Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 5
May 20, 2026 04:00
L. Cardozo
26'
(og)
D. Gonzalez
56'
13'
P. Rios
38'
(ast. R. Dominguez)
J. Noguera
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Cuenca a 50% win probability (draw 25%, Deportivo Recoleta 23%). The final result was Deportivo Cuenca 2–2 Deportivo Recoleta. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Cuenca have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo Recoleta.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
3
1.41
Actual xG
1.01
1
Saves
5
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
2
6
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
13'
P. Rios⚽
⚽L. Cardozo
(og)
26'
38'
ast. R. Dominguez ·
J. Noguera⚽
E. Vega
/ M. Klimowicz
46'
⚽D. Gonzalez
56'
63'
B. Ferreira
/
W. Baez
63'
K. Parzajuk
/
A. Wlk
71'
J. Noguera
J. Chacon
/ J. Mejia
74'
80'
A. Gonzalez
/
R. Dominguez
I. Mosquera
/ A. Lopez
81'
85'
A. Gonzalez
M. Klimowicz
86'
87'
B. Ferreira
B. Garcia
/ G. Rivero
88'
Y. H. Erique Villigua
/ C. Arboleda
88'
88'
B. Medina
/
F. A. Echeguren Zarza
88'
R. Ortiz
/
J. Noguera
Pre-match prediction
50.54%
Deportivo
25.61%
X ←
23.86%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.61%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
1.41
-0.03
0.88
1.01
+0.13
Deportivo Cuenca dominated by xG (1.41 vs 1.01).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Facundo Ferrero
G
Facundo Ferrero
G
53
Yeltzin Erique
88'
D
Yeltzin Erique
88'
D
6
Santiago Postel
D
Santiago Postel
D
23
Eddie Guevara
D
Eddie Guevara
D
2
Ignacio Mosquera
82'
D
Ignacio Mosquera
82'
D
30
M. Maccari
M
M. Maccari
M
49
David González
1 ⚽
M
David González
1 ⚽
M
8
Edison Vega
45'
M
Edison Vega
45'
M
20
Bryan García
88'
M
Bryan García
88'
M
14
Jeremy Chacon
74'
M
Jeremy Chacon
74'
M
43
J. Ordoñez
F
J. Ordoñez
F
Bench
37
Carlos Arboleda
4'
F
Carlos Arboleda
4'
F
12
Ethan Minda
G
Ethan Minda
G
11
G. Rivero
4'
F
G. Rivero
4'
F
16
Jeremy Mejia
18'
M
Jeremy Mejia
18'
M
25
Marcos Andrés López
10'
D
Marcos Andrés López
10'
D
50
Martín Sigüenza
F
Martín Sigüenza
F
18
Mateo Piedra
D
Mateo Piedra
D
19
Melvin Diaz
F
Melvin Diaz
F
29
M. Klimowicz
47'
F
M. Klimowicz
47'
F
9
Nicolás Leguizamón
F
Nicolás Leguizamón
F
21
Stalin Morocho
D
Stalin Morocho
D
12
Nelson Ferreira
G
Nelson Ferreira
G
25
Dairon Mosquera
D
Dairon Mosquera
D
3
Luis Cardozo
1 ⚽
D
Luis Cardozo
1 ⚽
D
5
Nicolás Marotta
D
Nicolás Marotta
D
2
Facundo Echeguren
88'
D
Facundo Echeguren
88'
D
18
Pedro Rios
1 ⚽
M
Pedro Rios
1 ⚽
M
7
Ronal Dominguez
1 👟
80'
M
Ronal Dominguez
1 👟
80'
M
38
J. Franco
M
J. Franco
M
17
W. Báez
63'
M
W. Báez
63'
M
10
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
1 ⚽
88'
F
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
1 ⚽
88'
F
29
A. Wlk
63'
F
A. Wlk
63'
F
Bench
33
A. González
12'
M
A. González
12'
M
36
B. Ferreira
29'
F
B. Ferreira
29'
F
15
Blas Medina
4'
D
Blas Medina
4'
D
8
Fernando Galeano
M
Fernando Galeano
M
6
Jose Espinola
D
Jose Espinola
D
11
K. Parzajuk
29'
F
K. Parzajuk
29'
F
32
L. Monzón
D
L. Monzón
D
20
Marcelo Cañete
M
Marcelo Cañete
M
4
Marcos Pereira
D
Marcos Pereira
D
13
Oscar Toledo
G
Oscar Toledo
G
9
Richard Ortiz
4'
F
Richard Ortiz
4'
F
24
Thiago Vidal
F
Thiago Vidal
F
Best on the pitch
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
F · Deportivo
8.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
David González
M · Deportivo
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 40 pass
Yeltzin Erique
D · Deportivo
7.00
· 51 pass
Pedro Rios
M · Deportivo
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Jeremy Mejia
M · Deportivo
6.90
1 shots
· 8 pass
A. Wlk
F · Deportivo
6.90
2 shots
· 12 pass
Deportivo Cuenca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Ferrero | G | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Yeltzin Erique | D | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Postel | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Eddie Guevara | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Mosquera | D | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Maccari | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | — | — | — |
| David González | M | 92 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Edison Vega | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Bryan García | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Jeremy Chacon | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ordoñez | F | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Arboleda | F | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Rivero | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Mejia | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Andrés López | D | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Klimowicz | F | 47 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Deportivo Recoleta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Ferreira | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Dairon Mosquera | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Cardozo | D | 92 | 6.00 | 1 | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Marotta | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Echeguren | D | 88 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Rios | M | 92 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Ronal Dominguez | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| J. Franco | M | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Báez | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca | F | 88 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Wlk | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| A. González | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Ferreira | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Blas Medina | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| K. Parzajuk | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Richard Ortiz | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The final score was Deportivo Cuenca 2–2 Deportivo Recoleta.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Cuenca vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Deportivo Cuenca win, 25% to a draw, and 23% to an Deportivo Recoleta win.