Liga BetPlay · Clausura - 4 August 09, 2026 01:25 Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague

Deportes Tolima

#6 · 31 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Internacional de Bogota

#8 · 28 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Deportes Tolima

A. Parra Osorio (ast. J. Hurtado) 12'

E. Valencia (ast. A. Parra Osorio) 51'

61' (ast. C. Dajome) F. Sanguinetti

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 71% win probability (draw 16%, Internacional de Bogota 12%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 2–1 Internacional de Bogota. In 1 previous meetings, Deportes Tolima have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Internacional de Bogota.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

11

6

Shots on target

5

0.95

Actual xG

0.58

3

Saves

3

59%

Possession

41%

8

Corners

7

10

Tackles

16

2

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽A. Parra Osorio · ast. J. Hurtado

12'

J. Hurtado

24'

↕ J. Hurtado / H. E. Martinez Yepez

35'

A. Parra Osorio

45'+1

⚽E. Valencia · ast. A. Parra Osorio

51'

53'

Y. A. Gomez Mosquera

59'

J. Caballero / D. Duarte ↕

61'

ast. C. Dajome · F. Sanguinetti⚽

↕ J. Hernandez / J. Mosquera

68'

↕ K. Florez / J. Valencia

68'

↕ S. Guzman / L. Sandoval

68'

↕ L. Sanchez / V. Reyes

80'

85'

R. Manjarres / D. Quinones ↕

87'

Y. Garces / F. Sanguinetti ↕

87'

Y. Garcia / C. Dajome ↕

90'+3

R. Valino

Pre-match prediction

71.29%

Deportes ←

16.53%

X

12.18%

Internacional

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima) 71.29% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Deportes

2.39

0.95

-1.44

Internacional

0.76

0.58

-0.18

Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (0.95 vs 0.58). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	40
2	Junior	19	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	34
4	America de Cali	19	33
5	Once Caldas	19	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	31
7	Santa Fe	19	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	27
10	Millonarios	19	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	23
14	Llaneros	19	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	22
16	Jaguares	19	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	17
18	Chico	19	17
19	Cucuta	19	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	10

Lineups

Deportes Tolima 4-2-3-1

13 Miguel Ortega G 6.50

20 Junior Hernández 68' D 6.30

71 Yordan Osorio D 7.20

3 Jan Ángulo D 6.90

17 C. Arrieta D 6.50

32 S. Guzmán 68' M 7.30

8 Ever Valencia 1 ⚽ M 7.90

18 K. Flórez 68' M 6.30

10 Luis Sánchez 80' M 6.90

7 Jorge Hurtado 1 👟 35' M 6.30

24 Adrián Parra 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.90

Bench

4 D. Pedrozo D

28 Edwar López F

23 G. Balanta G

14 Homer Martinez 55' M 6.90

11 Jader Valencia 22' F 6.60

33 Jherson Mosquera 22' D 6.90

9 Luis Sandoval 22' F 6.50

16 V. Reyes 10' M 6.70

Internacional de Bogota 4-4-2

1 Wuilker Faríñez G 6.30

16 Yulián Gómez D 6.30

26 Agustín Irazoque D 6.00

2 Carlos Vivas D 7.30

25 Ronaldo Julio D 6.50

7 Fabricio Sanguinetti 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.60

5 Larry Vásquez M 6.90

15 D. Quiñonez 85' M 6.60

11 Cristián Dájome 1 👟 87' M 7.20

9 Diego Duarte 59' F 6.30

10 Facundo Boné F 7.20

Bench

4 D. Rodas D

23 Johan Caballero 31' F 6.70

33 Kevin Cataño G

13 Miguel Pernia D

24 Ruben Manjarres 11' M 6.90

19 Yeider Garcia 9' F 6.50

21 Y. Garcés 9' F 6.30

Best on the pitch

Adrián Parra

F · Deportes

8.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 42 pass

Ever Valencia

M · Deportes

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 55 pass

Fabricio Sanguinetti

M · Internacional

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 19 pass

Carlos Vivas

D · Internacional

7.30

1 shots · 54 pass

S. Guzmán

M · Deportes

7.30

· 60 pass

Cristián Dájome

M · Internacional

7.20

1 👟

· 22 pass

Deportes Tolima — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Miguel Ortega	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	26	18%	—	—	—
Junior Hernández	D	68	6.30	—	—	—	30	20%	1	—	—
Yordan Osorio	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	48	42%	2	—	—
Jan Ángulo	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	41	34%	1	—	—
C. Arrieta	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	37	33%	1	—	—
S. Guzmán	M	68	7.30	—	—	—	60	53%	—	—	—
Ever Valencia	M	90	7.90	1	—	1	55	42%	—	—	—
K. Flórez	M	68	6.30	—	—	2	13	9%	1	—	—
Luis Sánchez	M	80	6.90	—	—	—	54	46%	—	—	—
Jorge Hurtado	M	35	6.30	—	1	1	15	12%	—	1	—
Adrián Parra	F	90	8.90	1	1	3	42	38%	1	1	—
Homer Martinez	M	55	6.90	—	—	—	29	28%	—	—	—
Jader Valencia	F	22	6.60	—	—	1	11	10%	2	—	—
Jherson Mosquera	D	22	6.90	—	—	—	18	16%	1	—	—
Luis Sandoval	F	22	6.50	—	—	2	23	21%	—	—	—
V. Reyes	M	10	6.70	—	—	1	12	12%	—	—	—

Internacional de Bogota — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Wuilker Faríñez	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	36	27%	—	—	—
Yulián Gómez	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	23	19%	1	1	—
Agustín Irazoque	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	33	29%	—	—	—
Carlos Vivas	D	90	7.30	—	—	1	54	44%	2	—	—
Ronaldo Julio	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	35	23%	2	—	—
Fabricio Sanguinetti	M	87	7.60	1	—	2	19	12%	—	—	—
Larry Vásquez	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	41	37%	2	—	—
D. Quiñonez	M	85	6.60	—	—	1	16	13%	2	—	—
Cristián Dájome	M	87	7.20	—	1	—	22	19%	2	—	—
Diego Duarte	F	59	6.30	—	—	3	16	10%	—	—	—
Facundo Boné	F	90	7.20	—	—	2	26	21%	2	—	—
Johan Caballero	F	31	6.70	—	—	1	12	10%	1	—	—
Ruben Manjarres	M	11	6.90	—	—	—	7	6%	2	—	—
Yeider Garcia	F	9	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Y. Garcés	F	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—