✗Model wrong — prediction Deportivo Garcilaso, result Sport Huancayo wins
32'
(ast. Jimmy Valoyes)
Daniel porozo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Garcilaso a 61% win probability (draw 17%, Sport Huancayo 21%). The final result was Deportivo Garcilaso 0–1 Sport Huancayo. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Garcilaso have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sport Huancayo.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
6
1.61
Actual xG
1.28
5
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
5
12
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
24'
Ricardo Salcedo
32'
ast. Jimmy Valoyes ·
Daniel porozo⚽
Agustin Gonzalez
36'
44'
Marcelo·Gaona
45'
Aldo Quinonez
/
Ricardo Salcedo
55'
Piero Magallanes
/
Rick Campodonico
55'
Juan Barreda
/
Jeremy Martin Rostaing
Facundo Castelli
57'
62'
Ronal Huaccha
/
Daniel porozo
Agustin Gonzalez
/ Christopher Olivares
64'
Beto Da Silva
/ Adrian Ascues
64'
Facundo Castelli
/ Fernando Pacheco
65'
69'
78'
E. Villar
/
Diego Carabaño
79'
Aldo Quinonez
Christopher Olivares
80'
80'
Ronal Huaccha
85'
90'+1
Rick Campodonico
Agustin Gomez
/ L. Ríos
90'+1
⚽Pablo Labrin
(missed pen.)
90'
Pre-match prediction
61.59%
Deportivo
17.25%
X
21.16%
Sport ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sport Huancayo)
21.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.55
1.61
-1.94
1.88
1.28
-0.61
Deportivo Garcilaso dominated by xG (1.61 vs 1.28).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
P. Zubczuk
G
P. Zubczuk
G
23
X. Moreno
D
X. Moreno
D
19
A. Gómez
89'
D
A. Gómez
89'
D
2
A. Salazar
D
A. Salazar
D
55
E. Canales
D
E. Canales
D
8
A. González
64'
M
A. González
64'
M
18
C. Ramos
M
C. Ramos
M
30
L. da Silva
64'
M
L. da Silva
64'
M
10
P. Labrin
M
P. Labrin
M
9
F. Castelli
65'
M
F. Castelli
65'
M
11
F. Arancibia
F
F. Arancibia
F
Bench
27
A. Ascues
26'
M
A. Ascues
26'
M
20
A. Rosell
D
A. Rosell
D
24
C. Olivares
26'
F
C. Olivares
26'
F
14
C. Torrejón
M
C. Torrejón
M
88
F. Pacheco
25'
F
F. Pacheco
25'
F
31
J. Barbieri
G
J. Barbieri
G
22
J. Portales
D
J. Portales
D
7
L. Ríos
1'
F
L. Ríos
1'
F
17
S. Ramírez
F
S. Ramírez
F
12
Á. Zamudio
G
Á. Zamudio
G
28
J. Rostaing
55'
D
J. Rostaing
55'
D
70
J. Valoyes
1 👟
D
J. Valoyes
1 👟
D
26
M. Gaona
D
M. Gaona
D
16
J. Falconí
D
J. Falconí
D
11
Javier Andrés Sanguinetti
M
Javier Andrés Sanguinetti
M
22
R. Salcedo
45'
M
R. Salcedo
45'
M
8
D. Carabaño
78'
M
D. Carabaño
78'
M
7
R. Campodónico
M
R. Campodónico
M
10
N. Luján
F
N. Luján
F
97
D. Porozo
1 ⚽
62'
F
D. Porozo
1 ⚽
62'
F
Bench
29
A. Ccorahua
G
A. Ccorahua
G
91
A. Quiñónez
45'
M
A. Quiñónez
45'
M
38
E. Villar
12'
M
E. Villar
12'
M
4
J. Barreda
35'
D
J. Barreda
35'
D
17
J. Giménez
F
J. Giménez
F
9
J. MartÃnez
F
J. MartÃnez
F
23
P. Magallanes
35'
M
P. Magallanes
35'
M
19
R. Huaccha
28'
F
R. Huaccha
28'
F
92
Y. Murillo
D
Y. Murillo
D
Best on the pitch
D. Porozo
F · Sport
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
P. Zubczuk
G · Deportivo
7.36
· 16 pass
P. Labrin
M · Deportivo
7.20
4 shots
· 35 pass
J. Rostaing
D · Sport
7.10
· 13 pass
A. Gómez
D · Deportivo
7.02
2 shots
· 53 pass
J. Valoyes
D · Sport
6.98
1 👟
1 shots
· 29 pass
Deportivo Garcilaso — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Zubczuk | G | 90 | 7.36 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| X. Moreno | D | 90 | 5.87 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gómez | D | 89 | 7.02 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 52% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Salazar | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Canales | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 4 | 44 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| A. González | M | 64 | 6.43 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Ramos | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 60 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| L. da Silva | M | 64 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Labrin | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 35 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Castelli | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 6% | 0 | 1 | — |
| F. Arancibia | F | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Ascues | M | 26 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Olivares | F | 26 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | 1 | — |
| F. Pacheco | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Ríos | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Sport Huancayo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Á. Zamudio | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Rostaing | D | 55 | 7.10 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Valoyes | D | 90 | 6.98 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gaona | D | 90 | 6.17 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Falconí | D | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Javier Andrés Sanguinetti | M | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Salcedo | M | 45 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Carabaño | M | 78 | 6.85 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Campodónico | M | 91 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 3 | — | 1 |
| N. Luján | F | 90 | 5.95 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Porozo | F | 62 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Quiñónez | M | 45 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | 1 | — |
| E. Villar | M | 12 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Barreda | D | 35 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Magallanes | M | 35 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Huaccha | F | 28 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?
The final score was Deportivo Garcilaso 0–1 Sport Huancayo.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Deportivo Garcilaso win, 17% to a draw, and 21% to an Sport Huancayo win.