
1.3
0%
Win %
30%
60%
Win or Draw
60%
80%
O 1.5
90%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
20%
70%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sht
20%
30%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Deportes Santa Cruz
San Marcos de Arica →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.2% | 15.5% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 13.2% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | — | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Deportes Santa Cruz
Attack
16
Defence
76
Form
36
San Marcos de Arica
Attack
22
Defence
62
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
21 Feb 2026
1–1
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Santiago Wanderers
|
24 | 44 |
| 2 |
Cobreloa
|
24 | 42 |
| 3 |
San Luis
|
24 | 41 |
| 4 |
Magallanes
|
25 | 40 |
| 5 |
Antofagasta
|
25 | 38 |
| 6 |
Recoleta
|
25 | 38 |
| 7 |
San Marcos de Arica
|
25 | 36 |
| 8 |
Union Espanola
|
25 | 36 |
| 9 |
D. Puerto Montt
|
25 | 34 |
| 10 |
Deportes Temuco
|
25 | 32 |
| 11 |
Deportes Copiapo
|
24 | 31 |
| 12 |
Deportes Iquique
|
25 | 28 |
| 13 |
Curico Unido
|
25 | 27 |
| 14 |
Deportes Santa Cruz
|
25 | 22 |
| 15 |
Union San Felipe
|
23 | 22 |
| 16 |
Rangers de Talca
|
25 | 18 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
The model gives Deportes Santa Cruz a 27% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 39% for an San Marcos de Arica win.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
Expected goals: Deportes Santa Cruz 0.9, San Marcos de Arica 1.2 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.19%.