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La Liga · Regular Season - 3 August 30, 2026 19:30
Deportivo La Coruna
#6 · 8 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Valencia
#20 · 1 pts
C. Tarrega 13' (og)
P. Aubameyang (ast. M. Soriano) 17'
M. Diakhaby 59' (og)
26' U. Sadiq
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo La Coruna a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Valencia 30%). The final result was Deportivo La Coruna 3–1 Valencia.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
4
1.42
Actual xG
1.33
3
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
5
18
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽C. Tarrega (og)
13'
⚽P. Aubameyang · ast. M. Soriano
17'
26'
U. Sadiq⚽
⚽M. Diakhaby (og)
59'
60'
H. Duro / R. Sato ↕
60'
D. Otorbi / L. Rioja ↕
60'
A. Danjuma / J. Guerra ↕
↕ R. Rodriguez / T. Gijselhart
64'
64'
M. Diakhaby
66'
A. Dieng / Pepelu ↕
↕ Cruz Luismi / Y. Hernandez
73'
↕ M. Soriano / A. Altimira
73'
82'
D. Raba / A. Martinez ↕
↕ X. Navarro / M. Loureiro
83'
↕ B. Nsongo / J. Asp
83'
A. Altimira
90'+3
A. Altimira
90'+3
A. Altimira
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
37.47%
Deportivo ←
31.78%
X
30.75%
Valencia
we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo La Coruna) 37.47% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Deportivo
1.77
1.42
-0.35
Valencia
0.67
1.33
+0.66
xG dominance was balanced (1.42 – 1.33). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 4 12
2 Alaves Alaves 5 10
3 Sevilla Sevilla 5 10
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 4 9
6 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4 8
7 Espanyol Espanyol 5 7
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 7
9 Racing Santander Racing Santander 5 7
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 5 7
11 Osasuna Osasuna 5 7
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 4 6
13 Levante Levante 4 5
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4 4
15 Getafe Getafe 4 4
16 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 5 3
17 Villarreal Villarreal 4 2
18 Malaga Malaga 4 2
19 Elche Elche 4 1
20 Valencia Valencia 5 1
Lineups
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4-4-2
13 Leo Román Leo Román G 7.30
12 G. Quagliata G. Quagliata D 7.00
22 B. Ede B. Ede D 6.60
4 L. Noubi L. Noubi D 6.60
23 Ximo Navarro Ximo Navarro 83' D 6.20
14 Riki Rodríguez Riki Rodríguez 64' M 6.50
16 L. Amatucci L. Amatucci M 7.20
21 Mario Soriano Mario Soriano 1 👟 73' M 7.50
19 Luismi Cruz Luismi Cruz 73' M 6.60
7 P. Aubameyang P. Aubameyang 1 ⚽ F 7.90
32 B. Nsongo B. Nsongo 83' F 6.70
Bench
2 Adrià Alti Adrià Alti 20' D 6.90
25 Álvaro Fernández Álvaro Fernández G
24 Angeliño Angeliño D
3 Arnau Comas Arnau Comas D
11 David Mella David Mella F
8 Diego Villares Diego Villares M
1 Germán Parreño Germán Parreño G
18 Jonathan Asp Jensen Jonathan Asp Jensen 11' M 6.30
15 Miguel Loureiro Miguel Loureiro 11' D 6.70
10 Peke Peke 17' F 6.90
34 T. Gijselhart T. Gijselhart 26' M 6.50
9 Z. Eddahchouri Z. Eddahchouri F
Valencia Valencia 5-4-1
