The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Once Caldas a 53% win probability (draw 25%, Deportivo Pereira 21%). The final result was Deportivo Pereira 0–0 Once Caldas.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
5
1.16
Actual xG
0.62
5
Saves
4
34%
Possession
66%
6
Corners
7
19
Tackles
6
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Juan Urrea
43'
Juan Urrea
/ Miguel Aguirre
46'
Sebastián Urrea
53'
56'
Iván Rojas
/
Jaime Alvarado
56'
Mateo Zuleta
/
Pipe Gómez
60'
Kevin Tamayo
/
Juan Patiño
Walmer Pacheco
65'
Nicolas Rengifo
67'
Jhon Largacha
/ Jordy Monroy
73'
Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
/ Fabio Delgado
74'
77'
Déinner Quiñones
/
Luis Sánchez
77'
Andrés Roa
/
Jefry Zapata
81'
Juan David Cuesta
87'
Andrés Roa
90'
Juan Castaño
Pre-match prediction
21.38%
Deportivo
25.01%
X ←
53.61%
Once
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
1.16
+0.05
2.00
0.62
-1.38
Deportivo Pereira dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.62).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
30
D
29
R. Rentería
D
R. Rentería
D
2
S. Urrea
D
S. Urrea
D
11
J. Largacha
73'
D
J. Largacha
73'
D
21
W. Pacheco
D
W. Pacheco
D
3
N. Rengifo
M
N. Rengifo
M
24
Juan Urrea
45'
M
31
M. Diaz
74'
M
M. Diaz
74'
M
88
J. Quiñones
F
J. Quiñones
F
5
J. Bermúdez
F
J. Bermúdez
F
Bench
16
Eber Moreno
D
Eber Moreno
D
20
J. Monroy
17'
D
J. Monroy
17'
D
19
M. Aguirre
45'
M
M. Aguirre
45'
M
10
S. Acosta
M
S. Acosta
M
99
G
33
J. Patiño
60'
D
J. Patiño
60'
D
2
J. Cardona
D
J. Cardona
D
16
J. Castaño
D
J. Castaño
D
22
J. Cuesta
D
J. Cuesta
D
15
J. Alvarado
56'
M
J. Alvarado
56'
M
9
Pipe Gómez
56'
M
Pipe Gómez
56'
M
10
L. Sánchez
77'
M
L. Sánchez
77'
M
42
J. Quiñónes
M
J. Quiñónes
M
14
J. Zapata
77'
M
J. Zapata
77'
M
17
D. Moreno
F
D. Moreno
F
Bench
20
A. Roa
13'
M
A. Roa
13'
M
70
Déinner Quiñones
13'
F
Déinner Quiñones
13'
F
21
H. Guzman
F
H. Guzman
F
30
K. Tamayo
30'
F
K. Tamayo
30'
F
28
M. Zuleta
34'
M
M. Zuleta
34'
M
Best on the pitch
R. Rentería
D · Deportivo
7.20
2 shots
· 25 pass
M. Aguirre
M · Deportivo
7.20
· 15 pass
J. Quiñones
F · Deportivo
7.20
4 shots
· 5 pass
J. Cardona
D · Once
7.20
1 shots
· 51 pass
W. Pacheco
D · Deportivo
7.00
· 22 pass
G · Once
7.00
· 33 pass
Deportivo Pereira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — | |
| R. Rentería | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Urrea | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Largacha | D | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Pacheco | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Rengifo | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Juan Urrea | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Diaz | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Quiñones | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bermúdez | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Monroy | D | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Aguirre | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
Once Caldas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| J. Patiño | D | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Cardona | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 45% | — | — | — |
| J. Castaño | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | 1 |
| J. Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Alvarado | M | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Pipe Gómez | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Sánchez | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| J. Quiñónes | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Zapata | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Moreno | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Roa | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Déinner Quiñones | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| K. Tamayo | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Zuleta | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas?
The final score was Deportivo Pereira 0–0 Once Caldas.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Deportivo Pereira win, 25% to a draw, and 53% to an Once Caldas win.