Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 19
May 03, 2026 22:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Deportes Tolima, result Pareggio
E. Valencia
12'
(pen.)
(pen.)
53'
Titi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Deportivo Cali 19%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 1–1 Deportivo Cali.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
3
1.34
Actual xG
1.37
4
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
3
17
Tackles
14
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽E. Valencia
(pen.)
12'
J. Valencia
17'
21'
F. Aguilar
Y. Osorio
/ J. Angulo
38'
J. Mosquera
38'
46'
A. Hurtado
/
F. Aguilar
S. P. Barbosa Gomez
49'
53'
(pen.)
Titi⚽
J. Hernandez
/ E. Lopez
58'
J. Valencia
/ L. Sandoval
58'
J. Nieto
/ B. Rovira
58'
L. Sandoval
61'
62'
M. Orozco
68'
J. Montoya
/
J. Martinez
68'
G. Cuellar
/
A. Hurtado
68'
D. Giraldo
/
R. Pajaro
S. P. Barbosa Gomez
/ S. Guzman
72'
C. Trujillo
80'
82'
J. Galindo
/
M. Orozco
83'
J. Galindo
J. Gonzalez
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
56.34%
Deportes
23.97%
X ←
19.69%
Deportivo
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.97%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.69
1.34
-0.35
0.75
1.37
+0.62
xG dominance was balanced (1.34 – 1.37).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
30
Shean Barbosa
72'
D
Shean Barbosa
72'
D
4
Daniel Pedrozo
D
Daniel Pedrozo
D
71
Y. Osorio
38'
D
33
Jherson Mosquera
D
Jherson Mosquera
D
6
Cristian Trujillo
80'
M
15
Juan Pablo Nieto
58'
M
Juan Pablo Nieto
58'
M
20
J. Hernandez
58'
M
8
Ever Valencia
1 ⚽
M
Ever Valencia
1 ⚽
M
7
J. González
M
J. González
M
11
Jader Valencia
58'
F
Jader Valencia
58'
F
Bench
80
Brayan Rovira
32'
M
Brayan Rovira
32'
M
28
Edwar López
32'
F
Edwar López
32'
F
3
Jan Ángulo
52'
D
Jan Ángulo
52'
D
18
Kelvin Florez
F
Kelvin Florez
F
9
L. Sandoval
32'
F
L. Sandoval
32'
F
32
S. Guzmán
18'
M
S. Guzmán
18'
M
31
Yoimar Moreno
M
Yoimar Moreno
M
1
G
3
A. Correa
D
2
F. Aguilar
45'
D
F. Aguilar
45'
D
21
Julián Quiñones
D
16
D
27
F. Viafara
D
6
Ronaldo Pájaro
68'
M
19
J. Martinez
68'
M
39
Matias Orozco
82'
M
23
S. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
F
S. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
F
9
J. Dinenno
F
Bench
18
A. Hurtado
23'
F
A. Hurtado
23'
F
38
Alejandro Rodríguez
G
8
Daniel Giraldo
22'
M
4
Fernando Álvarez
D
33
J. Galindo
8'
F
26
Juan José Tello
D
Best on the pitch
Ever Valencia
M · Deportes
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 32 pass
G · Deportivo
7.60
· 22 pass
S. Rodríguez
F · Deportivo
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 20 pass
A. Hurtado
F · Deportivo
7.00
1 shots
· 1 pass
J. Martinez
M · Deportivo
7.00
· 27 pass
S. Guzmán
M · Deportes
6.90
2 shots
· 16 pass
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Shean Barbosa | D | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Pedrozo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Osorio | D | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jherson Mosquera | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Cristian Trujillo | M | 80 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 4 | — | 1 |
| Juan Pablo Nieto | M | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Hernandez | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ever Valencia | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| J. González | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Jader Valencia | F | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Brayan Rovira | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Edwar López | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jan Ángulo | D | 52 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Sandoval | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Guzmán | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Cali — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| A. Correa | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Aguilar | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| Julián Quiñones | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 3 | — | — | |
| F. Viafara | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Ronaldo Pájaro | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Martinez | M | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Matias Orozco | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Rodríguez | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Dinenno | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Hurtado | F | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Giraldo | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Galindo | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 1–1 Deportivo Cali.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Cali?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 23% to a draw, and 19% to an Deportivo Cali win.