Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 08, 2026 00:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Deportivo La Guaira 30%). The final result was Deportivo La Guaira 0–0 Fluminense. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo La Guaira have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fluminense.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
7
0.14
Actual xG
1.03
7
Saves
1
36%
Possession
64%
3
Corners
8
8
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
J. Correa
/ C. Faya
46'
F. Caceres
/ Y. Rivas
52'
D. Osio
60'
65'
Y. Soteldo
/
J. Savarino
66'
K. Serna
/
A. Canobbio
66'
R. Castillo
/
John Kennedy
C. Rivero
70'
J. Meza
/ J. Paredes
74'
F. Londono
/ A. Rodriguez
74'
J. Paredes
79'
J. Gutierrez
87'
87'
G. Cano
/
L. Acosta
88'
PH Ganso
/
Hercules
J. Gutierrez
/ N. Hernandez
88'
Pre-match prediction
30.89%
Deportivo
30.05%
X ←
39.06%
Fluminense
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.05%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.82
0.14
-0.69
1.32
1.03
-0.29
Fluminense dominated by xG (1.03 vs 0.14).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Cristopher Varela
G
20
Jorge Gutiérrez
87'
D
Jorge Gutiérrez
87'
D
3
Diego Osío
D
4
C. Rivero
D
16
Luis Pena
D
Luis Pena
D
13
Rommell Ibarra
M
Rommell Ibarra
M
8
Juan Perdomo
M
Juan Perdomo
M
27
José Correa
45'
M
José Correa
45'
M
32
Franco Cáceres
52'
M
Franco Cáceres
52'
M
36
Flabian Londoño
74'
F
Flabian Londoño
74'
F
7
José Alí Meza
73'
F
José Alí Meza
73'
F
Bench
21
Alexis Rodríguez
16'
F
Alexis Rodríguez
16'
F
6
Carlos Faya
45'
M
Carlos Faya
45'
M
14
Cesar Da Silva
M
Cesar Da Silva
M
24
Guillermo Ortíz
D
Guillermo Ortíz
D
10
Juan Castellanos
M
Juan Castellanos
M
5
Martín Gianoli
D
Martín Gianoli
D
33
Nelson Hernández
9'
D
Nelson Hernández
9'
D
77
R. Arace
F
R. Arace
F
18
Yackson Rivas
38'
F
Yackson Rivas
38'
F
1
G
6
Renê
D
Renê
D
22
D
3
Jemmes
D
Jemmes
D
2
Samuel Xavier
D
Samuel Xavier
D
8
Martinelli
M
Martinelli
M
35
Hércules
87'
M
Hércules
87'
M
17
A. Canobbio
66'
M
A. Canobbio
66'
M
32
Luciano Acosta
87'
M
Luciano Acosta
87'
M
11
Jefferson Savarino
66'
M
Jefferson Savarino
66'
M
9
John Kennedy
66'
F
John Kennedy
66'
F
Bench
25
Alisson
M
Alisson
M
10
Ganso
9'
M
Ganso
9'
M
23
Guga
D
Guga
D
13
Guilherme Arana
D
Guilherme Arana
D
4
Ignácio
D
Ignácio
D
90
Kevin Serna
24'
F
Kevin Serna
24'
F
94
Otávio
M
Otávio
M
19
Rodrigo Castillo
24'
F
Rodrigo Castillo
24'
F
7
Yeferson Soteldo
24'
F
Yeferson Soteldo
24'
F
Best on the pitch
Cristopher Varela
G · Deportivo
9.70
· 35 pass
Renê
D · Fluminense
7.90
· 61 pass
C. Rivero
D · Deportivo
7.60
· 43 pass
Diego Osío
D · Deportivo
7.30
· 26 pass
Jorge Gutiérrez
D · Deportivo
7.20
· 19 pass
Luis Pena
D · Deportivo
7.20
· 24 pass
Deportivo La Guaira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Varela | G | 90 | 9.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Gutiérrez | D | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Diego Osío | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Rivero | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| Luis Pena | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Rommell Ibarra | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Perdomo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| José Correa | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Franco Cáceres | M | 52 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Flabian Londoño | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| José Alí Meza | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexis Rodríguez | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Faya | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Nelson Hernández | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Yackson Rivas | F | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Fluminense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Renê | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | 5 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 65% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jemmes | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Xavier | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Martinelli | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Hércules | M | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Canobbio | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano Acosta | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Savarino | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| John Kennedy | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Ganso | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Serna | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Castillo | F | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Yeferson Soteldo | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Fluminense?
The final score was Deportivo La Guaira 0–0 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Deportivo La Guaira vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Deportivo La Guaira win, 30% to a draw, and 39% to an Fluminense win.