✓Model correct — prediction Deportivo Garcilaso
B. Da Silva
(ast. F. Castelli)
45'+2
F. Castelli
56'
(pen.)
K. Sandoval
(ast. F. Castelli)
67'
C. Olivares
89'
59'
A. Ampuero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Garcilaso a 56% win probability (draw 21%, Cusco 21%). The final result was Deportivo Garcilaso 4–1 Cusco. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Garcilaso have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cusco.
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
6
2.34
Actual xG
1.42
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
8
Match Events
26'
P. Diaz
34'
A. Vidal
/
J. Manzaneda
⚽B. Da Silva
· ast. F. Castelli
45'+2
45'+4
I. Colman
X. Moreno
46'
⚽F. Castelli
(pen.)
56'
57'
L. Colitto
/
C. Diez
59'
A. Ampuero⚽
J. A. Rosell Delgado
/ A. Ascues
62'
⚽K. Sandoval
· ast. F. Castelli
67'
F. Castelli
/ C. Olivares
73'
A. Gonzalez
/ S. Ramirez
73'
77'
A. Fuentes
81'
C. Gamarra
/
J. Zevallos
81'
Herrera Joel
/
R. Lagos
B. Da Silva
/ J. Mendoza
86'
⚽C. Olivares
89'
90'+3
A. Fuentes
90'+3
A. Fuentes
Pre-match prediction
56.66%
Deportivo ←
21.99%
X
21.35%
Cusco
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Garcilaso)
56.66%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.97
2.34
+0.37
0.85
1.42
+0.57
Deportivo Garcilaso dominated by xG (2.34 vs 1.42).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?
The final score was Deportivo Garcilaso 4–1 Cusco.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Deportivo Garcilaso win, 21% to a draw, and 21% to an Cusco win.