✓Model correct — prediction Deportes Tolima
L. Sandoval
41'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 59% win probability (draw 21%, Deportivo Pasto 18%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 1–0 Deportivo Pasto. In 2 previous meetings, Deportes Tolima have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Pasto.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
5
0.80
Actual xG
0.32
3
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
6
Corners
6
21
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
39'
A. Estupinan
⚽L. Sandoval
41'
45'+1
Y. Goez
C. Arrieta
/ D. Pedrozo
46'
47'
M. Garavito
K. Florez
/ J. Mosquera
58'
A. Parra Osorio
/ J. Gonzalez
58'
64'
S. Cordoba
/
J. Perlaza
S. Guzman
/ J. Nieto
71'
75'
D. Chavez
/
H. Mancilla
75'
J. Micolta Piedahita
/
M. Garavito
75'
M. Gil
/
A. Estupinan
J. P. Torres Patino
/ E. Valencia
80'
89'
W. Morelo
/
Y. Goez
Pre-match prediction
59.77%
Deportes ←
21.68%
X
18.55%
Deportivo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima)
59.77%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.85
0.80
-1.05
0.80
0.32
-0.48
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (0.80 vs 0.32).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Neto Volpi
G
Neto Volpi
G
17
C. Arrieta
45'
D
C. Arrieta
45'
D
2
Anderson Angulo
D
Anderson Angulo
D
3
Jan Ángulo
D
Jan Ángulo
D
28
Edwar López
D
Edwar López
D
18
K. Flórez
58'
M
K. Flórez
58'
M
32
Sebastián Guzmán
71'
M
Sebastián Guzmán
71'
M
80
Brayan Rovira
M
Brayan Rovira
M
24
Adrián Parra
58'
M
Adrián Parra
58'
M
9
L. Sandoval
1 ⚽
F
L. Sandoval
1 ⚽
F
10
J. Torres
80'
F
J. Torres
80'
F
Bench
4
Daniel Pedrozo
45'
D
Daniel Pedrozo
45'
D
8
Ever Valencia
10'
F
Ever Valencia
10'
F
7
J. González
32'
F
J. González
32'
F
33
Jherson Mosquera
32'
D
Jherson Mosquera
32'
D
15
Juan Pablo Nieto
19'
M
Juan Pablo Nieto
19'
M
22
Luis Marquinez
G
Luis Marquinez
G
19
Santiago Joven
F
Santiago Joven
F
30
Shean Barbosa
D
Shean Barbosa
D
31
Yoimar Moreno
M
Yoimar Moreno
M
12
Geovanni Banguera
G
Geovanni Banguera
G
21
Edwin Velasco
D
Edwin Velasco
D
5
Nicolas Gil Uribe
D
Nicolas Gil Uribe
D
8
Enrique Serje
D
Enrique Serje
D
33
Mateo Garavito
75'
D
Mateo Garavito
75'
D
27
Hervin Goyes
M
Hervin Goyes
M
23
Yeiler Góez
89'
M
Yeiler Góez
89'
M
6
J. Caicedo
M
J. Caicedo
M
15
Harrinson Mancilla
75'
M
Harrinson Mancilla
75'
M
7
Jonathan Perlaza
64'
F
Jonathan Perlaza
64'
F
11
A. Estupiñán
75'
F
A. Estupiñán
75'
F
Bench
10
Diego Chávez
15'
M
Diego Chávez
15'
M
13
Frank Martínez
M
Frank Martínez
M
1
Iago Herrerín
G
Iago Herrerín
G
18
Joider Micolta
15'
M
Joider Micolta
15'
M
17
Jose Bernal
M
Jose Bernal
M
32
Matías Pisano
M
Matías Pisano
M
16
Mayer Gil
15'
M
Mayer Gil
15'
M
29
Santiago Córdoba
26'
F
Santiago Córdoba
26'
F
19
Wilson Morelo
1'
F
Wilson Morelo
1'
F
Best on the pitch
Neto Volpi
G · Deportes
7.90
· 16 pass
Anderson Angulo
D · Deportes
7.70
· 63 pass
Brayan Rovira
M · Deportes
7.60
1 shots
· 69 pass
Sebastián Guzmán
M · Deportes
7.50
· 52 pass
Geovanni Banguera
G · Deportivo
7.30
· 21 pass
Jan Ángulo
D · Deportes
7.30
· 79 pass
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neto Volpi | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| C. Arrieta | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Anderson Angulo | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 63 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Ángulo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 79 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Edwar López | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | 6 | — | — |
| K. Flórez | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
| Sebastián Guzmán | M | 71 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Brayan Rovira | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| Adrián Parra | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Sandoval | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Torres | F | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Pedrozo | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Ever Valencia | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. González | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Jherson Mosquera | D | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Pablo Nieto | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geovanni Banguera | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Edwin Velasco | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Gil Uribe | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Enrique Serje | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Mateo Garavito | D | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Hervin Goyes | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Yeiler Góez | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Caicedo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Harrinson Mancilla | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Perlaza | F | 64 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Estupiñán | F | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Diego Chávez | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Joider Micolta | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Mayer Gil | M | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Córdoba | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Wilson Morelo | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 1–0 Deportivo Pasto.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 21% to a draw, and 18% to an Deportivo Pasto win.