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Deportivo Maipu - Agropecuario

Primera Nacional July 05, 2026 21:30
Deportivo Maipu
#10 · 22 pts
vs
Agropecuario
#18 · 18 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
64.2%
Win
Deportivo Maipu
23.13%
Draw
12.66%
Win
Agropecuario
1.59
Expected xG
0.43
Most likely result 1–0 (21.1%)
2+ goals
58%
3+ goals
33%
Model prediction
Deportivo Maipu
64.2%
Probability
33.3%
1X2 accuracy · 9 predictions (3 months)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Deportivo Maipu a 64% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Agropecuario. Expected goals are 1.6 for Deportivo Maipu and 0.4 for Agropecuario (total 2.0), with a 58% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 21.1% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Maipu have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Agropecuario.

Season Stats

Deportivo Maipu
5W 3D 7L
Agropecuario
3W 6D 6L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
0.8
1.0
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
47%
O 1.5
73%
40%
O 2.5
27%
40%
BTTS
40%
33%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 1.5
33%
O 2.5
22%
O 3.5
39%
BTTS
Deportivo Maipu
5W 1D 3L · at home
Agropecuario
1W 3D 5L · away
1.1
gls/g
0.7
0.8
Conceded
1.6
56%
Win %
11%
67%
Win or Draw
44%
33%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
33%
22%
O 3.5
22%
33%
BTTS
44%
33%
Clean Sht
22%
44%
Failed to Score
56%
last 9
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Deportivo Maipu Agropecuario →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3% 5.7% 1.2% 0.2% — —
1 21.1% 9.1% 2.0% 0.3% — —
2 16.7% 7.2% 1.6% 0.2% — —
3 8.9% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% — —
4 3.5% 1.5% 0.3% — — —
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
D Gimnasia Y Tiro 0–0
L Tristan Suarez 0–1
L Club Atlético Güemes 1–0
W Chacarita Juniors 3–2
L San Martin S.J. 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Agropecuario Agropecuario
L San Martin S.J. 2–0
L Almagro 2–1
D Patronato 1–1
D Colegiales 0–0
D Quilmes 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
Attack
29
Defence
78
Form
52
Agropecuario Agropecuario
Attack
15
Defence
71
Form
38
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Deportivo Maipu
0
Draw
1
Agropecuario
14 Feb 2026 Primera Nacional 1–2

Group 2

# Team G Pts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 18 36
2 Atlanta Atlanta 18 33
3 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 18 30
4 Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 18 27
5 Temperley Temperley 18 27
6 Midland Midland 18 26
7 San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 17 23
8 Colegiales Colegiales 18 23
9 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 18 23
10 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 18 22
11 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 17 22
12 Almagro Almagro 18 22
13 Quilmes Quilmes 18 21
14 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 18 21
15 Patronato Patronato 18 21
16 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 18 19
17 Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 18 19
18 Agropecuario Agropecuario 18 18

What's at stake · Group 2

Top 2 advance to the next round

Deportivo Maipu Agropecuario
Current #10 #18
→ Deportivo Maipu #7 #18
→ Draw #7 #17
→ Agropecuario #10 #16

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs Agropecuario?
The model gives Deportivo Maipu a 64% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 12% for an Agropecuario win.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Maipu vs Agropecuario?
Expected goals: Deportivo Maipu 1.6, Agropecuario 0.4 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 58%.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo Maipu vs Agropecuario?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 21.1%.