Deportivo Garcilaso 4–2 Atletico Grau — pre-match prediction — Liga 1 — September 06, 2026

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Liga 1 · Clausura - 8 September 06, 2026 20:30 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

Deportivo Garcilaso

#1 · 22 pts

4 – 2

Final score

Atletico Grau

#11 · 16 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Deportivo Garcilaso

Beto Da Silva (ast. Facundo Castelli) 30'

Facundo Castelli (ast. Francisco Arancibia) 57'

Agustin Gonzalez 68' (pen.)

Agustin Gonzalez (ast. Adrian Ascues) 89'

75' (ast. Paulo De La Cruz) Adrián Fernández

80' Adrián Fernández

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Garcilaso a 70% win probability (draw 15%, Atletico Grau 13%). The final result was Deportivo Garcilaso 4–2 Atletico Grau. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Garcilaso have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Atletico Grau.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

59%

Possession

41%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

Agustin Gomez

23'

⚽Beto Da Silva · ast. Facundo Castelli

30'

34'

Christian Vasquez

Xavi Moreno Layme

45'

Gerardo Ameli

45'

Adrián Fernández / Diego Barreto ↕

45'

Gabriel Alfaro / Mauro Da Luz ↕

47'

Elsar Rodas

⚽Facundo Castelli · ast. Francisco Arancibia

57'

59'

Raúl Ruidíaz

⚽Agustin Gonzalez (pen.)

68'

69'

Aldair Vásquez / Raúl Ruidíaz ↕

70'

Eslyn Imanol Correa Vilela / Pablo Lavandeira ↕

↕ Facundo Castelli / Christopher Olivares

70'

↕ Pablo Labrin / Adrian Ascues

70'

↕ Beto Da Silva / Fernando Pacheco

70'

75'

ast. Paulo De La Cruz · Adrián Fernández⚽

77'

Luis Benites / Elsar Rodas ↕

80'

Adrián Fernández⚽

⚽Agustin Gonzalez · ast. Adrian Ascues

89'

↕ Francisco Arancibia / S. Ramírez

90'+3

90'+5

Ignacio Tapia

Pre-match prediction

70.6%

Deportivo ←

15.72%

13.69%

Atletico

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Garcilaso) 70.6% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Deportivo

2.68

—

Atletico

1.01

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Deportivo Garcilaso	10	22
2	Universitario	10	20
3	Sporting Cristal	10	19
4	Alianza Atletico	10	19
5	Sport Huancayo	10	19
6	Juan Pablo II College	10	18
7	FBC Melgar	10	18
8	Sport Boys	10	18
9	Cusco	10	18
10	Alianza Lima	10	16
11	Atletico Grau	10	16
12	FC Cajamarca	10	10
13	Comerciantes Unidos	10	9
14	Cienciano	9	7
15	UCV Moquegua	10	7
16	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	9	7
17	ADT	10	5
18	UTC Cajamarca	10	2

