Jordy Monroy
13'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Nacional a 54% win probability (draw 26%, Deportivo Pereira 19%). The final result was Deportivo Pereira 1–0 Atletico Nacional.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
0
0.67
Actual xG
0.50
0
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
3
12
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Jordy Monroy
13'
19'
Alfredo Morelos
45'+4
Juan Manuel Rengifo
46'
Juan Zapata
/
Edwin Cardona
Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
61'
61'
Dairon Asprilla
/
Andrés Sarmiento
Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
/ Jhon Largacha
62'
Sebastián Acosta
/ Felipe Mosquera
63'
Jorge Bermúdez
/ Luis Moreno
68'
69'
Marlos Moreno
/
Eduard Bello
Walmer Pacheco
74'
80'
Juan Rosa
/
Samuel Velásquez
Sebastián Urrea
81'
Jhon Largacha
86'
Miguel Aguirre
/ Fabio Delgado
86'
88'
William Tesillo
Pre-match prediction
19.34%
Deportivo ←
26.09%
X
54.57%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Pereira)
19.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
0.67
-0.21
1.80
0.50
-1.3
xG dominance was balanced (0.67 – 0.50).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
30
D
29
R. Rentería
D
R. Rentería
D
2
S. Urrea
D
S. Urrea
D
21
W. Pacheco
D
W. Pacheco
D
5
J. Bermúdez
68'
M
J. Bermúdez
68'
M
3
N. Rengifo
M
N. Rengifo
M
19
M. Aguirre
86'
M
M. Aguirre
86'
M
10
S. Acosta
63'
M
S. Acosta
63'
M
20
J. Monroy
1 ⚽
M
J. Monroy
1 ⚽
M
31
M. Diaz
62'
F
M. Diaz
62'
F
Bench
16
Eber Moreno
D
Eber Moreno
D
11
J. Largacha
28'
F
J. Largacha
28'
F
34
Juan Urrea
F
15
G
33
Samuel Velásquez
80'
D
Samuel Velásquez
80'
D
16
W. Tesillo
D
W. Tesillo
D
4
C. Haydar
D
C. Haydar
D
6
A. Román
D
A. Román
D
21
J. Campuzano
M
J. Campuzano
M
29
A. Sarmiento
61'
M
A. Sarmiento
61'
M
19
Juan Manuel Rengifo
49'
M
Juan Manuel Rengifo
49'
M
10
E. Cardona
45'
M
E. Cardona
45'
M
18
E. Bello
69'
M
E. Bello
69'
M
9
A. Morelos
F
A. Morelos
F
Bench
27
D. Asprilla
29'
F
D. Asprilla
29'
F
80
J. Zapata
45'
M
J. Zapata
45'
M
35
Matias Lozano
M
Matias Lozano
M
7
M. Moreno
21'
F
M. Moreno
21'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Monroy
M · Deportivo
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
R. Rentería
D · Deportivo
7.50
1 shots
· 28 pass
C. Haydar
D · Atletico
7.50
· 71 pass
D · Deportivo
7.30
· 28 pass
W. Pacheco
D · Deportivo
7.30
· 51 pass
S. Urrea
D · Deportivo
7.20
· 29 pass
Deportivo Pereira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 4 | — | — | |
| R. Rentería | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Urrea | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Pacheco | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Bermúdez | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Rengifo | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| M. Aguirre | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Acosta | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Monroy | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Diaz | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Largacha | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| Samuel Velásquez | D | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Tesillo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 51% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Haydar | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 71 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Román | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Campuzano | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| A. Sarmiento | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Rengifo | M | 49 | 4.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | — | — | 1 |
| E. Cardona | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. Bello | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Morelos | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Asprilla | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Zapata | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Moreno | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional?
The final score was Deportivo Pereira 1–0 Atletico Nacional.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional?
The model assigned 19% probability to a Deportivo Pereira win, 26% to a draw, and 54% to an Atletico Nacional win.