Deportivo La Coruna - Real Madrid
Friendlies Clubs
August 12, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.35%
Win
Deportivo La Coruna
32.44%
Draw
34.21%
Win
Real Madrid
1.69
2.13
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.7%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
32%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
67%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Real Madrid a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Deportivo La Coruna. Expected goals are 1.7 for Deportivo La Coruna and 2.1 for Real Madrid (total 3.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.7% probability.
Season Stats
2W
1D
0L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
4.0
0.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
33%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
0%
BTTS
100%
100%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Deportivo La Coruna
Real Madrid →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Deportivo La Coruna
Attack
49
Defence
100
Form
68
Real Madrid
Attack
100
Defence
75
Form
80
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Madrid?
The model gives Deportivo La Coruna a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Real Madrid win.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Madrid?
Expected goals: Deportivo La Coruna 1.7, Real Madrid 2.1 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Madrid?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.7%.