The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 52% win probability (draw 23%, Bucaramanga 23%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 0–0 Bucaramanga. In 1 previous meetings, Deportes Tolima have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bucaramanga.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
1
1.10
Actual xG
0.23
59%
Possession
41%
6
Corners
1
Match Events
3'
L. Flores
21'
46'
Fabry
/
L. Flores
S. Guzman
57'
65'
A. Zarate
/
F. Charrupi
66'
K. Londono
/
L. Pons
S. Guzman
/ J. Mosquera
66'
L. Sanchez
/ K. Florez
66'
76'
J. Garcia
S. Aguayo
/ J. Valencia
77'
80'
J. Salazar
/
F. Hinestroza
80'
A. Gutierrez
/
N. Castrillon
D. Pedrozo
90'+1
S. Oliveros
90'+1
90'+2
A. Zarate
90'+4
F. Sambueza
J. Hernandez
/ D. Pedrozo
90'
H. E. Martinez Yepez
90'
Pre-match prediction
52.08%
Deportes
23.93%
X ←
23.99%
Bucaramanga
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
1.10
-0.56
1.01
0.23
-0.78
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (1.10 vs 0.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 0–0 Bucaramanga.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 23% to a draw, and 23% to an Bucaramanga win.