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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 19 May 03, 2026 22:30 Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Iwag
Deportes Tolima
#6 · 31 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Deportivo Cali
#2 · 21 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Deportes Tolima, result Draw
E. Valencia 12' (pen.)
(pen.) 53' Titi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Deportivo Cali 19%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 1–1 Deportivo Cali.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
3
1.34
Actual xG
1.37
4
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
3
17
Tackles
14
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽E. Valencia (pen.)
12'
J. Valencia
17'
21'
F. Aguilar
↕ Y. Osorio / J. Angulo
38'
J. Mosquera
38'
46'
A. Hurtado / F. Aguilar ↕
S. P. Barbosa Gomez
49'
53'
(pen.) Titi⚽
↕ J. Hernandez / E. Lopez
58'
↕ J. Valencia / L. Sandoval
58'
↕ J. Nieto / B. Rovira
58'
L. Sandoval
61'
62'
M. Orozco
68'
J. Montoya / J. Martinez ↕
68'
G. Cuellar / A. Hurtado ↕
68'
D. Giraldo / R. Pajaro ↕
↕ S. P. Barbosa Gomez / S. Guzman
72'
C. Trujillo
80'
82'
J. Galindo / M. Orozco ↕
83'
J. Galindo
J. Gonzalez
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
56.34%
Deportes
23.97%
X ←
19.69%
Deportivo
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.97% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Deportes
1.69
1.34
-0.35
Deportivo
0.75
1.37
+0.62
xG dominance was balanced (1.34 – 1.37). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4-2-3-1
22
G 6.50
30 S. P. Barbosa Gomez S. P. Barbosa Gomez 72' D 6.50
4 D. Pedrozo D. Pedrozo D 6.70
71 Y. Osorio Y. Osorio 38' D 6.60
33 J. Mosquera J. Mosquera D 6.70
6 C. Trujillo C. Trujillo 80' M 6.00
15 J. Nieto J. Nieto 58' M 6.50
20 J. Hernández J. Hernández 58' M 6.20
8 E. Valencia E. Valencia 1 ⚽ M 8.20
7 J. González J. González M 6.90
11 J. Valencia J. Valencia 58' F 6.50
Bench
80 B. Rovira B. Rovira 32' M 6.90
28 E. López E. López 32' F 6.70
3 J. Angulo J. Angulo 52' D 6.50
18 K. Flórez K. Flórez F
9 L. Sandoval L. Sandoval 32' F 6.20
32 S. Guzmán S. Guzmán 18' M 6.90
31 Yoimar Moreno Yoimar Moreno M
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 5-3-2
1
G 7.60
3 A. Correa A. Correa D 6.30
2 Felipe Aguilar Felipe Aguilar 45' D 6.70
21 Julián Quiñones Julián Quiñones D 6.20
16
D 6.30
27 F. Viáfara F. Viáfara D 6.70
6 Ronaldo Pájaro Ronaldo Pájaro 68' M 6.60
19 J. Martínez J. Martínez 68' M 7.00
39 Matias Orozco Matias Orozco 82' M 6.30
23 S. Rodríguez S. Rodríguez 1 ⚽ F 7.20
9 J. Dinenno J. Dinenno F 5.90
Bench
18 A. Hurtado A. Hurtado 23' F 7.00
38 A. Rodríguez A. Rodríguez G
8 D. Giraldo D. Giraldo 22' M 6.70
4 Fernando Antonio Álvarez Amador Fernando Antonio Álvarez Amador D
33
J. Galindo 8' F 6.50
26 J. Tello J. Tello D
Best on the pitch
E. Valencia
E. Valencia
M · Deportes
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 32 pass
G · Deportivo
7.60
· 22 pass
S. Rodríguez
S. Rodríguez
F · Deportivo
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 20 pass
A. Hurtado
A. Hurtado
F · Deportivo
7.00
1 shots · 1 pass
J. Martínez
J. Martínez
M · Deportivo
7.00
· 27 pass
S. Guzmán
S. Guzmán
M · Deportes
6.90
2 shots · 16 pass
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 36 13% — — —
S. P. Barbosa Gomez D 72 6.50 — — — 18 12% 1 1 —
D. Pedrozo D 90 6.70 — — — 29 18% 1 — —
Y. Osorio D 38 6.60 — — — 13 9% — — —
J. Mosquera D 90 6.70 — — 2 34 29% 2 1 —
C. Trujillo M 80 6.00 — — 1 36 27% 4 — 1
J. Nieto M 58 6.50 — — — 22 18% — — —
J. Hernández M 58 6.20 — — — 10 8% — — —
E. Valencia M 90 8.20 1 — 3 32 28% 1 — —
J. González M 90 6.90 — — — 19 12% 5 1 —
J. Valencia F 58 6.50 — — — 13 12% 1 1 —
B. Rovira M 32 6.90 — — 1 8 7% 1 — —
E. López F 32 6.70 — — — 13 10% — — —
J. Angulo D 52 6.50 — — 1 19 13% 1 — —
L. Sandoval F 32 6.20 — — 2 15 11% — 1 —
S. Guzmán M 18 6.90 — — 2 16 13% — — —
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 22 13% — — —
A. Correa D 90 6.30 — — 1 29 22% 2 — —
Felipe Aguilar D 45 6.70 — — 1 41 35% — 1 —
Julián Quiñones D 90 6.20 — — — 46 34% 1 — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 43 37% 3 — —
F. Viáfara D 90 6.70 — — — 27 18% 3 — —
Ronaldo Pájaro M 68 6.60 — — 1 31 23% 2 — —
J. Martínez M 68 7.00 — — — 27 24% — — —
Matias Orozco M 82 6.30 — — 2 47 31% 2 1 —
S. Rodríguez F 90 7.20 1 — 3 20 17% 1 — —
J. Dinenno F 90 5.90 — — 2 17 9% — — —
A. Hurtado F 23 7.00 — — 1 1 1% — — —
D. Giraldo M 22 6.70 — — — 14 10% — — —
J. Galindo F 8 6.50 — — — 5 5% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 1–1 Deportivo Cali.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Deportivo Cali win.