✓Model correct — prediction Deportes Tolima
A. Parra Osorio
2'
B. Rovira
(ast. S. Guzman)
49'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 79% win probability (draw 13%, Deportivo Pereira 7%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 2–0 Deportivo Pereira.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
1.40
Actual xG
0.24
2
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
7
Corners
3
4
Tackles
6
Match Events
⚽A. Parra Osorio
2'
E. Valencia
/ J. Mosquera
46'
⚽B. Rovira
· ast. S. Guzman
49'
60'
J. Monroy
/
M. Diaz
A. Angulo
/ C. Trujillo
64'
S. Guzman
/ J. Nieto
64'
75'
S. Acosta
/
J. Largacha
75'
F. Delgado
/
Y. Quinones
K. Florez
/ E. Ricardo
75'
J. P. Torres Patino
/ J. Gonzalez
75'
80'
J. Morales
/
M. Aguirre
80'
J. Urrea
/
R. Renteria
Pre-match prediction
79.07%
Deportes ←
13.03%
X
7.9%
Deportivo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima)
79.07%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.01
1.40
-1.61
0.60
0.24
-0.36
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (1.40 vs 0.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
32
S. Guzmán
1 👟
64'
D
S. Guzmán
1 👟
64'
D
3
J. Angulo
D
J. Angulo
D
2
A. Angulo
64'
D
A. Angulo
64'
D
18
K. Flórez
75'
D
K. Flórez
75'
D
24
A. Parra
1 ⚽
M
A. Parra
1 ⚽
M
80
Brayan Rovira
1 ⚽
M
Brayan Rovira
1 ⚽
M
30
S. P. Barbosa Gomez
M
S. P. Barbosa Gomez
M
28
E. López
M
E. López
M
8
E. Valencia
45'
F
E. Valencia
45'
F
10
J. Torres
75'
F
J. Torres
75'
F
Bench
17
C. Arrieta
D
C. Arrieta
D
6
C. Trujillo
26'
M
C. Trujillo
26'
M
14
E. Ricardo
15'
M
7
J. González
15'
F
J. González
15'
F
33
J. Mosquera
45'
D
J. Mosquera
45'
D
15
Juan Pablo Nieto
26'
M
Juan Pablo Nieto
26'
M
1
G
30
D
29
R. Rentería
80'
D
R. Rentería
80'
D
2
S. Urrea
D
S. Urrea
D
21
W. Pacheco
D
W. Pacheco
D
3
N. Rengifo
M
N. Rengifo
M
5
J. Bermúdez
M
J. Bermúdez
M
88
J. Quiñones
75'
M
J. Quiñones
75'
M
19
M. Aguirre
80'
M
M. Aguirre
80'
M
11
J. Largacha
75'
M
J. Largacha
75'
M
31
M. Diaz
59'
F
M. Diaz
59'
F
Bench
16
Eber Moreno
D
Eber Moreno
D
20
J. Monroy
31'
D
J. Monroy
31'
D
24
Juan Urrea
10'
F
10
S. Acosta
15'
M
S. Acosta
15'
M
Best on the pitch
Brayan Rovira
M · Deportes
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 47 pass
S. Guzmán
D · Deportes
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 79 pass
J. Angulo
D · Deportes
7.20
· 83 pass
A. Angulo
D · Deportes
7.20
· 44 pass
J. Torres
F · Deportes
7.20
1 shots
· 49 pass
G · Deportes
7.00
· 25 pass
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| S. Guzmán | D | 64 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 79 | 77% | — | — | — |
| J. Angulo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 83 | 78% | — | — | — |
| A. Angulo | D | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 42% | — | — | — |
| K. Flórez | D | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Parra | M | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Brayan Rovira | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 47 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| S. P. Barbosa Gomez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| E. López | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Valencia | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Torres | F | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 42% | — | — | — |
| C. Trujillo | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| E. Ricardo | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. González | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Mosquera | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Juan Pablo Nieto | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Pereira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 19% | 1 | — | — | |
| R. Rentería | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Urrea | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Pacheco | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| N. Rengifo | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| J. Bermúdez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Quiñones | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Aguirre | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Largacha | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Diaz | F | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Monroy | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Juan Urrea | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Acosta | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 2–0 Deportivo Pereira.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model assigned 79% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 13% to a draw, and 7% to an Deportivo Pereira win.