Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 5
May 20, 2026 04:00
L. Cardozo
26'
(og)
D. Gonzalez
56'
13'
P. Rios
38'
(ast. R. Dominguez)
J. Noguera
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Cuenca a 50% win probability (draw 25%, Deportivo Recoleta 23%). The final result was Deportivo Cuenca 2–2 Deportivo Recoleta. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Cuenca have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Recoleta.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
3
1.41
Actual xG
1.01
1
Saves
5
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
2
6
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
13'
P. Rios⚽
⚽L. Cardozo
(og)
26'
38'
ast. R. Dominguez ·
J. Noguera⚽
E. Vega
/ M. Klimowicz
46'
⚽D. Gonzalez
56'
63'
B. Ferreira
/
W. Baez
63'
K. Parzajuk
/
A. Wlk
71'
J. Noguera
J. Chacon
/ J. Mejia
74'
80'
A. Gonzalez
/
R. Dominguez
I. Mosquera
/ A. Lopez
81'
85'
A. Gonzalez
M. Klimowicz
86'
87'
B. Ferreira
B. Garcia
/ G. Rivero
88'
Y. H. Erique Villigua
/ C. Arboleda
88'
88'
B. Medina
/
F. A. Echeguren Zarza
88'
R. Ortiz
/
J. Noguera
Pre-match prediction
50.54%
Deportivo
25.61%
X ←
23.86%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.61%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
1.41
-0.03
0.88
1.01
+0.13
Deportivo Cuenca dominated by xG (1.41 vs 1.01).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
F. Ferrero
G
F. Ferrero
G
53
Yeltzin Hernán Erique Villigua
88'
D
Yeltzin Hernán Erique Villigua
88'
D
6
S. Postel
D
S. Postel
D
23
E. Guevara
D
E. Guevara
D
2
Ignacio Ariel Mosquera Arroyo
82'
D
Ignacio Ariel Mosquera Arroyo
82'
D
30
M. Maccari
M
M. Maccari
M
49
David González
1 ⚽
M
David González
1 ⚽
M
8
É. Vega
45'
M
É. Vega
45'
M
20
B. García
88'
M
B. García
88'
M
14
J. Chacón
74'
M
J. Chacón
74'
M
43
J. Ordoñez
F
J. Ordoñez
F
Bench
37
C. Arboleda
4'
F
C. Arboleda
4'
F
12
Ethan Gabriel Minda Humanante
G
Ethan Gabriel Minda Humanante
G
11
G. Rivero
4'
F
G. Rivero
4'
F
18
I. Piedra
D
I. Piedra
D
16
J. Mejia
18'
M
J. Mejia
18'
M
25
Marcos Andrés López Cabrera
10'
D
Marcos Andrés López Cabrera
10'
D
50
Martín Sigüenza
F
Martín Sigüenza
F
19
Melvin Fabricio Díaz Canencia
F
Melvin Fabricio Díaz Canencia
F
29
M. Klimowicz
47'
F
M. Klimowicz
47'
F
9
Nicolás Leguizamón
F
Nicolás Leguizamón
F
21
Stalin Morocho
D
Stalin Morocho
D
12
Nelson Ferreira
G
25
Dairon Mosquera
D
Dairon Mosquera
D
3
Luis Cardozo
1 ⚽
D
Luis Cardozo
1 ⚽
D
5
Nicolás Marotta
D
Nicolás Marotta
D
2
Facundo Echeguren
88'
D
Facundo Echeguren
88'
D
18
Pedro Rios
1 ⚽
M
Pedro Rios
1 ⚽
M
7
R. Domínguez
1 👟
80'
M
R. Domínguez
1 👟
80'
M
38
J. Franco
M
J. Franco
M
17
W. Báez
63'
M
W. Báez
63'
M
10
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
1 ⚽
88'
F
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
1 ⚽
88'
F
29
A. Wlk
63'
F
A. Wlk
63'
F
Bench
33
Aldo Gonzalez
12'
M
36
B. Ferreira
29'
F
B. Ferreira
29'
F
15
Blas Medina
4'
D
8
Fernando Galeano
M
6
Jose Espinola
D
Jose Espinola
D
11
Kevin Parzajuk
29'
F
Kevin Parzajuk
29'
F
32
Lucas Monzon
D
Lucas Monzon
D
20
Marcelo Cañete
M
4
Marcos Pereira
D
13
Oscar Toledo
G
Oscar Toledo
G
9
Richard Ortiz
4'
F
24
Thiago Vidal
F
Best on the pitch
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
F · Deportivo
8.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
David González
M · Deportivo
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 40 pass
Yeltzin Hernán Erique Villigua
D · Deportivo
7.00
· 51 pass
Pedro Rios
M · Deportivo
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
J. Mejia
M · Deportivo
6.90
1 shots
· 8 pass
A. Wlk
F · Deportivo
6.90
2 shots
· 12 pass
Deportivo Cuenca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ferrero | G | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Yeltzin Hernán Erique Villigua | D | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Postel | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Guevara | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Ariel Mosquera Arroyo | D | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Maccari | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | — | — | — |
| David González | M | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| É. Vega | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| B. García | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Chacón | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ordoñez | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Arboleda | F | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Rivero | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Mejia | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Andrés López Cabrera | D | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Klimowicz | F | 47 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Deportivo Recoleta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Ferreira | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Dairon Mosquera | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Cardozo | D | 92 | 6.00 | 1 | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Marotta | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Echeguren | D | 88 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Rios | M | 92 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| R. Domínguez | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Franco | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Báez | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca | F | 88 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Wlk | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Aldo Gonzalez | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Ferreira | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Blas Medina | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Parzajuk | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Richard Ortiz | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The final score was Deportivo Cuenca 2–2 Deportivo Recoleta.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Cuenca vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Deportivo Cuenca win, 25% to a draw, and 23% to an Deportivo Recoleta win.