← Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 4 May 07, 2026 00:00
Deportivo La Guaira
#3 · 3 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Bolívar
#2 · 5 pts
José Alí Meza (ast. Jorge Gutiérrez) 31'
90'+4 Leonel Justiniano

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolívar a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Deportivo La Guaira 27%). The final result was Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Bolívar. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo La Guaira have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bolívar.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
4
1.32
Actual xG
1.22
3
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
6
Corners
7
21
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽José Alí Meza · ast. Jorge Gutiérrez
31'
45'+2
Leonel Justiniano
46'
Santiago Echeverria / Ignacio Gariglio ↕
66'
John García / Brian Oyola ↕
72'
Xavier Arreaga
↕ Juan Castellanos / Alexis Rodríguez
74'
↕ José Alí Meza / Rafael Arace
74'
78'
Lucas Chávez / Carlos Melgar ↕
Guillermo Ortíz
81'
84'
Martín Cauteruccio / Luis Paz ↕
↕ Flabian Londoño / Anthony Uribe
89'
90'+1
90'+3
José Sagredo
Luis Pena
90'+3
90'+4
Leonel Justiniano⚽
Anthony Uribe
90'+7
Cristopher Varela
90'+9
↕ Rommell Ibarra / Cesar Da Silva
90'
↕ Carlos Faya / Franco Cáceres
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.54%
Deportivo
28.87%
X ←
43.59%
Bolívar
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.87% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Deportivo
0.78
1.32
+0.55
Bolívar
1.53
1.22
-0.31
xG dominance was balanced (1.32 – 1.22). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
1
Cristopher Varela G 6.90
16
Luis Pena D 7.30
24
G. Ortiz D 7.20
5
M. Gianoli D 6.70
20 J. Gutiérrez J. Gutiérrez 1 👟 D 7.50
27
J. Correa M 6.90
13
R. Ibarra 89' M 6.90
10
J. Castellanos 74' M 6.60
6
Carlos Faya 89' M 6.90
36
Flabian Londoño 89' M 7.60
7
J. Meza 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.70
Bench
9
Anthony Uribe 10' F 6.70
21
A. Rodriguez 16' F 6.20
14
C. Da Silva 9' M 6.20
3
D. Osio D
32
F. Caceres 9' M 6.50
19
G. Ascanio D
15
M. Gonzalez M
33
N. Hernandez D
77
R. Arace 16' F 6.60
18
Y. Rivas F
Bolívar Bolívar
1
C. Lampe G 8.20
8
L. Paz 84' D 6.30
3
X. Arreaga D 6.90
27
Ignacio Gariglio 45' D 6.50
4
José Sagredo D 6.90
11
B. Oyola 66' M 6.50
14
Robson Matheus M 6.50
23
Leonel Justiniano 1 ⚽ M 7.20
80
C. A. Melgar 78' M 6.90
17
Pato Rodriguez M 6.20
77
D. Romero F 6.90
Bench
26
E. Saavedra M
6
E. Vaca Moreno M
33
F. Mena D
19
J. Garcia 24' M 6.20
7
J. Velasquez F
18
L. L. Chavez Cruz 12' M 6.30
9
M. Cauteruccio 15' F 6.30
5
S. Echeverria 45' D 7.70
Best on the pitch
C. Lampe
G · Bolívar
8.20
· 23 pass
S. Echeverria
D · Bolívar
7.70
· 26 pass
J. Meza
F · Deportivo
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
Flabian Londoño
M · Deportivo
7.60
2 shots · 23 pass
J. Gutiérrez
J. Gutiérrez
D · Deportivo
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 30 pass
Luis Pena
D · Deportivo
7.30
1 shots · 27 pass
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Cristopher Varela G 90 6.90 — — — 31 19% — 1 —
Luis Pena D 90 7.30 — — 1 27 20% 3 1 —
G. Ortiz D 90 7.20 — — 1 34 23% 1 1 —
M. Gianoli D 90 6.70 — — — 26 22% — — —
J. Gutiérrez D 90 7.50 — 1 1 30 22% 6 — —
J. Correa M 90 6.90 — — — 36 33% 5 — —
R. Ibarra M 89 6.90 — — — 27 24% 3 — —
J. Castellanos M 74 6.60 — — 1 31 26% — — —
Carlos Faya M 89 6.90 — — 1 26 23% 1 — —
Flabian Londoño M 89 7.60 — — 2 23 20% — — —
J. Meza F 74 7.70 1 — 2 22 17% 2 — —
Anthony Uribe F 10 6.70 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
A. Rodriguez F 16 6.20 — — 1 2 2% — — —
C. Da Silva M 9 6.20 — — — — — — — —
F. Caceres M 9 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
R. Arace F 16 6.60 — — — 4 3% — — —
Bolívar Bolívar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Lampe G 90 8.20 — — — 23 19% — — —
L. Paz D 84 6.30 — — — 30 23% 2 — —
X. Arreaga D 90 6.90 — — 1 42 39% 3 1 —
Ignacio Gariglio D 45 6.50 — — — 20 19% — — —
José Sagredo D 90 6.90 — — — 32 26% 3 1 —
B. Oyola M 66 6.50 — — — 19 15% 2 — —
Robson Matheus M 90 6.50 — — 2 30 23% 1 — —
Leonel Justiniano M 90 7.20 1 — 2 27 22% 1 1 —
C. A. Melgar M 78 6.90 — — — 36 26% 1 — —
Pato Rodriguez M 90 6.20 — — 2 29 20% 1 — —
D. Romero F 90 6.90 — — 2 13 9% 2 — —
J. Garcia M 24 6.20 — — — 7 3% — — —
L. L. Chavez Cruz M 12 6.30 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
M. Cauteruccio F 15 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
S. Echeverria D 45 7.70 — — — 26 24% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
The final score was Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Bolívar.
What did the model predict before Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Deportivo La Guaira win, 28% to a draw, and 43% to an Bolívar win.