Deportivo La Guaira - UCV
Weather at kick-off
🌧️
Rain
24.4°C
💨 18 km/h
🌧️ 24%
· Budapest
⚡ Pre-match analysis
71.54%
Win
Deportivo La Guaira
13.82%
Draw
14.64%
Win
UCV
3.08
1.29
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Deportivo La Guaira
71.54%
Probability
61.3%
1X2 accuracy · 31 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
3–1
(8.06%)
1X2 Result
1
72%
X
14%
2
15%
Double Chance
✓ 90.3% hit rate (31 picks)
1X
85%
X2
29%
12
86%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
69%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Deportivo La Guaira a 71% win probability, against 13% for a draw and 14% for UCV. Expected goals are 3.1 for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.3 for UCV (total 4.4), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 8.06% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Deportivo La Guaira have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for UCV.
Season Stats
6W
6D
3L
3W
5D
7L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.1
0.9
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
87%
40%
O 2.5
47%
67%
BTTS
67%
27%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga FUTVE. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
2W
5D
3L
· at home
1W
3D
6L
· away
1.1
gls/g
0.9
0.9
Conceded
1.9
20%
Win %
10%
70%
Win or Draw
40%
60%
O 1.5
90%
30%
O 2.5
50%
10%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
60%
40%
Clean Sht
10%
40%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Deportivo La Guaira
UCV →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Deportivo La Guaira
Attack
42
Defence
62
Form
52
UCV
Attack
29
Defence
82
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Deportivo La Guaira
|
13 | 27 |
| 2 |
Metropolitanos FC
|
13 | 25 |
| 3 |
Deportivo Tachira FC
|
13 | 24 |
| 4 |
UCV
|
13 | 23 |
| 5 |
Portuguesa FC
|
13 | 20 |
| 6 |
Estudiantes de Merida FC
|
13 | 20 |
| 7 |
Carabobo FC
|
13 | 19 |
| 8 |
Puerto Cabello
|
13 | 17 |
| 9 |
Zamora FC
|
13 | 17 |
| 10 |
Caracas FC
|
13 | 15 |
| 11 |
Rayo Zuliano
|
13 | 14 |
| 12 |
Monagas SC
|
13 | 11 |
| 13 |
Anzoátegui FC
|
13 | 9 |
| 14 |
Trujillanos FC
|
13 | 4 |
What's at stake · Primera Division: Apertura
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #4 |
| → Deportivo La Guaira | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #1 | #4 |
| → UCV | #1 | #2 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?
The model gives Deportivo La Guaira a 71% win probability, 13% for a draw, and 14% for an UCV win.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?
Expected goals: Deportivo La Guaira 3.1, UCV 1.3 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.06%.