✓Model correct — prediction Deportes Tolima
A. Parra Osorio
2'
B. Rovira
(ast. S. Guzman)
49'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 79% win probability (draw 13%, Deportivo Pereira 7%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 2–0 Deportivo Pereira.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
2
1.40
Actual xG
0.24
2
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
7
Corners
3
4
Tackles
6
Match Events
⚽A. Parra Osorio
2'
E. Valencia
/ J. Mosquera
46'
⚽B. Rovira
· ast. S. Guzman
49'
60'
J. Monroy
/
M. Diaz
A. Angulo
/ C. Trujillo
64'
S. Guzman
/ J. Nieto
64'
75'
S. Acosta
/
J. Largacha
75'
F. Delgado
/
Y. Quinones
K. Florez
/ E. Ricardo
75'
J. P. Torres Patino
/ J. Gonzalez
75'
80'
J. Morales
/
M. Aguirre
80'
J. Urrea
/
R. Renteria
Pre-match prediction
79.07%
Deportes ←
13.03%
X
7.9%
Deportivo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima)
79.07%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.01
1.40
-1.61
0.60
0.24
-0.36
Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (1.40 vs 0.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
32
Sebastián Guzmán
1 👟
64'
D
Sebastián Guzmán
1 👟
64'
D
3
Jan Ángulo
D
Jan Ángulo
D
2
Anderson Angulo
64'
D
Anderson Angulo
64'
D
18
K. Flórez
75'
D
K. Flórez
75'
D
24
Adrián Parra
1 ⚽
M
Adrián Parra
1 ⚽
M
80
Brayan Rovira
1 ⚽
M
Brayan Rovira
1 ⚽
M
30
Shean Barbosa
M
Shean Barbosa
M
28
Edwar López
M
Edwar López
M
8
Ever Valencia
45'
F
Ever Valencia
45'
F
10
J. Torres
75'
F
J. Torres
75'
F
Bench
17
C. Arrieta
D
C. Arrieta
D
6
Cristian Trujillo
26'
M
Cristian Trujillo
26'
M
14
E. Ricardo
15'
M
7
J. González
15'
F
J. González
15'
F
33
Jherson Mosquera
45'
D
Jherson Mosquera
45'
D
15
Juan Pablo Nieto
26'
M
Juan Pablo Nieto
26'
M
1
G
30
D
29
Richard Rentería
80'
D
2
Sebastián Urrea
D
21
W. Pacheco
D
W. Pacheco
D
3
Nicolas Rengifo
M
5
Jorge Bermúdez
M
88
Y. Quinones
75'
M
19
M. Aguirre
80'
M
11
Jhon Largacha
75'
M
31
Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
59'
F
Bench
16
Eber Moreno
D
20
Jordy Monroy
31'
D
24
Juan Urrea
10'
F
10
S. Acosta
15'
M
Best on the pitch
Brayan Rovira
M · Deportes
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 47 pass
Sebastián Guzmán
D · Deportes
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 79 pass
Jan Ángulo
D · Deportes
7.20
· 83 pass
Anderson Angulo
D · Deportes
7.20
· 44 pass
J. Torres
F · Deportes
7.20
1 shots
· 49 pass
G · Deportes
7.00
· 25 pass
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Sebastián Guzmán | D | 64 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 79 | 77% | — | — | — |
| Jan Ángulo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 83 | 78% | — | — | — |
| Anderson Angulo | D | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 42% | — | — | — |
| K. Flórez | D | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Adrián Parra | M | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Brayan Rovira | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 47 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Shean Barbosa | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Edwar López | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Ever Valencia | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Torres | F | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Trujillo | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| E. Ricardo | M | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. González | F | 15 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jherson Mosquera | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Juan Pablo Nieto | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Pereira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 19% | 1 | — | — | |
| Richard Rentería | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastián Urrea | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Pacheco | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Rengifo | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Bermúdez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Y. Quinones | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Aguirre | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Largacha | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez | F | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jordy Monroy | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Juan Urrea | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Acosta | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 2–0 Deportivo Pereira.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model assigned 79% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 13% to a draw, and 7% to an Deportivo Pereira win.