Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud
Primera División
August 01, 2026 20:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
59.57%
Win
Deportivo Maldonado
22.44%
Draw
17.99%
Win
Juventud
1.75
0.77
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Deportivo Maldonado
59.57%
Probability
72.2%
1X2 accuracy · 18 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(14.6%)
1X2 Result
✓ 72.2% hit rate (18 picks)
1
60%
X
22%
2
18%
Double Chance
✓ 88.9% hit rate (18 picks)
1X
82%
X2
40%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
69%
Over 2.5
46%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Deportivo Maldonado a 59% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Juventud. Expected goals are 1.7 for Deportivo Maldonado and 0.8 for Juventud (total 2.5), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Maldonado have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Juventud.
Season Stats
8W
3D
4L
5W
3D
7L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
1.2
1.1
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
73%
53%
O 2.5
53%
67%
BTTS
67%
27%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera División. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
8W
1D
1L
· at home
2W
3D
5L
· away
2.0
gls/g
1.2
0.8
Conceded
1.7
80%
Win %
20%
90%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
70%
20%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
80%
40%
Clean Sht
10%
0%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 14.0% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 12.3% | 9.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Deportivo Maldonado
Attack
45
Defence
77
Form
65
Juventud
Attack
36
Defence
62
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
0
Draw
0
3 Mar 2026
2–1
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing Montevideo
|
15 | 31 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Maldonado
|
15 | 29 |
| 3 |
Albion FC
|
15 | 28 |
| 4 |
Penarol
|
15 | 27 |
| 5 |
Central Espanol
|
15 | 24 |
| 6 |
Atletico Torque
|
15 | 23 |
| 7 |
Club Nacional
|
15 | 22 |
| 8 |
Defensor Sporting
|
15 | 21 |
| 9 |
Liverpool Montevideo
|
15 | 20 |
| 10 |
Wanderers
|
15 | 20 |
| 11 |
Danubio
|
15 | 18 |
| 12 |
Cerro Largo
|
15 | 17 |
| 13 |
Boston River
|
15 | 17 |
| 14 |
Juventud
|
15 | 15 |
| 15 |
Progreso
|
15 | 10 |
| 16 |
Cerro
|
15 | 10 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?
The model gives Deportivo Maldonado a 59% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 17% for an Juventud win.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?
Expected goals: Deportivo Maldonado 1.7, Juventud 0.8 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 69%.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.6%.