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Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 1 April 08, 2026 04:00
Deportes Tolima
#1 · 7 pts
0 – 0
Final score
Universitario
#3 · 4 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportes Tolima a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Universitario 22%). The final result was Deportes Tolima 0–0 Universitario.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
0.42
Actual xG
0.50
3
Saves
4
66%
Possession
34%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
16
Match Events
↕ J. Mosquera / J. Gonzalez
46'
52'
E. Flores / J. Rivera ↕
52'
Miguel Silveira / M. Perez Guedes ↕
↕ L. Sandoval / Y. Osorio
67'
70'
B. Reyna / A. Valera ↕
77'
H. Fertoli / J. Concha ↕
77'
H. Calcaterra / J. Castillo ↕
↕ J. Hernandez / N. Sanchez
78'
↕ C. Arrieta / E. Lopez
87'
Pre-match prediction
51.4%
Deportes
25.87%
X ←
22.73%
Universitario
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.87% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Deportes
1.90
0.42
-1.48
Universitario
0.65
0.50
-0.15
xG dominance was balanced (0.42 – 0.50). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 3-4-2-1
1
G 7.00
17 Cristian Arrieta Cristian Arrieta 87' D 7.30
80 Brayan Rovira Brayan Rovira D 7.20
3 Jan Ángulo Jan Ángulo D 7.50
20
J. Hernandez 78' M 6.30
6
Cristian Trujillo M 6.60
32 S. Guzmán S. Guzmán M 7.50
33 Jherson Mosquera Jherson Mosquera 45' M 6.50
10 Juan Torres Juan Torres F 7.20
9 L. Sandoval L. Sandoval 67' F 6.90
24 Adrián Parra Adrián Parra F 6.90
Bench
4 Daniel Pedrozo Daniel Pedrozo D
28 Edwar López Edwar López 10' F 6.50
14
E. Ricardo M
7 J. González J. González 45' F 6.70
5
J. Mera D
31 Yoimar Moreno Yoimar Moreno M
71
Y. Osorio 23' D 7.50
Universitario Universitario 5-3-2
25
G 7.60
27 José Carabalí José Carabalí D 6.60
5 Matías Di Benedetto Matías Di Benedetto D 7.20
3 Williams Riveros Williams Riveros D 6.90
2 Caín Fara Caín Fara D 6.90
33 César Inga César Inga D 7.20
17 Jairo Concha Jairo Concha 77' M 6.60
6 Jesús Castillo Jesús Castillo 77' M 7.20
16 Martín Pérez Guedes Martín Pérez Guedes 52' M 6.00
11 José Rivera José Rivera 52' F 6.50
20 A. Valera A. Valera 71' F 6.70
Bench
4 Anderson Santamaría Anderson Santamaría D
77 Bryan Reyna Bryan Reyna 19' F 6.60
19 Edison Flores Edison Flores 38' M 6.50
10
H. Calcaterra 13' M 6.70
8 Héctor Fértoli Héctor Fértoli 13' M 6.60
23 Jorge Murrugarra Jorge Murrugarra M
99 Miguel Silveira Miguel Silveira 38' M 6.70
90
S. Gassama F
Best on the pitch
G · Universitario
7.60
· 22 pass
Jan Ángulo
Jan Ángulo
D · Deportes
7.50
· 44 pass
Y. Osorio
D · Deportes
7.50
· 10 pass
S. Guzmán
S. Guzmán
M · Deportes
7.50
2 shots · 75 pass
Cristian Arrieta
Cristian Arrieta
D · Deportes
7.30
· 56 pass
Brayan Rovira
Brayan Rovira
D · Deportes
7.20
· 43 pass
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.00 — — — 21 17% — — —
Cristian Arrieta D 87 7.30 — — — 56 51% 5 — —
Brayan Rovira D 90 7.20 — — — 43 42% — — —
Jan Ángulo D 90 7.50 — — — 44 37% 1 — —
J. Hernandez M 78 6.30 — — 3 43 37% — — —
Cristian Trujillo M 90 6.60 — — — 54 47% 1 — —
S. Guzmán M 90 7.50 — — 2 75 66% 1 — —
Jherson Mosquera M 45 6.50 — — 1 24 17% — — —
Juan Torres F 90 7.20 — — — 49 40% — — —
L. Sandoval F 67 6.90 — — — 34 31% — — —
Adrián Parra F 90 6.90 — — 1 18 15% 6 — —
Edwar López F 10 6.50 — — — 3 2% — — —
J. González F 45 6.70 — — — 6 3% — — —
Y. Osorio D 23 7.50 — — — 10 10% 1 — —
Universitario Universitario — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 22 8% — — —
José Carabalí D 90 6.60 — — — 21 13% 1 — —
Matías Di Benedetto D 90 7.20 — — — 25 17% 2 — —
Williams Riveros D 90 6.90 — — — 5 3% — — —
Caín Fara D 90 6.90 — — — 10 7% 1 — —
César Inga D 90 7.20 — — 2 22 16% 3 — —
Jairo Concha M 77 6.60 — — 3 33 21% 1 — —
Jesús Castillo M 77 7.20 — — — 38 31% 3 — —
Martín Pérez Guedes M 52 6.00 — — 1 19 15% — — —
José Rivera F 52 6.50 — — 1 4 4% — — —
A. Valera F 71 6.70 — — 1 16 13% 1 — —
Bryan Reyna F 19 6.60 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Edison Flores M 38 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
H. Calcaterra M 13 6.70 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Héctor Fértoli M 13 6.60 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Miguel Silveira M 38 6.70 — — — 7 3% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Universitario?
The final score was Deportes Tolima 0–0 Universitario.
What did the model predict before Deportes Tolima vs Universitario?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Deportes Tolima win, 25% to a draw, and 22% to an Universitario win.