Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 4
May 07, 2026 00:00
José Alí Meza
(ast. Jorge Gutiérrez)
31'
90'+4
Leonel Justiniano
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolívar a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Deportivo La Guaira 27%). The final result was Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Bolívar. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo La Guaira have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bolívar.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
4
1.32
Actual xG
1.22
3
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
6
Corners
7
21
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽José Alí Meza
· ast. Jorge Gutiérrez
31'
45'+2
Leonel Justiniano
46'
Santiago Echeverria
/
Ignacio Gariglio
66'
John García
/
Brian Oyola
72'
Xavier Arreaga
Juan Castellanos
/ Alexis Rodríguez
74'
José Alí Meza
/ Rafael Arace
74'
78'
Lucas Chávez
/
Carlos Melgar
Guillermo Ortíz
81'
84'
Martín Cauteruccio
/
Luis Paz
Flabian Londoño
/ Anthony Uribe
89'
90'+1
90'+3
José Sagredo
Luis Pena
90'+3
90'+4
Leonel Justiniano⚽
Anthony Uribe
90'+7
Cristopher Varela
90'+9
Rommell Ibarra
/ Cesar Da Silva
90'
Carlos Faya
/ Franco Cáceres
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.54%
Deportivo
28.87%
X ←
43.59%
Bolívar
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.78
1.32
+0.55
1.53
1.22
-0.31
xG dominance was balanced (1.32 – 1.22).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Cristopher Varela
G
Cristopher Varela
G
16
L. Peña
D
24
G. Ortiz
D
5
M. Gianoli
D
20
J. Gutiérrez
1 👟
D
J. Gutiérrez
1 👟
D
27
J. Correa
M
13
R. Ibarra
89'
M
10
J. Castellanos
74'
M
6
Carlos Faya
89'
M
Carlos Faya
89'
M
36
F. Londoño
89'
M
7
J. Meza
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
21
Alexis Rodríguez
16'
F
Alexis Rodríguez
16'
F
9
A. Uribe
10'
F
14
C. Da Silva
9'
M
3
Diego Osío
D
32
Franco Cáceres
9'
M
Franco Cáceres
9'
M
19
Genderson Ascanio
D
Genderson Ascanio
D
15
M. González
M
33
N. Hernández
D
77
R. Arace
16'
F
18
Yackson Rivas
F
1
C. Lampe
G
C. Lampe
G
8
L. Paz
84'
D
L. Paz
84'
D
3
X. Arreaga
D
X. Arreaga
D
27
I. Gariglio
45'
D
I. Gariglio
45'
D
4
Jose Sagredo
D
Jose Sagredo
D
11
Brian Oyola
66'
M
Brian Oyola
66'
M
14
Robson Matheus
M
23
L. Justiniano
1 ⚽
M
L. Justiniano
1 ⚽
M
80
C. Melgar
78'
M
C. Melgar
78'
M
17
P. Rodríguez
M
P. Rodríguez
M
77
D. Romero
F
D. Romero
F
Bench
26
E. Saavedra
M
E. Saavedra
M
6
E. Vaca
M
E. Vaca
M
33
F. Mena
D
F. Mena
D
19
J. García
24'
M
J. García
24'
M
7
J. Velásquez
F
J. Velásquez
F
18
L. Chávez
12'
M
L. Chávez
12'
M
9
M. Cauteruccio
15'
F
M. Cauteruccio
15'
F
5
S. Echeverría
45'
D
S. Echeverría
45'
D
Best on the pitch
C. Lampe
G · Bolívar
8.20
· 23 pass
S. Echeverría
D · Bolívar
7.70
· 26 pass
J. Meza
F · Deportivo
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
F. Londoño
M · Deportivo
7.60
2 shots
· 23 pass
J. Gutiérrez
D · Deportivo
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
L. Peña
D · Deportivo
7.30
1 shots
· 27 pass
Deportivo La Guaira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Varela | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Peña | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| G. Ortiz | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Gianoli | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Gutiérrez | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 22% | 6 | — | — |
| J. Correa | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Ibarra | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Castellanos | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Faya | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Londoño | M | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Meza | F | 74 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexis Rodríguez | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| A. Uribe | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Da Silva | M | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Cáceres | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| R. Arace | F | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Bolívar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lampe | G | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| L. Paz | D | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| X. Arreaga | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39% | 3 | 1 | — |
| I. Gariglio | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jose Sagredo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Brian Oyola | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Robson Matheus | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Justiniano | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Melgar | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Romero | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| J. García | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Chávez | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cauteruccio | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Echeverría | D | 45 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
The final score was Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Bolívar.
What did the model predict before Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Deportivo La Guaira win, 28% to a draw, and 43% to an Bolívar win.