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Deportivo Pereira - Santa Fe

Liga BetPlay September 30, 2026 01:00 Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas, Pereira
Deportivo Pereira
#16 · 2 pts
vs
Santa Fe
#7 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
22.35%
Win
Deportivo Pereira
22.35%
Draw
55.3%
Win
Santa Fe
0.94
Expected xG
1.75
Most likely outcome
Santa Fe
55.3%
Probability
53.1%
1X2 accuracy · 32 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–1 (12.41%)
1X2 Result
1 22%
X 22%
2 55%
Double Chance
1X 45%
X2 78%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 48%
✓ 69.2% hit rate (13 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Santa Fe a 55% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Deportivo Pereira. Expected goals are 0.9 for Deportivo Pereira and 1.8 for Santa Fe (total 2.7), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 12.41% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Pereira have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Santa Fe.

Season Stats

Deportivo Pereira
2W 5D 8L
Santa Fe
7W 7D 1L
Averages per game
0.6
Goals
1.9
1.3
Conceded
0.9
3.0
Shots OT
4.7
3.0
Corners
3.7
47%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
47%
O 1.5
80%
33%
O 2.5
53%
33%
BTTS
60%
27%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga BetPlay. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Deportivo Pereira
1W 4D 5L · at home
Santa Fe
2W 6D 2L · away
1.1
gls/g
1.2
1.8
Conceded
1.3
10%
Win %
20%
50%
Win or Draw
80%
70%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
20%
60%
BTTS
90%
20%
Clean Sht
10%
30%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Deportivo Pereira Santa Fe →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8% 11.8% 10.4% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9%
1 6.4% 11.2% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.0% 5.3% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 — 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
L Bucaramanga 1–3
D Millonarios 1–1
L Independiente Medellin 0–3
W Deportivo Pasto 1–2
D Alianza Valledupar 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 18%
Santa Fe Santa Fe
W Deportes Tolima 1–0
D Fortaleza FC 2–2
W Millonarios 3–2
D Junior 1–1
D America de Cali 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
Attack
22
Defence
43
Form
37
Santa Fe Santa Fe
Attack
37
Defence
63
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Deportivo Pereira
1
Draw
0
Santa Fe
29 Jan 2026 Liga BetPlay 2–2

Clausura - A

# Team G Pts
12 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 5 5
13 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 5 5
14 Cucuta Cucuta 5 5
15 Jaguares Jaguares 5 4
16 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 3 2
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 4 2
18 Junior Junior 3 1
19 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 5 0
20 Chico Chico 3 0

What's at stake · Clausura - A

Top 2 advance to the next round

Deportivo Pereira Santa Fe
Current #5 #1
→ Deportivo Pereira #2 #1
→ Draw #5 #1
→ Santa Fe #5 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
The model gives Deportivo Pereira a 22% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 55% for an Santa Fe win.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
Expected goals: Deportivo Pereira 0.9, Santa Fe 1.8 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.41%.