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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 14 March 30, 2026 01:20
Deportivo Pasto
#3 · 34 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Atletico Nacional
#1 · 40 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Pasto a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Atletico Nacional 23%). The final result was Deportivo Pasto 1–2 Atletico Nacional.

Match statistics
1
Shots on target
6
0.95
Actual xG
1.72
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
51.11%
Deportivo
25.6%
X
23.29%
Atletico ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Nacional) 23.29% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Deportivo
2.10
0.95
-1.15
Atletico
0.98
1.72
+0.74
Atletico Nacional dominated by xG (1.72 vs 0.95). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional?
The final score was Deportivo Pasto 1–2 Atletico Nacional.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Deportivo Pasto win, 25% to a draw, and 23% to an Atletico Nacional win.