Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 08, 2026 00:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Fluminense a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Deportivo La Guaira 30%). The final result was Deportivo La Guaira 0–0 Fluminense. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo La Guaira have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fluminense.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
7
0.14
Actual xG
1.03
7
Saves
1
36%
Possession
64%
3
Corners
8
8
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
J. Correa
/ C. Faya
46'
F. Caceres
/ Y. Rivas
52'
D. Osio
60'
65'
Y. Soteldo
/
J. Savarino
66'
K. Serna
/
A. Canobbio
66'
R. Castillo
/
John Kennedy
C. Rivero
70'
J. Meza
/ J. Paredes
74'
F. Londono
/ A. Rodriguez
74'
J. Paredes
79'
J. Gutierrez
87'
87'
G. Cano
/
L. Acosta
88'
PH Ganso
/
Hercules
J. Gutierrez
/ N. Hernandez
88'
Pre-match prediction
30.89%
Deportivo
30.05%
X ←
39.06%
Fluminense
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.05%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.82
0.14
-0.69
1.32
1.03
-0.29
Fluminense dominated by xG (1.03 vs 0.14).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Cristopher Varela
G
Cristopher Varela
G
20
J. Gutiérrez
87'
D
J. Gutiérrez
87'
D
3
Diego Osío
D
4
C. Rivero
D
16
L. Peña
D
13
R. Ibarra
M
8
J. Perdomo
M
27
J. Correa
45'
M
32
Franco Cáceres
52'
M
Franco Cáceres
52'
M
36
F. Londoño
74'
F
7
J. Meza
73'
F
Bench
21
Alexis Rodríguez
16'
F
Alexis Rodríguez
16'
F
6
Carlos Faya
45'
M
Carlos Faya
45'
M
14
C. Da Silva
M
24
G. Ortiz
D
10
J. Castellanos
M
5
M. Gianoli
D
33
N. Hernández
9'
D
77
R. Arace
F
18
Yackson Rivas
38'
F
1
G
6
Renê
D
Renê
D
22
D
3
Jemmes
D
Jemmes
D
2
Samuel Xavier
D
Samuel Xavier
D
8
Matheus Martinelli
M
Matheus Martinelli
M
35
Hércules
87'
M
Hércules
87'
M
17
A. Canobbio
66'
M
A. Canobbio
66'
M
32
L. Acosta
87'
M
L. Acosta
87'
M
11
J. Savarino
66'
M
J. Savarino
66'
M
9
John Kennedy
66'
F
John Kennedy
66'
F
Bench
25
Alisson
M
Alisson
M
23
Guga
D
Guga
D
13
Guilherme Arana
D
Guilherme Arana
D
4
Ignacio
D
Ignacio
D
90
K. Serna
24'
F
K. Serna
24'
F
94
Otávio
M
Otávio
M
10
PH Ganso
9'
M
PH Ganso
9'
M
19
R. Castillo
24'
F
R. Castillo
24'
F
7
Y. Soteldo
24'
F
Y. Soteldo
24'
F
Best on the pitch
Cristopher Varela
G · Deportivo
9.70
· 35 pass
Renê
D · Fluminense
7.90
· 61 pass
C. Rivero
D · Deportivo
7.60
· 43 pass
Diego Osío
D · Deportivo
7.30
· 26 pass
J. Gutiérrez
D · Deportivo
7.20
· 19 pass
L. Peña
D · Deportivo
7.20
· 24 pass
Deportivo La Guaira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Varela | G | 90 | 9.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 21% | — | — | — |
| J. Gutiérrez | D | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Diego Osío | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Rivero | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Peña | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ibarra | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Perdomo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Correa | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Franco Cáceres | M | 52 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Londoño | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Meza | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexis Rodríguez | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Faya | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Hernández | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Yackson Rivas | F | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Fluminense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Renê | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 54% | 5 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 65% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jemmes | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Xavier | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Martinelli | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Hércules | M | 87 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Canobbio | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Acosta | M | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| J. Savarino | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| John Kennedy | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| K. Serna | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| PH Ganso | M | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| R. Castillo | F | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Soteldo | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Fluminense?
The final score was Deportivo La Guaira 0–0 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Deportivo La Guaira vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Deportivo La Guaira win, 30% to a draw, and 39% to an Fluminense win.