✓Model correct — prediction Deportivo Garcilaso
Héctor Aldair Salazar
(ast. Pablo Labrin)
6'
Pablo Labrin
10'
Agustin Gonzalez
19'
Facundo Castelli
(ast. Francisco Arancibia)
58'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Garcilaso a 68% win probability (draw 13%, Universitario 17%). The final result was Deportivo Garcilaso 4–0 Universitario. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Garcilaso have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Universitario.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
10
12
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
8
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
4
17
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Héctor Aldair Salazar
· ast. Pablo Labrin
6'
⚽Pablo Labrin
10'
18'
Jorge Murrugarra
⚽Agustin Gonzalez
19'
32'
Piero Quispe
45'
Adrian Quiroz
/
Piero Quispe
⚽Facundo Castelli
· ast. Francisco Arancibia
58'
60'
Gianluca Lapadula
/
Lisandro Alzugaray
66'
Gianluca Lapadula
69'
Jordan Guivin
/
Jairo Concha
69'
Jorge Gutiérrez
/
César Inga
Facundo Castelli
/ Fernando Pacheco
76'
79'
Bryan Reyna
/
Alex Valera
Francisco Arancibia
/ Christopher Olivares
81'
Beto Da Silva
/ Adrian Ascues
81'
Carlos Ramos
/ José Anthony Rosell
89'
Pablo Labrin
/ L. Ríos
89'
Héctor Aldair Salazar
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
68.54%
Deportivo ←
13.87%
X
17.59%
Universitario
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Garcilaso)
68.54%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
—
—
1.83
—
—
Lineups
1
P. Zubczuk
G
P. Zubczuk
G
23
X. Moreno
D
X. Moreno
D
19
A. Gómez
D
A. Gómez
D
2
A. Salazar
1 ⚽
D
A. Salazar
1 ⚽
D
55
E. Canales
D
E. Canales
D
8
A. González
1 ⚽
M
A. González
1 ⚽
M
18
C. Ramos
89'
M
C. Ramos
89'
M
30
L. da Silva
81'
M
L. da Silva
81'
M
10
P. Labrin
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
P. Labrin
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
11
F. Arancibia
1 👟
81'
M
F. Arancibia
1 👟
81'
M
9
F. Castelli
1 ⚽
76'
F
F. Castelli
1 ⚽
76'
F
Bench
27
A. Ascues
9'
M
A. Ascues
9'
M
20
A. Rosell
1'
D
A. Rosell
1'
D
24
C. Olivares
9'
F
C. Olivares
9'
F
88
F. Pacheco
14'
F
F. Pacheco
14'
F
31
J. Barbieri
G
J. Barbieri
G
35
J. Mendoza
M
J. Mendoza
M
22
J. Portales
D
J. Portales
D
7
L. Ríos
1'
F
L. Ríos
1'
F
17
S. Ramírez
F
S. Ramírez
F
1
D. Romero
G
D. Romero
G
2
C. Fara
D
C. Fara
D
3
W. Riveros
D
W. Riveros
D
4
A. Santamaría
D
A. Santamaría
D
23
J. Murrugarra
M
J. Murrugarra
M
33
C. Inga
69'
M
C. Inga
69'
M
39
P. Quispe
45'
M
P. Quispe
45'
M
17
J. Concha
69'
M
J. Concha
69'
M
24
A. Polo
M
A. Polo
M
20
A. Valera
79'
F
A. Valera
79'
F
30
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
60'
F
Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
60'
F
Bench
29
A. Corzo
D
A. Corzo
D
28
A. Quiróz
45'
M
A. Quiróz
45'
M
77
B. Reyna
11'
F
B. Reyna
11'
F
18
G. Lapadula
30'
F
G. Lapadula
30'
F
8
H. Fértoli
M
H. Fértoli
M
21
J. Guivin
21'
M
J. Guivin
21'
M
70
J. Gutiérrez
21'
D
J. Gutiérrez
21'
D
15
J. Requena
M
J. Requena
M
25
M. Vargas
G
M. Vargas
G
Best on the pitch
P. Labrin
M · Deportivo
9.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 47 pass
F. Castelli
F · Deportivo
8.20
1 ⚽
6 shots
· 11 pass
A. González
M · Deportivo
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 61 pass
F. Arancibia
M · Deportivo
7.70
1 👟
1 shots
· 22 pass
A. Salazar
D · Deportivo
7.58
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
L. da Silva
M · Deportivo
7.20
4 shots
· 40 pass
Deportivo Garcilaso — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Zubczuk | G | 90 | 7.17 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| X. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gómez | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Salazar | D | 90 | 7.58 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Canales | D | 90 | 7.10 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| A. González | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 61 | 56% | 5 | — | — |
| C. Ramos | M | 89 | 7.09 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| L. da Silva | M | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 40 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Labrin | M | 89 | 9.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Arancibia | M | 81 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Castelli | F | 76 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 6 | 11 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Ascues | M | 9 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Rosell | D | 1 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Olivares | F | 9 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Pacheco | F | 14 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Ríos | F | 1 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Universitario — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Romero | G | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Fara | D | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Riveros | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 52 | 51% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Santamaría | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 63 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Murrugarra | M | 90 | 5.68 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 48% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Inga | M | 69 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Quispe | M | 45 | 5.54 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Concha | M | 69 | 5.76 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Polo | M | 90 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Valera | F | 79 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Lisandro Joel Alzugaray | F | 60 | 6.46 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Quiróz | M | 45 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Reyna | F | 11 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Lapadula | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Guivin | M | 21 | 5.78 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gutiérrez | D | 21 | 5.74 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?
The final score was Deportivo Garcilaso 4–0 Universitario.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Deportivo Garcilaso win, 13% to a draw, and 17% to an Universitario win.