39'
I. Alba
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Pasto a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Alianza Valledupar 23%). The final result was Deportivo Pasto 0–1 Alianza Valledupar. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Pasto have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Alianza Valledupar.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
1
0.92
Actual xG
0.94
0
Saves
2
71%
Possession
29%
4
Corners
1
6
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
36'
K. Moreno
39'
I. Alba⚽
J. Micolta Piedahita
/ P. Preciado
61'
Y. Goez
/ M. Gil
61'
69'
F. Pardo
/
L. Palacios
69'
Y. Londono
/
C. Vergara
E. C. Serje Orozco
/ H. Mancilla
70'
F. Leys
/ M. Pisano
70'
76'
F. Pardo
78'
P. Franco
/
J. Figueroa
81'
J. Lasso
82'
Y. Rosales
/
I. Alba
82'
D. Quinones
/
J. Munoz
J. Perlaza
/ J. Quinones
86'
90'+3
D. Quinones
Pre-match prediction
51.01%
Deportivo
25.93%
X
23.06%
Alianza ←
we assigned to the actual result (Alianza Valledupar)
23.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.92
-0.52
0.91
0.94
+0.03
xG dominance was balanced (0.92 – 0.94).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Geovanni Banguera
G
Geovanni Banguera
G
27
Hervin Goyes
D
Hervin Goyes
D
5
Nicolas Gil Uribe
D
Nicolas Gil Uribe
D
2
Fainer Torijano
D
Fainer Torijano
D
33
Mateo Garavito
D
Mateo Garavito
D
10
Diego Chávez
M
Diego Chávez
M
25
Franco Leys
70'
M
Franco Leys
70'
M
8
Enrique Serje
70'
M
Enrique Serje
70'
M
23
Yeiler Góez
61'
M
Yeiler Góez
61'
M
7
Jonathan Perlaza
86'
F
Jonathan Perlaza
86'
F
18
Joider Micolta
61'
F
Joider Micolta
61'
F
Bench
15
Harrinson Mancilla
20'
M
Harrinson Mancilla
20'
M
17
John Méndez
F
John Méndez
F
3
Joyce Ossa
D
Joyce Ossa
D
36
Julián Quiñones
10'
D
Julián Quiñones
10'
D
13
Luis Marquínez
G
Luis Marquínez
G
32
Matías Pisano
20'
M
Matías Pisano
20'
M
16
Mayer Gil
29'
M
Mayer Gil
29'
M
19
Patrick Preciado
29'
F
Patrick Preciado
29'
F
40
Eduar Beltrán
G
Eduar Beltrán
G
32
Juan Viveros
D
Juan Viveros
D
22
Jesús Figueroa
78'
D
Jesús Figueroa
78'
D
3
Kevin Moreno
D
Kevin Moreno
D
33
Jhildrey Lasso
M
Jhildrey Lasso
M
55
Wiston Fernández
M
Wiston Fernández
M
7
Jair Castillo
M
Jair Castillo
M
23
Israel Alba
1 ⚽
82'
M
Israel Alba
1 ⚽
82'
M
8
Jesús Muñoz
82'
F
Jesús Muñoz
82'
F
18
Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas
69'
F
Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas
69'
F
88
Leyner Palacios
69'
F
Leyner Palacios
69'
F
Bench
13
Antonio Simancas
G
Antonio Simancas
G
10
Déinner Quiñones
11'
F
Déinner Quiñones
11'
F
17
Felipe Pardo
21'
M
Felipe Pardo
21'
M
25
Josy Pérez
M
Josy Pérez
M
5
Pedro Franco
12'
D
Pedro Franco
12'
D
27
Yeiner Londoño
21'
M
Yeiner Londoño
21'
M
60
Yilson Rosales
8'
D
Yilson Rosales
8'
D
Best on the pitch
Israel Alba
M · Alianza
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Jesús Figueroa
D · Alianza
7.90
· 24 pass
Jair Castillo
M · Alianza
7.20
· 42 pass
Kevin Moreno
D · Alianza
7.00
· 21 pass
Yeiler Góez
M · Deportivo
7.00
· 32 pass
Leyner Palacios
F · Alianza
6.90
1 shots
· 7 pass
Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geovanni Banguera | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Hervin Goyes | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 71 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Gil Uribe | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 86 | 72% | — | — | — |
| Fainer Torijano | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 64% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Garavito | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 56 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Chávez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 56 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Franco Leys | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 68 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Enrique Serje | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Yeiler Góez | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Perlaza | F | 86 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Joider Micolta | F | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Harrinson Mancilla | M | 20 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Julián Quiñones | D | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Matías Pisano | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Mayer Gil | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Patrick Preciado | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Alianza Valledupar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduar Beltrán | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Juan Viveros | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Figueroa | D | 78 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Kevin Moreno | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jhildrey Lasso | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wiston Fernández | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Jair Castillo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Israel Alba | M | 82 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Jesús Muñoz | F | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas | F | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Leyner Palacios | F | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Déinner Quiñones | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | 1 |
| Felipe Pardo | M | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Pedro Franco | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Yeiner Londoño | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Yilson Rosales | D | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?
The final score was Deportivo Pasto 0–1 Alianza Valledupar.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Deportivo Pasto win, 25% to a draw, and 23% to an Alianza Valledupar win.