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Liga 1 · Apertura - 17 May 30, 2026 22:00 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
#1 · 22 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Juan Pablo II College
#6 · 18 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Deportivo Garcilaso
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez (ast. F. Arancibia) 5'
C. Olivares (ast. F. Arancibia) 16'
B. Da Silva 50'
S. Ramirez (ast. A. Ascues) 81'
(pen.) 77' E. Ramirez
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Garcilaso a 61% win probability (draw 24%, Juan Pablo II College 13%). The final result was Deportivo Garcilaso 4–1 Juan Pablo II College.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
0
Corners
3
17
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽C. I. Ramos Rodriguez · ast. F. Arancibia
5'
C. Olivares
9'
⚽C. Olivares · ast. F. Arancibia
16'
23'
J. Toledo
33'
C. Garcia
35'
J. Canova / N. Ramirez ↕
46'
M. Juambeltz / A. Henricks ↕
⚽B. Da Silva
50'
57'
R. Aliaga / C. Cueva ↕
58'
H. Bazan / C. Tizon ↕
↕ A. Salazar / S. Villacorta
60'
↕ C. Torrejon / A. Ascues
60'
↕ A. Gonzalez / S. Ramirez
67'
↕ O. Nunez / H. Benincasa
67'
77'
(pen.) E. Ramirez⚽
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez
79'
⚽S. Ramirez · ast. A. Ascues
81'
82'
A. Espinoza / P. Fuentes ↕
↕ F. Arancibia / J. Mendoza
85'
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
61.93%
Deportivo ←
24.65%
X
13.43%
Juan
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Garcilaso) 61.93% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Deportivo
1.45
—
—
Juan
0.43
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 10 22
2 Universitario Universitario 10 20
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 10 19
4 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 10 19
5 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 10 19
6 Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 10 18
7 FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 10 18
8 Sport Boys Sport Boys 10 18
9 Cusco Cusco 10 18
10 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 10 16
11 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 10 16
12 FC Cajamarca FC Cajamarca 10 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 10 9
14 Cienciano Cienciano 9 7
15 UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 10 7
16 Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 9 7
17 ADT ADT 10 5
18 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 10 2
Lineups
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 4-2-3-1
1 P. Zubczuk P. Zubczuk G 6.50
16 O. Núñez O. Núñez 67' D 6.30
19 A. Gómez A. Gómez D 6.60
22 J. Portales J. Portales D 6.90
2 A. Salazar A. Salazar 60' D 6.20
14 C. Torrejón C. Torrejón 60' M 6.90
18 C. Ramos C. Ramos 1 ⚽ M 6.90
30 L. da Silva L. da Silva M 7.30
8 A. González A. González 67' M 7.00
11 F. Arancibia F. Arancibia 2 👟 85' M 7.90
24 C. Olivares C. Olivares 1 ⚽ F 7.90
Bench
27 A. Ascues A. Ascues 1 👟 31' M 7.20
13 H. Benincasa H. Benincasa 24' D 6.30
6 Inti Garrafa Inti Garrafa M
31 J. Barbieri J. Barbieri G
35 J. Mendoza J. Mendoza 6' M
7
J. Sinisterra F
17 S. Ramírez S. Ramírez 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.90
33
S. Villacorta 31' D 6.20
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 4-1-3-2
23 M. Vega M. Vega G 5.60
26 F. Agurto F. Agurto D 6.50
6 Paolo Gessu Fuentes Varcárcel Paolo Gessu Fuentes Varcárcel 82' D 5.90
5 Cristian García Cristian García 33' D 4.90
31 J. Toledo J. Toledo D 5.30
28 J. Durán J. Durán M 7.90
29
Cristhian Tizón 58' M 6.30
10 C. Cueva C. Cueva 57' M 6.60
15 N. Ramírez N. Ramírez 35' M 6.30
7 Adán Henricks Adán Henricks 45' F 6.90
18 E. Ramírez E. Ramírez 1 ⚽ F 7.00
Bench
17 Adriano Espinoza Adriano Espinoza 9' F 6.30
8 C. Flores C. Flores M
11 Gustavo Aliaga Gustavo Aliaga 34' M 6.90
20 H. Bazán H. Bazán 33' M 6.20
12 I. Quispe I. Quispe G
80
Jorge Quijano M
30 Josué Canova Josué Canova 56' D 6.60
39
Maximiliano Juambeltz 46' F 6.60
Best on the pitch
J. Durán
J. Durán
M · Juan
7.90
· 59 pass
S. Ramírez
S. Ramírez
F · Deportivo
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
C. Olivares
C. Olivares
F · Deportivo
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
F. Arancibia
F. Arancibia
M · Deportivo
7.90
2 👟
2 shots · 14 pass
L. da Silva
L. da Silva
M · Deportivo
7.30
1 shots · 33 pass
A. Ascues
A. Ascues
M · Deportivo
7.20
1 👟
· 16 pass
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Zubczuk G 91 6.50 — — — 21 16% — — —
O. Núñez D 67 6.30 — — 2 28 27% 1 — —
A. Gómez D 91 6.60 — — — 44 38% 2 — —
J. Portales D 91 6.90 — — — 35 32% 3 — —
A. Salazar D 60 6.20 — — — 17 11% 1 — —
C. Torrejón M 60 6.90 — — — 22 19% 3 — —
C. Ramos M 91 6.90 1 — 1 39 37% 1 1 —
L. da Silva M 91 7.30 — — 1 33 28% — — —
A. González M 67 7.00 — — 1 40 34% 2 — —
F. Arancibia M 85 7.90 — 2 2 14 12% — — —
C. Olivares F 91 7.90 1 — 2 9 8% 1 1 —
A. Ascues M 31 7.20 — 1 — 16 14% 1 — —
H. Benincasa D 24 6.30 — — — 8 8% — — —
J. Mendoza M 6 — — — — 1 1% — — —
S. Ramírez F 24 7.90 1 — 1 6 4% 1 — —
S. Villacorta D 31 6.20 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Vega G 91 5.60 — — — 15 9% — — —
F. Agurto D 91 6.50 — — — 34 28% 4 — —
Paolo Gessu Fuentes Varcárcel D 82 5.90 — — — 30 28% 1 — —
Cristian García D 33 4.90 — — — 14 11% 1 — 1
J. Toledo D 91 5.30 — — — 38 28% — 1 —
J. Durán M 91 7.90 — — — 59 55% — — —
Cristhian Tizón M 58 6.30 — — 1 18 16% 1 — —
C. Cueva M 57 6.60 — — 1 32 29% 1 — —
N. Ramírez M 35 6.30 — — — 13 10% — — —
Adán Henricks F 45 6.90 — — 1 7 5% — — —
E. Ramírez F 91 7.00 1 — 4 19 17% — — —
Adriano Espinoza F 9 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Gustavo Aliaga M 34 6.90 — — — 12 11% — — —
H. Bazán M 33 6.20 — — — 9 8% — — —
Josué Canova D 56 6.60 — — 1 24 24% 2 — —
Maximiliano Juambeltz F 46 6.60 — — — 11 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Juan Pablo II College?
The final score was Deportivo Garcilaso 4–1 Juan Pablo II College.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Garcilaso vs Juan Pablo II College?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Deportivo Garcilaso win, 24% to a draw, and 13% to an Juan Pablo II College win.