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Liga BetPlay · Clausura - 8 September 01, 2026 03:05 Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Iwag
Deportes Tolima
#6 · 31 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Cucuta
#14 · 9 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Deportes Tolima
L. Sanchez (ast. K. Florez) 47'
K. Florez (ast. S. Guzman) 69'
90' (ast. K. Tamayo) G. Torres
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 68% win probability (draw 19%, Cucuta 11%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 2–1 Cucuta. In 1 previous meetings, Deportes Tolima have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cucuta.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
2
0.73
Actual xG
0.33
1
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
2
11
Tackles
7
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
A. Angulo
28'
L. Sanchez
32'
C. Arrieta
45'+1
45'
V. Mejia
46'
L. Ochoa / D. Calcaterra ↕
⚽L. Sanchez · ast. K. Florez
47'
57'
K. Tamayo / E. M. Duarte Barajas ↕
57'
J. Ceballos / V. Mejia ↕
↕ L. Sanchez / E. Valencia
66'
↕ H. E. Martinez Yepez / J. Mosquera
66'
⚽K. Florez · ast. S. Guzman
69'
72'
G. Torres / Y. Abonia ↕
79'
J. Diaz / J. Agudelo ↕
↕ K. Florez / J. Hurtado
79'
J. Mosquera
81'
83'
G. Torres
J. Mosquera
86'
J. Mosquera
86'
↕ J. Hurtado / S. Aguayo
90'+6
E. Lopez
90'+6
90'
ast. K. Tamayo · G. Torres⚽
Pre-match prediction
68.49%
Deportes ←
19.53%
X
11.98%
Cucuta
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima) 68.49% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Deportes
1.94
0.73
-1.21
Cucuta
0.61
0.33
-0.28
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (0.73 vs 0.33). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4-2-3-1
1 Neto Volpi Neto Volpi G 6.20
20 J. Hernández J. Hernández D 7.00
2 A. Angulo A. Angulo D 6.50
3 J. Angulo J. Angulo D 6.60
17 C. Arrieta C. Arrieta D 6.90
14 H. Martínez H. Martínez 66' M 7.30
32 S. Guzmán S. Guzmán 1 👟 M 7.20
18 K. Flórez K. Flórez 1 ⚽ 1 👟 79' M 8.00
10 L. Sánchez L. Sánchez 1 ⚽ 66' M 7.70
28 E. López E. López M 6.90
24 A. Parra A. Parra F 6.30
Bench
8 E. Valencia E. Valencia 24' F 6.60
7 J. Cabezas J. Cabezas 10' F 6.30
33 J. Mosquera J. Mosquera 20' D 6.00
19 Joven Santiago Joven Santiago F
5 Juan Mera Juan Mera D
13 M. Ortega M. Ortega G
15 S. Aguayo S. Aguayo 1' F
30 S. P. Barbosa Gomez S. P. Barbosa Gomez D
16 V. Reyes V. Reyes M
Cucuta Cucuta 5-4-1
12 Federico Abadía Federico Abadía G 6.70
27 M. Duarte M. Duarte 57' D 6.30
10 L. Berdugo L. Berdugo D 6.30
4 J. Quiñónes J. Quiñónes D 6.30
30 B. Montaño B. Montaño D 6.50
26 Y. Abonía Y. Abonía 72' D 6.50
21 Marlon Carabali Marlon Carabali M 6.20
77 Neneco Neneco M 6.20
5 V. Mejía V. Mejía 57' M 7.00
3 D. Calcaterra D. Calcaterra 45' M 6.30
32 Jhonatan Agudelo Jhonatan Agudelo 79' F 6.90
Bench
24 D. Munoz D. Munoz G
11 G. Torres G. Torres 1 ⚽ 18' M 7.20
8 J. Ceballos J. Ceballos 33' M 6.60
31 Jesús Antonio Díaz Gómez Jesús Antonio Díaz Gómez 11' M 6.60
14 K. Tamayo K. Tamayo 1 👟 33' F 6.90
17 L. Ochoa L. Ochoa 45' D 6.50
29 L. Ríos L. Ríos M
Best on the pitch
K. Flórez
K. Flórez
M · Deportes
8.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 19 pass
L. Sánchez
L. Sánchez
M · Deportes
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
H. Martínez
H. Martínez
M · Deportes
7.30
1 shots · 34 pass
G. Torres
G. Torres
M · Cucuta
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
S. Guzmán
S. Guzmán
M · Deportes
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 52 pass
V. Mejía
V. Mejía
M · Cucuta
7.00
· 19 pass
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Neto Volpi G 90 6.20 — — — 31 20% — — —
J. Hernández D 90 7.00 — — — 38 31% 2 — —
A. Angulo D 90 6.50 — — 1 58 52% 1 1 —
J. Angulo D 90 6.60 — — — 75 68% — — —
C. Arrieta D 90 6.90 — — — 53 48% 2 1 —
H. Martínez M 66 7.30 — — 1 34 30% 2 — —
S. Guzmán M 90 7.20 — 1 1 52 49% — — —
K. Flórez M 79 8.00 1 1 4 19 14% — — —
L. Sánchez M 66 7.70 1 — 3 19 17% 2 1 —
E. López M 90 6.90 — — 2 36 30% 1 — —
A. Parra F 90 6.30 — — — 13 7% — — —
E. Valencia F 24 6.60 — — — 19 14% — — —
J. Cabezas F 10 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
J. Mosquera D 20 6.00 — — — 10 8% 1 2 1
S. Aguayo F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Cucuta Cucuta — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Federico Abadía G 90 6.70 — — — 32 22% — — —
M. Duarte D 57 6.30 — — — 20 13% — — —
L. Berdugo D 90 6.30 — — 1 38 30% — — —
J. Quiñónes D 90 6.30 — — — 32 26% — — —
B. Montaño D 90 6.50 — — — 54 44% 1 — —
Y. Abonía D 72 6.50 — — — 17 15% — — —
Marlon Carabali M 90 6.20 — — 2 20 16% — — —
Neneco M 90 6.20 — — — 26 22% 1 — —
V. Mejía M 57 7.00 — — — 19 15% 3 1 —
D. Calcaterra M 45 6.30 — — — 10 6% — — —
Jhonatan Agudelo F 79 6.90 — — — 21 19% — — —
G. Torres M 18 7.20 1 — 1 3 2% — 1 —
J. Ceballos M 33 6.60 — — — 23 19% 1 — —
Jesús Antonio Díaz Gómez M 11 6.60 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
K. Tamayo F 33 6.90 — 1 — 20 17% — — —
L. Ochoa D 45 6.50 — — — 28 22% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 2–1 Cucuta.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 19% to a draw, and 11% to an Cucuta win.