The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Once Caldas a 53% win probability (draw 25%, Deportivo Pereira 21%). The final result was Deportivo Pereira 0–0 Once Caldas.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
5
1.16
Actual xG
0.62
5
Saves
4
34%
Possession
66%
6
Corners
7
19
Tackles
6
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Juan Urrea
43'
Juan Urrea
/ Miguel Aguirre
46'
Sebastián Urrea
53'
56'
Iván Rojas
/
Jaime Alvarado
56'
Mateo Zuleta
/
Pipe Gómez
60'
Kevin Tamayo
/
Juan Patiño
Walmer Pacheco
65'
Nicolas Rengifo
67'
Jhon Largacha
/ Jordy Monroy
73'
Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
/ Fabio Delgado
74'
77'
Déinner Quiñones
/
Luis Sánchez
77'
Andrés Roa
/
Jefry Zapata
81'
Juan David Cuesta
87'
Andrés Roa
90'
Juan Castaño
Pre-match prediction
21.38%
Deportivo
25.01%
X ←
53.61%
Once
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
1.16
+0.05
2.00
0.62
-1.38
Deportivo Pereira dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.62).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
30
D
29
Richard Rentería
D
2
Sebastián Urrea
D
11
Jhon Largacha
73'
D
21
W. Pacheco
D
W. Pacheco
D
3
Nicolas Rengifo
M
24
Juan Urrea
45'
M
31
Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
74'
M
88
Y. Quinones
F
5
Jorge Bermúdez
F
Bench
16
Eber Moreno
D
20
Jordy Monroy
17'
D
19
M. Aguirre
45'
M
10
S. Acosta
M
99
G
33
Juan Patiño
60'
D
Juan Patiño
60'
D
2
Jorge Cardona
D
Jorge Cardona
D
16
J. Castaño
D
J. Castaño
D
22
Juan David Cuesta
D
Juan David Cuesta
D
15
Jaime Alvarado
56'
M
Jaime Alvarado
56'
M
9
Pipe Gómez
56'
M
Pipe Gómez
56'
M
10
Luis Sánchez
77'
M
Luis Sánchez
77'
M
42
Jader Quinones
M
Jader Quinones
M
14
J. Zapata
77'
M
J. Zapata
77'
M
17
D. Moreno
F
D. Moreno
F
Bench
20
Andrés Roa
13'
M
Andrés Roa
13'
M
70
D. Quinones
13'
F
21
Helieyker Guzman
F
Helieyker Guzman
F
30
K. Tamayo
30'
F
28
Mateo Zuleta
34'
M
Mateo Zuleta
34'
M
Best on the pitch
Richard Rentería
D · Deportivo
7.20
2 shots
· 25 pass
M. Aguirre
M · Deportivo
7.20
· 15 pass
Y. Quinones
F · Deportivo
7.20
4 shots
· 5 pass
Jorge Cardona
D · Once
7.20
1 shots
· 51 pass
W. Pacheco
D · Deportivo
7.00
· 22 pass
G · Once
7.00
· 33 pass
Deportivo Pereira — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — | |
| Richard Rentería | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Sebastián Urrea | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jhon Largacha | D | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Pacheco | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Nicolas Rengifo | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Juan Urrea | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Quinones | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorge Bermúdez | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Jordy Monroy | D | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Aguirre | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
Once Caldas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — | |
| Juan Patiño | D | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jorge Cardona | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 45% | — | — | — |
| J. Castaño | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Juan David Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jaime Alvarado | M | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Pipe Gómez | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Luis Sánchez | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Jader Quinones | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Zapata | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Moreno | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Roa | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Quinones | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| K. Tamayo | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Zuleta | M | 34 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas?
The final score was Deportivo Pereira 0–0 Once Caldas.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Deportivo Pereira win, 25% to a draw, and 53% to an Once Caldas win.