Lineups

Deportivo Garcilaso 4-2-3-1

P. Zubczuk G 6.43

X. Moreno D 6.19

A. Gómez D 6.26

A. Salazar D 7.13

E. Canales D 7.02

A. González 2 ⚽ M 7.80

C. Ramos M 7.20

L. da Silva 1 ⚽ 70' M 8.20

P. Labrin 70' M 7.18

F. Arancibia 1 👟 89' M 7.40

F. Castelli 1 ⚽ 1 👟 70' F 8.63

Bench

A. Ascues 1 👟 20' M 6.48

A. Rosell D 0.00

C. M. Flores M 0.00

C. Olivares 20' F 6.83

F. Pacheco 20' F 6.62

J. Barbieri G 0.00

J. Mendoza M 0.00

J. Portales D 0.00

S. Ramírez 1' F 0.00

Atletico Grau 4-1-4-1

P. Álvarez G 6.72

E. Rodas 77' D 6.05

I. Tapia D 5.27

F. Oncoy D 5.47

C. Vásquez D 5.37

R. Guarderas M 6.14

P. de la Cruz 1 👟 M 6.93

D. Barreto 45' M 5.86

P. Lavandeira 70' M 6.36

M. da Luz 45' M 5.59

R. Ruidíaz 69' F 6.06

Bench

A. Fernández 2 ⚽ 45' F 7.93

A. Vásquez 21' M 5.72

D. Rodríguez D 0.00

E. Correa 20' M 5.86

G. Alfaro 45' D 5.72

J. Ataupillco D 0.00

J. Calderón G 0.00

L. Benítes 13' M 5.81

Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich F 0.00

Best on the pitch

F. Castelli

F · Deportivo

8.63

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 15 pass

L. da Silva

M · Deportivo

8.20

1 ⚽

3 shots · 21 pass

A. Fernández

F · Atletico

7.93

2 ⚽

3 shots · 7 pass

A. González

M · Deportivo

7.80

2 ⚽

8 shots · 45 pass

F. Arancibia

M · Deportivo

7.40

1 👟

2 shots · 24 pass

C. Ramos

M · Deportivo

7.20

· 69 pass

Deportivo Garcilaso — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Zubczuk	G	90	6.43	—	—	0	16	15%	0	—	—
X. Moreno	D	90	6.19	—	—	2	34	27%	4	1	—
A. Gómez	D	90	6.26	—	—	1	53	48%	2	1	—
A. Salazar	D	90	7.13	—	—	3	51	46%	0	—	—
E. Canales	D	90	7.02	—	—	2	49	45%	0	—	—
A. González	M	90	7.80	2	—	8	45	38%	3	—	—
C. Ramos	M	90	7.20	—	—	0	69	60%	2	—	—
L. da Silva	M	70	8.20	1	—	3	21	18%	0	—	—
P. Labrin	M	70	7.18	—	—	3	41	35%	1	—	—
F. Arancibia	M	89	7.40	—	1	2	24	19%	1	—	—
F. Castelli	F	70	8.63	1	1	2	15	12%	0	—	—
A. Ascues	M	20	6.48	—	1	2	13	11%	1	—	—
C. Olivares	F	20	6.83	—	—	2	4	3%	0	—	—
F. Pacheco	F	20	6.62	—	—	0	8	7%	0	—	—
S. Ramírez	F	1	0.00	—	—	0	1	1%	0	—	—

Atletico Grau — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Álvarez	G	90	6.72	—	—	0	30	22%	0	—	—
E. Rodas	D	77	6.05	—	—	1	16	8%	4	1	—
I. Tapia	D	90	5.27	—	—	0	37	30%	3	1	—
F. Oncoy	D	90	5.47	—	—	0	38	32%	0	—	—
C. Vásquez	D	90	5.37	—	—	0	27	22%	1	1	—
R. Guarderas	M	90	6.14	—	—	0	44	35%	0	—	—
P. de la Cruz	M	90	6.93	—	1	1	22	17%	3	—	—
D. Barreto	M	45	5.86	—	—	0	11	7%	0	—	—
P. Lavandeira	M	70	6.36	—	—	0	25	19%	4	—	—
M. da Luz	M	45	5.59	—	—	2	7	6%	0	—	—
R. Ruidíaz	F	69	6.06	—	—	2	8	6%	0	1	—
A. Fernández	F	45	7.93	2	—	3	7	6%	0	—	—
A. Vásquez	M	21	5.72	—	—	0	9	7%	0	—	—
E. Correa	M	20	5.86	—	—	0	11	10%	1	—	—
G. Alfaro	D	45	5.72	—	—	0	12	7%	0	—	—
L. Benítes	M	13	5.81	—	—	0	9	7%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?

The final score was Deportivo Garcilaso 4–2 Atletico Grau.

What did the model predict before Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?

The model assigned 70% probability to a Deportivo Garcilaso win, 15% to a draw, and 13% to an Atletico Grau win.