Liga BetPlay · Apertura - 16 April 11, 2026 03:05

Deportivo Pasto

#3 · 34 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Deportes Tolima

#6 · 31 pts

A. Estupinan 33'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Pasto a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Deportes Tolima 26%). The final result was Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Deportes Tolima. In 2 previous meetings, Deportivo Pasto have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Deportes Tolima.

Match statistics

1

Total shots

6

1

Shots on target

2

0.20

Actual xG

0.71

1

Saves

0

54%

Possession

46%

1

Corners

4

3

Tackles

13

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

12'

J. Gonzalez

19'

C. Trujillo

J. Caicedo

23'

⚽A. Estupinan

33'

46'

E. Lopez / J. Gonzalez ↕

46'

J. Angulo / Y. Osorio ↕

67'

V. Reyes / S. P. Barbosa Gomez ↕

↕ M. Gil / J. Micolta Piedahita

73'

↕ E. C. Serje Orozco / D. Chavez

73'

74'

Y. A. Parra / Y. Moreno ↕

75'

E. Alvarez / C. Trujillo ↕

↕ J. Perlaza / W. Morelo

82'

↕ A. Estupinan / H. Goyes

82'

↕ Y. Goez / H. Mancilla

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

46.04%

Deportivo ←

27.7%

X

26.26%

Deportes

we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Pasto) 46.04% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Deportivo

1.68

0.20

-1.48

Deportes

1.36

0.71

-0.65

Deportes Tolima dominated by xG (0.71 vs 0.20). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	40
2	Junior	19	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	34
4	America de Cali	19	33
5	Once Caldas	19	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	31
7	Santa Fe	19	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	27
10	Millonarios	19	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	23
14	Llaneros	19	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	22
16	Jaguares	19	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	17
18	Chico	19	17
19	Cucuta	19	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	10

Lineups

Deportivo Pasto 4-3-3

1

G 6.90

21

D 7.00

5 Nicolas Gil Uribe D 7.00

2

F. Torijano D 6.90

33 Mateo Garavito D 7.20

6 Johan Caicedo M 7.20

8 Enrique Serje 73' M 6.30

23 Yeiler Góez M 7.30

11 Andrey Estupiñán 1 ⚽ 82' F 8.20

16 Mayer Gil 73' F 6.70

7 Jonathan Perlaza 82' F 6.20

Bench

10 Diego Chávez 21' M 6.70

12 Geovanni Banguera G

15 Harrinson Mancilla 1' M

27 Hervin Goyes 12' F 6.70

32 Matías Pisano M

19 Wilson Morelo 12' F 6.70

Deportes Tolima 4-2-3-1

22

G 6.60

30 Shean Barbosa 67' D 6.20

71

Y. Osorio 45' D 6.50

5

J. Mera D 6.60

33 Jherson Mosquera D 6.90

6

Cristian Trujillo 75' M 6.70

27

M 6.50

31 Yoimar Moreno 74' M 6.20

19

M 6.70

7 J. González 45' M 6.20

29

F 6.20

Bench

28 Edwar López 49' F 6.20

3 Jan Ángulo 49' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

Andrey Estupiñán

F · Deportivo

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 15 pass

Yeiler Góez

M · Deportivo

7.30

· 42 pass

Mateo Garavito

D · Deportivo

7.20

· 27 pass

Johan Caicedo

M · Deportivo

7.20

· 28 pass

D · Deportivo

7.00

· 29 pass

Nicolas Gil Uribe

D · Deportivo

7.00

· 36 pass

Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	94	6.90	—	—	—	32	22%	—	—	—
	D	94	7.00	—	—	—	29	22%	1	—	—
Nicolas Gil Uribe	D	94	7.00	—	—	—	36	29%	—	—	—
F. Torijano	D	94	6.90	—	—	—	35	27%	—	—	—
Mateo Garavito	D	94	7.20	—	—	—	27	20%	—	—	—
Johan Caicedo	M	94	7.20	—	—	—	28	23%	—	1	—
Enrique Serje	M	73	6.30	—	—	—	19	13%	1	—	—
Yeiler Góez	M	93	7.30	—	—	—	42	35%	—	—	—
Andrey Estupiñán	F	82	8.20	1	—	1	15	13%	—	—	—
Mayer Gil	F	73	6.70	—	—	—	15	12%	—	—	—
Jonathan Perlaza	F	82	6.20	—	—	—	9	4%	—	—	—
Diego Chávez	M	21	6.70	—	—	—	11	7%	1	—	—
Harrinson Mancilla	M	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hervin Goyes	F	12	6.70	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
Wilson Morelo	F	12	6.70	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—

Deportes Tolima — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	94	6.60	—	—	—	40	18%	—	—	—
Shean Barbosa	D	67	6.20	—	—	—	9	4%	—	—	—
Y. Osorio	D	45	6.50	—	—	1	14	9%	—	—	—
J. Mera	D	94	6.60	—	—	—	34	25%	2	—	—
Jherson Mosquera	D	94	6.90	—	—	—	33	22%	2	—	—
Cristian Trujillo	M	75	6.70	—	—	—	30	23%	1	1	—
	M	94	6.50	—	—	—	26	19%	4	—	—
Yoimar Moreno	M	74	6.20	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—
	M	94	6.70	—	—	—	15	11%	1	—	—
J. González	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	6	4%	1	1	—
	F	94	6.20	—	—	2	13	10%	1	—	—
Edwar López	F	49	6.20	—	—	3	7	3%	—	—	—
Jan Ángulo	D	49	6.60	—	—	—	17	12%	1	—	—