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Deportivo Recoleta - Boca Juniors

Copa Sudamericana August 19, 2026 00:00
Deportivo Recoleta
#1 · 8 pts
vs
Boca Juniors
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.84%
Win
Deportivo Recoleta
31.67%
Draw
33.5%
Win
Boca Juniors
1.09
Expected xG
1.04

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.05%)
1X2 Result ✓ 80.0% hit rate (20 picks)
1 35%
X 32%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 47%
✓ 64.7% hit rate (17 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Deportivo Recoleta a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Boca Juniors. Expected goals are 1.1 for Deportivo Recoleta and 1.0 for Boca Juniors (total 2.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.05% probability.

Season Stats

Deportivo Recoleta
1W 6D 0L
Boca Juniors
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.5
0.9
Conceded
0.5
2.1
Shots OT
2.0
3.7
Corners
5.5
38%
Poss.
57%
Percentages
71%
O 1.5
0%
14%
O 2.5
0%
71%
BTTS
0%
29%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 7 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Deportivo Recoleta
0W 3D 0L · at home
Boca Juniors
0W 0D 1L · away
0.7
gls/g
0.0
0.7
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
67%
O 1.5
0%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
100%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Deportivo Recoleta Boca Juniors →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9% 12.4% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.9% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.0% 7.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.5% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
W San Lorenzo 0–1
D Deportivo Cuenca 2–2
D Santos 1–1
D Deportivo Cuenca 0–0
D Santos 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
L O'Higgins 1–0
W O'Higgins 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta
Attack
35
Defence
54
Form
57
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
Attack
33
Defence
77
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Deportivo Recoleta vs Boca Juniors?
The model gives Deportivo Recoleta a 34% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an Boca Juniors win.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Recoleta vs Boca Juniors?
Expected goals: Deportivo Recoleta 1.1, Boca Juniors 1.0 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo Recoleta vs Boca Juniors?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.05%.