Richard Rentería
(ast. Jhon Largacha)
48'
Yuber Quiñones
63'
(pen.)
13'
(ast. Wiston Fernández)
Jesús Muñoz
45'+3
(ast. Pedro Franco)
Misael Martínez
(pen.)
90'+4
Felipe Pardo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Pereira a 35% win probability (draw 36%, Alianza Valledupar 27%). The final result was Deportivo Pereira 2–3 Alianza Valledupar.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
4
1.74
Actual xG
1.47
2
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
5
Corners
5
9
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
13'
ast. Wiston Fernández ·
Jesús Muñoz⚽
45'+3
ast. Pedro Franco ·
Misael Martínez⚽
Eber Moreno
/ Richard Rentería
46'
Jordy Monroy
/ Felipe Mosquera
46'
Sebastián Acosta
/ Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
46'
⚽Richard Rentería
· ast. Jhon Largacha
48'
⚽Yuber Quiñones
(pen.)
63'
63'
Yilson Rosales
/
Juan Viveros
70'
Felipe Pardo
/
Misael Martínez
70'
Yeiner Londoño
/
Jesús Muñoz
78'
Felipe Pardo
Jhon Largacha
/ Tobias Bovone
79'
80'
Lucas Valencia
/
Wiston Fernández
Sebastián Urrea
86'
Yuber Quiñones
90'+3
90'+4
(pen.)
Felipe Pardo⚽
90'+6
Kevin Moreno
90'+6
Carlos Esparragoza
90'
Jorge Bermúdez
/ Juan Urrea
90'
Pre-match prediction
35.45%
Deportivo
36.64%
X
27.91%
Alianza ←
we assigned to the actual result (Alianza Valledupar)
27.91%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.01
1.74
+0.73
0.85
1.47
+0.62
xG dominance was balanced (1.74 – 1.47).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
25
D
16
Eber Moreno
45'
D
2
Sebastián Urrea
D
11
Jhon Largacha
1 👟
79'
D
20
Jordy Monroy
45'
D
3
Nicolas Rengifo
M
5
Jorge Bermúdez
89'
M
21
W. Pacheco
M
W. Pacheco
M
88
Y. Quinones
1 ⚽
F
10
S. Acosta
45'
F
Bench
24
Juan Urrea
1'
F
19
M. Aguirre
M
31
Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
45'
F
29
Richard Rentería
1 ⚽
45'
D
1
G
25
D
23
Juan Viveros
63'
D
5
P. Franco
1 👟
D
3
Kevin Moreno
D
24
E. Banguero
D
21
Fabián Cantillo
M
15
C. Esparragoza
M
C. Esparragoza
M
10
W. Fernández
1 👟
80'
M
W. Fernández
1 👟
80'
M
8
Jesús Muñoz
1 ⚽
70'
F
26
Misael Martínez
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
17
Felipe Pardo
1 ⚽
20'
M
27
Yeiner Londoño
20'
M
16
Yilson Rosales
27'
D
Best on the pitch
Jesús Muñoz
F · Alianza
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Richard Rentería
D · Deportivo
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Y. Quinones
F · Deportivo
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
W. Fernández
M · Alianza
7.30
1 👟
· 26 pass
C. Esparragoza
M · Alianza
7.30
· 40 pass
Yeiner Londoño
M · Alianza
7.20
· 1 pass
Deportivo Pereira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| Eber Moreno | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Urrea | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 47% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jhon Largacha | D | 79 | 6.00 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jordy Monroy | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Rengifo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge Bermúdez | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Pacheco | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Y. Quinones | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Acosta | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Juan Urrea | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Richard Rentería | D | 45 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
Alianza Valledupar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — | |
| Juan Viveros | D | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Franco | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Kevin Moreno | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Banguero | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabián Cantillo | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Esparragoza | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| W. Fernández | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Jesús Muñoz | F | 70 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Misael Martínez | F | 70 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Pardo | M | 20 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Yeiner Londoño | M | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Yilson Rosales | D | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Alianza Valledupar?
The final score was Deportivo Pereira 2–3 Alianza Valledupar.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Pereira vs Alianza Valledupar?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Deportivo Pereira win, 36% to a draw, and 27% to an Alianza Valledupar win.