Liga BetPlay · Clausura - 4 August 09, 2026 01:25 Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague

Deportes Tolima

#2 · 16 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Internacional de Bogota

#7 · 11 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Deportes Tolima

A. Parra Osorio (ast. J. Hurtado) 12'

E. Valencia (ast. A. Parra Osorio) 51'

61' (ast. C. Dajome) F. Sanguinetti

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 71% win probability (draw 16%, Internacional de Bogota 12%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 2–1 Internacional de Bogota. In 1 previous meetings, Deportes Tolima have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Internacional de Bogota.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

11

6

Shots on target

5

0.95

Actual xG

0.58

3

Saves

3

59%

Possession

41%

8

Corners

7

10

Tackles

16

2

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

⚽A. Parra Osorio · ast. J. Hurtado

12'

J. Hurtado

24'

↕ J. Hurtado / H. E. Martinez Yepez

35'

A. Parra Osorio

45'+1

⚽E. Valencia · ast. A. Parra Osorio

51'

53'

Y. A. Gomez Mosquera

59'

J. Caballero / D. Duarte ↕

61'

ast. C. Dajome · F. Sanguinetti⚽

↕ J. Hernandez / J. Mosquera

68'

↕ K. Florez / J. Valencia

68'

↕ S. Guzman / L. Sandoval

68'

↕ L. Sanchez / V. Reyes

80'

85'

R. Manjarres / D. Quinones ↕

87'

Y. Garces / F. Sanguinetti ↕

87'

Y. Garcia / C. Dajome ↕

90'+3

R. Valino

Pre-match prediction

71.29%

Deportes ←

16.53%

X

12.18%

Internacional

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Deportes Tolima) 71.29% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Deportes

2.39

0.95

-1.44

Internacional

0.76

0.58

-0.18

Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (0.95 vs 0.58). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	America de Cali	8	20
2	Deportes Tolima	8	16
3	Independiente Medellin	7	15
4	Santa Fe	8	13
5	Millonarios	9	13
6	Atletico Nacional	5	12
7	Internacional de Bogota	9	11
8	Llaneros	9	11
9	Águilas Doradas	6	10
10	Bucaramanga	6	10
11	Once Caldas	7	9
12	Deportivo Cali	7	9
13	Cucuta	8	9
14	Fortaleza FC	9	8
15	Chico	7	8
16	Jaguares	8	7
17	Deportivo Pereira	6	6
18	Junior	6	3
19	Deportivo Pasto	8	2
20	Alianza Valledupar	7	2

Lineups

Deportes Tolima 4-2-3-1

13 M. Ortega G 6.50

20 J. Hernández 68' D 6.30

71 Yordan Osorio D 7.20

3 J. Angulo D 6.90

17 C. Arrieta D 6.50

32 S. Guzmán 68' M 7.30

8 E. Valencia 1 ⚽ M 7.90

18 K. Flórez 68' M 6.30

10 L. Sánchez 80' M 6.90

7 J. Cabezas 1 👟 35' M 6.30

24 A. Parra 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.90

Bench

4 D. Pedrozo D

28 E. López F

23 Gali Balanta G

14 H. Martínez 55' M 6.90

33 J. Mosquera 22' D 6.90

11 J. Valencia 22' F 6.60

9 L. Sandoval 22' F 6.50

16 V. Reyes 10' M 6.70

Internacional de Bogota 4-4-2

1 W. Fariñez G 6.30

16 Yulián Gómez D 6.30

26 A. Irazoque D 6.00

2 C. Vivas D 7.30

25 Ronaldo Julio D 6.50

7 F. Sanguinetti 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.60

5 L. Vásquez M 6.90

15 D. Quiñonez 85' M 6.60

11 Cristián Dájome 1 👟 87' M 7.20

9 D. Duarte 59' F 6.30

10 F. Boné F 7.20

Bench

4 D. Rodas D

23 J. Caballero 31' F 6.70

33 Kevin Cataño G

13 M. Pernía D

24 R. Manjarrés 11' M 6.90

19 Yeider Garcia 9' F 6.50

21 Y. Garcés 9' F 6.30

Best on the pitch

A. Parra

F · Deportes

8.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

3 shots · 42 pass

E. Valencia

M · Deportes

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 55 pass

F. Sanguinetti

M · Internacional

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 19 pass

C. Vivas

D · Internacional

7.30

1 shots · 54 pass

S. Guzmán

M · Deportes

7.30

· 60 pass

Cristián Dájome

M · Internacional

7.20

1 👟

· 22 pass

Deportes Tolima — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Ortega	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	26	18%	—	—	—
J. Hernández	D	68	6.30	—	—	—	30	20%	1	—	—
Yordan Osorio	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	48	42%	2	—	—
J. Angulo	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	41	34%	1	—	—
C. Arrieta	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	37	33%	1	—	—
S. Guzmán	M	68	7.30	—	—	—	60	53%	—	—	—
E. Valencia	M	90	7.90	1	—	1	55	42%	—	—	—
K. Flórez	M	68	6.30	—	—	2	13	9%	1	—	—
L. Sánchez	M	80	6.90	—	—	—	54	46%	—	—	—
J. Cabezas	M	35	6.30	—	1	1	15	12%	—	1	—
A. Parra	F	90	8.90	1	1	3	42	38%	1	1	—
H. Martínez	M	55	6.90	—	—	—	29	28%	—	—	—
J. Mosquera	D	22	6.90	—	—	—	18	16%	1	—	—
J. Valencia	F	22	6.60	—	—	1	11	10%	2	—	—
L. Sandoval	F	22	6.50	—	—	2	23	21%	—	—	—
V. Reyes	M	10	6.70	—	—	1	12	12%	—	—	—

Internacional de Bogota — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
W. Fariñez	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	36	27%	—	—	—
Yulián Gómez	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	23	19%	1	1	—
A. Irazoque	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	33	29%	—	—	—
C. Vivas	D	90	7.30	—	—	1	54	44%	2	—	—
Ronaldo Julio	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	35	23%	2	—	—
F. Sanguinetti	M	87	7.60	1	—	2	19	12%	—	—	—
L. Vásquez	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	41	37%	2	—	—
D. Quiñonez	M	85	6.60	—	—	1	16	13%	2	—	—
Cristián Dájome	M	87	7.20	—	1	—	22	19%	2	—	—
D. Duarte	F	59	6.30	—	—	3	16	10%	—	—	—
F. Boné	F	90	7.20	—	—	2	26	21%	2	—	—
J. Caballero	F	31	6.70	—	—	1	12	10%	1	—	—
R. Manjarrés	M	11	6.90	—	—	—	7	6%	2	—	—
Yeider Garcia	F	9	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Y. Garcés	F	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—