L. Chaverra
90'+9
(pen.)
72'
(ast. E. Batalla)
J. Garcia
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Cali a 47% win probability (draw 30%, Bucaramanga 22%). The final result was Deportivo Cali 1–1 Bucaramanga. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Cali have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bucaramanga.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
3
2.44
Actual xG
0.46
66%
Possession
34%
1
Corners
2
Match Events
40'
J. Ortiz
40'
F. Hinestroza
⚽Titi
(missed pen.)
41'
45'+2
F. Sambueza
J. Martinez
/ E. Bello
60'
63'
Fabry
/
L. Flores
63'
A. Gutierrez
/
F. Hinestroza
J. Dinenno
/ C. Bacca
68'
72'
ast. E. Batalla ·
J. Garcia⚽
N. Benedetti
/ F. Viafara
74'
D. Giraldo
/ A. Hurtado
74'
83'
K. Londono
/
N. Castrillon
E. Bello
86'
86'
J. Salazar
/
L. Pons
86'
B. Caicedo
/
F. Sambueza
90'+1
J. Salazar
J. C. Caldera Alvis
90'+2
C. Bacca
90'+2
⚽L. Chaverra
(pen.)
90'+9
K. Sandoval
90'+11
90'+11
J. Garcia
Pre-match prediction
47.09%
Deportivo
30.31%
X ←
22.6%
Bucaramanga
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.13
2.44
+1.31
0.68
0.46
-0.22
Deportivo Cali dominated by xG (2.44 vs 0.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga?
The final score was Deportivo Cali 1–1 Bucaramanga.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Deportivo Cali win, 30% to a draw, and 22% to an Bucaramanga win.