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Deportivo Madryn - Colon Santa Fe

Primera Nacional July 05, 2026 20:00
Deportivo Madryn
#5 · 28 pts
vs
Colon Santa Fe
#4 · 29 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
52.01%
Win
Deportivo Madryn
22.58%
Draw
25.41%
Win
Colon Santa Fe
1.74
Expected xG
1.12
Most likely result 1–1 (11.2%)
2+ goals
59%
3+ goals
55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Deportivo Madryn a 52% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Colon Santa Fe. Expected goals are 1.7 for Deportivo Madryn and 1.1 for Colon Santa Fe (total 2.9), with a 59% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.2% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Madryn have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Colon Santa Fe.

Season Stats

Deportivo Madryn
7W 5D 3L
Colon Santa Fe
6W 6D 3L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.2
1.0
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
60%
O 2.5
27%
60%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
78%
O 1.5
39%
O 2.5
11%
O 3.5
56%
BTTS
Deportivo Madryn
4W 4D 1L · at home
Colon Santa Fe
2W 4D 3L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.0
0.9
Conceded
1.0
44%
Win %
22%
89%
Win or Draw
67%
78%
O 1.5
78%
56%
O 2.5
22%
11%
O 3.5
11%
67%
BTTS
44%
22%
Clean Sht
33%
22%
Failed to Score
33%
last 9
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Deportivo Madryn Colon Santa Fe →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.0% 11.2% 6.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% — —

Recent form

Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
W Los Andes 2–1
D San Miguel 2–2
D San Telmo 0–0
D Acassuso 0–0
W Chaco For Ever 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe
L Chaco For Ever 1–0
W Defensores De Belgrano 0–3
D Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0
D Almirante Brown 1–1
D Atletico Mitre 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn
Attack
34
Defence
73
Form
54
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe
Attack
31
Defence
79
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Deportivo Madryn
0
Draw
1
Colon Santa Fe
15 Feb 2026 Primera Nacional 1–2

Group 1

# Team G Pts
1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 18 34
2 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 18 34
3 Los Andes Los Andes 18 29
4 Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe 18 29
5 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 18 28
6 Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 18 27
7 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 18 26
8 CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 18 26
9 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 18 25
10 San Miguel San Miguel 18 24
11 San Telmo San Telmo 18 20
12 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 18 20
13 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba 18 20
14 All Boys All Boys 18 19
15 Central Norte Central Norte 18 18
16 Acassuso Acassuso 18 18
17 Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 18 17
18 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 18 12

What's at stake · Group 1

Top 2 advance to the next round

Deportivo Madryn Colon Santa Fe
Current #5 #4
→ Deportivo Madryn #3 #5
→ Draw #5 #3
→ Colon Santa Fe #5 #3

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Deportivo Madryn vs Colon Santa Fe?
The model gives Deportivo Madryn a 52% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 25% for an Colon Santa Fe win.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Madryn vs Colon Santa Fe?
Expected goals: Deportivo Madryn 1.7, Colon Santa Fe 1.1 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 59%.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo Madryn vs Colon Santa Fe?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.2%.