Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 18
April 25, 2026 23:00
Jordy Monroy
13'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Nacional a 54% win probability (draw 26%, Deportivo Pereira 19%). The final result was Deportivo Pereira 1–0 Atletico Nacional.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
0
0.67
Actual xG
0.50
0
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
3
12
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Jordy Monroy
13'
19'
Alfredo Morelos
45'+4
Juan Manuel Rengifo
46'
Juan Zapata
/
Edwin Cardona
Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
61'
61'
Dairon Asprilla
/
Andrés Sarmiento
Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
/ Jhon Largacha
62'
Sebastián Acosta
/ Felipe Mosquera
63'
Jorge Bermúdez
/ Luis Moreno
68'
69'
Marlos Moreno
/
Eduard Bello
Walmer Pacheco
74'
80'
Juan Rosa
/
Samuel Velásquez
Sebastián Urrea
81'
Jhon Largacha
86'
Miguel Aguirre
/ Fabio Delgado
86'
88'
William Tesillo
Pre-match prediction
19.34%
Deportivo ←
26.09%
X
54.57%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Deportivo Pereira)
19.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.88
0.67
-0.21
1.80
0.50
-1.3
xG dominance was balanced (0.67 – 0.50).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
30
D
29
Richard Rentería
D
2
Sebastián Urrea
D
21
W. Pacheco
D
W. Pacheco
D
5
Jorge Bermúdez
68'
M
3
Nicolas Rengifo
M
19
M. Aguirre
86'
M
10
S. Acosta
63'
M
20
Jordy Monroy
1 ⚽
M
31
Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
62'
F
Bench
16
Eber Moreno
D
11
Jhon Largacha
28'
F
34
Juan Urrea
F
15
G
33
Samuel Velásquez
80'
D
Samuel Velásquez
80'
D
16
William Tesillo
D
William Tesillo
D
4
César Haydar
D
César Haydar
D
6
Andrés Román
D
Andrés Román
D
21
Jorman Campuzano
M
Jorman Campuzano
M
29
Andrés Sarmiento
61'
M
Andrés Sarmiento
61'
M
19
Juan Manuel Rengifo
49'
M
Juan Manuel Rengifo
49'
M
10
Edwin Cardona
45'
M
Edwin Cardona
45'
M
18
Eduard Bello
69'
M
Eduard Bello
69'
M
9
Alfredo Morelos
F
Alfredo Morelos
F
Bench
27
D. Asprilla
29'
F
80
Juan Zapata
45'
M
Juan Zapata
45'
M
35
M. Lozano
M
7
M. Moreno
21'
F
Best on the pitch
Jordy Monroy
M · Deportivo
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
Richard Rentería
D · Deportivo
7.50
1 shots
· 28 pass
César Haydar
D · Atletico
7.50
· 71 pass
D · Deportivo
7.30
· 28 pass
W. Pacheco
D · Deportivo
7.30
· 51 pass
Sebastián Urrea
D · Deportivo
7.20
· 29 pass
Deportivo Pereira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 4 | — | — | |
| Richard Rentería | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastián Urrea | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Pacheco | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jorge Bermúdez | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Rengifo | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| M. Aguirre | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Acosta | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Jordy Monroy | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez | F | 62 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Jhon Largacha | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| Samuel Velásquez | D | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| William Tesillo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 51% | 3 | 1 | — |
| César Haydar | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 71 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrés Román | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorman Campuzano | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Sarmiento | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Rengifo | M | 49 | 4.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | — | — | 1 |
| Edwin Cardona | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Eduard Bello | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Alfredo Morelos | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Asprilla | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Juan Zapata | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Moreno | F | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional?
The final score was Deportivo Pereira 1–0 Atletico Nacional.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional?
The model assigned 19% probability to a Deportivo Pereira win, 26% to a draw, and 54% to an Atletico Nacional win.