Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 4
May 07, 2026 00:00
José Alí Meza
(ast. Jorge Gutiérrez)
31'
90'+4
Leonel Justiniano
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolívar a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Deportivo La Guaira 27%). The final result was Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Bolívar. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo La Guaira have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bolívar.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
4
1.32
Actual xG
1.22
3
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
6
Corners
7
21
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽José Alí Meza
· ast. Jorge Gutiérrez
31'
45'+2
Leonel Justiniano
46'
Santiago Echeverria
/
Ignacio Gariglio
66'
John García
/
Brian Oyola
72'
Xavier Arreaga
Juan Castellanos
/ Alexis Rodríguez
74'
José Alí Meza
/ Rafael Arace
74'
78'
Lucas Chávez
/
Carlos Melgar
Guillermo Ortíz
81'
84'
Martín Cauteruccio
/
Luis Paz
Flabian Londoño
/ Anthony Uribe
89'
90'+1
90'+3
José Sagredo
Luis Pena
90'+3
90'+4
Leonel Justiniano⚽
Anthony Uribe
90'+7
Cristopher Varela
90'+9
Rommell Ibarra
/ Cesar Da Silva
90'
Carlos Faya
/ Franco Cáceres
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.54%
Deportivo
28.87%
X ←
43.59%
Bolívar
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.78
1.32
+0.55
1.53
1.22
-0.31
xG dominance was balanced (1.32 – 1.22).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Cristopher Varela
G
16
Luis Pena
D
Luis Pena
D
24
Guillermo Ortíz
D
Guillermo Ortíz
D
5
Martín Gianoli
D
Martín Gianoli
D
20
Jorge Gutiérrez
1 👟
D
Jorge Gutiérrez
1 👟
D
27
José Correa
M
José Correa
M
13
Rommell Ibarra
89'
M
Rommell Ibarra
89'
M
10
Juan Castellanos
74'
M
Juan Castellanos
74'
M
6
Carlos Faya
89'
M
Carlos Faya
89'
M
36
Flabian Londoño
89'
M
Flabian Londoño
89'
M
7
José Alí Meza
1 ⚽
74'
F
José Alí Meza
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
21
Alexis Rodríguez
16'
F
Alexis Rodríguez
16'
F
9
Anthony Uribe
10'
F
Anthony Uribe
10'
F
14
Cesar Da Silva
9'
M
Cesar Da Silva
9'
M
3
Diego Osío
D
32
Franco Cáceres
9'
M
Franco Cáceres
9'
M
19
Genderson Ascanio
D
Genderson Ascanio
D
15
Miguel González
M
Miguel González
M
33
Nelson Hernández
D
Nelson Hernández
D
77
R. Arace
16'
F
R. Arace
16'
F
18
Yackson Rivas
F
Yackson Rivas
F
1
Carlos Lampe
G
Carlos Lampe
G
8
Luis Paz
84'
D
Luis Paz
84'
D
3
Xavier Arreaga
D
Xavier Arreaga
D
27
Ignacio Gariglio
45'
D
Ignacio Gariglio
45'
D
4
José Sagredo
D
José Sagredo
D
11
Brian Oyola
66'
M
Brian Oyola
66'
M
14
Robson Matheus
M
Robson Matheus
M
23
Leonel Justiniano
1 ⚽
M
Leonel Justiniano
1 ⚽
M
80
Carlos Melgar
78'
M
Carlos Melgar
78'
M
17
Patricio Rodríguez
M
Patricio Rodríguez
M
77
Dorny Romero
F
Dorny Romero
F
Bench
6
Ervin Vaca
M
Ervin Vaca
M
26
Erwin Saavedra
M
Erwin Saavedra
M
33
Fernando Mena
D
Fernando Mena
D
7
Jhon Velásquez
F
Jhon Velásquez
F
19
John García
24'
M
John García
24'
M
18
Lucas Chávez
12'
M
Lucas Chávez
12'
M
9
Martín Cauteruccio
15'
F
Martín Cauteruccio
15'
F
5
Santiago Echeverria
45'
D
Santiago Echeverria
45'
D
Best on the pitch
Carlos Lampe
G · Bolívar
8.20
· 23 pass
Santiago Echeverria
D · Bolívar
7.70
· 26 pass
José Alí Meza
F · Deportivo
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Flabian Londoño
M · Deportivo
7.60
2 shots
· 23 pass
Jorge Gutiérrez
D · Deportivo
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
Luis Pena
D · Deportivo
7.30
1 shots
· 27 pass
Deportivo La Guaira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Varela | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Luis Pena | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Guillermo Ortíz | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Martín Gianoli | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Gutiérrez | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 22% | 6 | — | — |
| José Correa | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 5 | — | — |
| Rommell Ibarra | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Castellanos | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Faya | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Flabian Londoño | M | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| José Alí Meza | F | 74 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexis Rodríguez | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Anthony Uribe | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Cesar Da Silva | M | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Cáceres | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Arace | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Bolívar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Lampe | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Luis Paz | D | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Xavier Arreaga | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ignacio Gariglio | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| José Sagredo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Brian Oyola | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Robson Matheus | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonel Justiniano | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Carlos Melgar | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Patricio Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Dorny Romero | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| John García | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Chávez | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Martín Cauteruccio | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Echeverria | D | 45 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
The final score was Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Bolívar.
What did the model predict before Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Deportivo La Guaira win, 28% to a draw, and 43% to an Bolívar win.