1 S. Dimitrievski S. Dimitrievski G 6.30
21 Jesús Vázquez Jesús Vázquez D 6.30
4 M. Diakhaby M. Diakhaby 1 ⚽ D 6.20
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega 1 ⚽ D 5.30
22 Arnau Martínez Arnau Martínez 82' D 6.30
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja 60' D 5.90
8 Javi Guerra Javi Guerra 60' M 6.20
18 Pepelu Pepelu 66' M 6.90
23 F. Ugrinic F. Ugrinic M 6.90
39 Ryunosuke Sato Ryunosuke Sato 60' M 6.20
6 Umar Sadiq Umar Sadiq 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
33 Aaron Mayol Aaron Mayol D
7 A. Danjuma A. Danjuma 30' F 7.30
15 A. Dieng A. Dieng 24' M 6.70
29 Alejandro Panach Olmo Alejandro Panach Olmo D
19 Dani Raba Dani Raba 8' F 6.70
27 David Otorbi David Otorbi 30' F 6.70
20 Dimitri Foulquier Dimitri Foulquier D
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro 30' F 6.20
36 Iker Córdoba Iker Córdoba D
38 J. Dura J. Dura M
14 José Gayà José Gayà D
25 K. van Oevelen K. van Oevelen G
Best on the pitch
P. Aubameyang
P. Aubameyang
F · Deportivo
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 22 pass
Umar Sadiq
Umar Sadiq
F · Valencia
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 13 pass
Mario Soriano
Mario Soriano
M · Deportivo
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 57 pass
Leo Román
Leo Román
G · Deportivo
7.30
· 36 pass
A. Danjuma
A. Danjuma
F · Valencia
7.30
2 shots · 11 pass
L. Amatucci
L. Amatucci
M · Deportivo
7.20
· 51 pass
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Leo Román G 90 7.30 — — — 36 23% — — —
G. Quagliata D 90 7.00 — — — 36 28% 1 — —
B. Ede D 90 6.60 — — — 56 51% 2 — —
L. Noubi D 90 6.60 — — — 44 39% — — —
Ximo Navarro D 83 6.20 — — 2 36 31% — — —
Riki Rodríguez M 64 6.50 — — — 38 31% — — —
L. Amatucci M 90 7.20 — — — 51 45% 5 — —
Mario Soriano M 73 7.50 — 1 1 57 56% 2 — —
Luismi Cruz M 73 6.60 — — — 34 32% 2 — —
P. Aubameyang F 90 7.90 1 — 4 22 18% — — —
B. Nsongo F 83 6.70 — — 1 25 17% 2 — —
Adrià Alti D 20 6.90 — — — 2 2% 2 2 1
Jonathan Asp Jensen M 11 6.30 — — 1 1 1% — — —
Miguel Loureiro D 11 6.70 — — — 3 — — — —
Peke F 17 6.90 — — — 5 2% 2 — —
T. Gijselhart M 26 6.50 — — — 4 2% — — —
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Dimitrievski G 90 6.30 — — — 34 21% — — —
Jesús Vázquez D 90 6.30 — — — 42 37% 2 — —
M. Diakhaby D 90 6.20 1 — — 64 54% 2 1 —
César Tárrega D 90 5.30 1 — — 63 56% 2 — —
Arnau Martínez D 82 6.30 — — — 63 59% 1 — —
Luis Rioja D 60 5.90 — — — 21 16% — — —
Javi Guerra M 60 6.20 — — 2 27 22% 1 — —
Pepelu M 66 6.90 — — — 47 42% 2 — —
F. Ugrinic M 90 6.90 — — 2 72 68% 4 — —
Ryunosuke Sato M 60 6.20 — — — 23 19% 1 — —
Umar Sadiq F 90 7.70 1 — 2 13 11% 1 — —
A. Danjuma F 30 7.30 — — 2 11 7% — — —
A. Dieng M 24 6.70 — — — 25 22% 1 — —
Dani Raba F 8 6.70 — — — 9 6% — — —
David Otorbi F 30 6.70 — — — 21 19% — — —
Hugo Duro F 30 6.20 — — — 10 9% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
The final score was Deportivo La Coruna 3–1 Valencia.
What did the model predict before Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Deportivo La Coruna win, 31% to a draw, and 30% to an Valencia win.