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Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Tachira FC

#1 · 27 pts
vs
#1 · 12 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 24.2°C 💨 4 km/h · Iwaki
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.48%
Win
Deportivo La Guaira
19.48%
Draw
36.04%
Win
Deportivo Tachira FC
2.2
Expected xG
1.99

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (7.31%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 19%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 56%
12 81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Deportivo La Guaira a 44% win probability, against 19% for a draw and 36% for Deportivo Tachira FC. Expected goals are 2.2 for Deportivo La Guaira and 2.0 for Deportivo Tachira FC (total 4.2), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 7.31% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Deportivo La Guaira have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Tachira FC.

Season Stats

Deportivo La Guaira
6W 3D 6L
Deportivo Tachira FC
9W 4D 2L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
1.9
1.3
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
47%
O 2.5
47%
60%
BTTS
67%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga FUTVE. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Deportivo La Guaira
2W 3D 5L · at home
Deportivo Tachira FC
5W 2D 3L · away
1.3
gls/g
1.9
1.4
Conceded
1.5
20%
Win %
50%
50%
Win or Draw
70%
80%
O 1.5
90%
40%
O 2.5
60%
20%
O 3.5
40%
50%
BTTS
80%
30%
Clean Sht
10%
40%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo Tachira FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5% 3.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
1 3.3% 6.6% 6.6% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9%
2 3.7% 7.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
3 2.7% 5.4% 5.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7%
4 1.5% 2.9% 2.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
5 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%

Recent form

W Portuguesa FC 0–3
D Portuguesa FC 2–2
L Carabobo FC 3–1
D Metropolitanos FC 2–2
L Trujillanos FC 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
W Puerto Cabello 3–2
W Puerto Cabello 0–1
W Monagas SC 2–0
W Caracas FC 1–2
D Carabobo FC 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
Attack
26
Defence
50
Form
37
Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC
Attack
59
Defence
72
Form
71
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Deportivo La Guaira
0
Draw
1
Deportivo Tachira FC
20 Sep 2026 Liga FUTVE 2–4
11 Apr 2026 Liga FUTVE 3–2

Primera Division: Apertura

# Team G Pts
1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 13 27
2 Metropolitanos FC Metropolitanos FC 13 25
3 Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC 13 24
4 UCV UCV 13 23
5 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 13 20
6 Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC 13 20
7 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 13 19
8 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 13 17
9 Zamora FC Zamora FC 13 17
10 Caracas FC Caracas FC 13 15
11 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 13 14
12 Monagas SC Monagas SC 13 11
13 Anzoátegui FC Anzoátegui FC 13 9
14 Trujillanos FC Trujillanos FC 13 4

What's at stake · Primera Division: Apertura

Top 2 advance to the next round

Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo Tachira FC
Current #1 #1
→ Deportivo La Guaira #1 #3
→ Draw #1 #3
→ Deportivo Tachira FC #1 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira FC?
The model gives Deportivo La Guaira a 44% win probability, 19% for a draw, and 36% for an Deportivo Tachira FC win.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira FC?
Expected goals: Deportivo La Guaira 2.2, Deportivo Tachira FC 2.0 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo La Guaira vs Deportivo Tachira FC?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.31%.