Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 4
May 06, 2026 02:30
F. Galeano
86'
41'
(ast. B. Rollheiser)
Neymar
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Santos a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Deportivo Recoleta 31%). The final result was Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Santos. In 1 previous meetings, Deportivo Recoleta have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Santos.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
11
2
Shots on target
3
0.34
Actual xG
2.67
1
Saves
1
32%
Possession
68%
6
Corners
5
16
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
41'
ast. B. Rollheiser ·
Neymar⚽
J. Gonzalez
43'
P. Rios
/ K. Parzajuk
46'
J. Espinola
/ A. Franco
46'
R. Dominguez
48'
W. Baez
59'
W. Baez
/ B. Ferreira
70'
75'
Thaciano
/
Gabriel Barbosa
75'
Luan Peres
/
G. Escobar
B. Ferreira
80'
F. A. Echeguren Zarza
/ B. Medina
80'
L. Cardozo
81'
R. Dominguez
/ F. Galeano
86'
⚽F. Galeano
86'
89'
A. Barreal
/
Gabriel Bontempo
89'
Rony
/
C. Oliva
90'+1
Rony
90'+2
Mateus Xavier
/
Thaciano
Pre-match prediction
31.16%
Deportivo
31.81%
X ←
37.03%
Santos
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.81%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.80
0.34
-0.46
0.96
2.67
+1.71
Santos dominated by xG (2.67 vs 0.34).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
25
Dairon Mosquera
D
Dairon Mosquera
D
3
Luis Cardozo
D
Luis Cardozo
D
5
Nicolás Marotta
D
Nicolás Marotta
D
2
Facundo Echeguren
80'
D
Facundo Echeguren
80'
D
17
W. Báez
70'
M
W. Báez
70'
M
6
Jose Espinola
45'
M
Jose Espinola
45'
M
7
R. Domínguez
86'
M
R. Domínguez
86'
M
10
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
M
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
M
29
A. Wlk
F
A. Wlk
F
18
Pedro Rios
45'
F
Pedro Rios
45'
F
Bench
8
Fernando Galeano
1 ⚽
11'
M
19
Héctor López
M
38
J. Franco
45'
M
J. Franco
45'
M
11
Kevin Parzajuk
45'
F
Kevin Parzajuk
45'
F
32
Lucas Monzon
D
Lucas Monzon
D
31
Manuel Shupp
M
20
Marcelo Cañete
M
4
Marcos Pereira
D
24
Thiago Vidal
F
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
G. Escobar
75'
D
G. Escobar
75'
D
26
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
18
Igor Vinicius
D
Igor Vinicius
D
5
João Schmidt
M
João Schmidt
M
28
C. Oliva
89'
M
C. Oliva
89'
M
32
B. Rollheiser
1 👟
M
B. Rollheiser
1 👟
M
10
Neymar
1 ⚽
M
Neymar
1 ⚽
M
49
Gabriel Bontempo
89'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
89'
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
75'
F
Gabriel Barbosa
75'
F
Bench
22
Á. Barreal
8'
M
Á. Barreal
8'
M
1
Diógenes
G
Diógenes
G
14
Luan Peres
15'
D
Luan Peres
15'
D
21
Moisés
F
Moisés
F
30
M. Terceros
M
M. Terceros
M
11
Rony
8'
F
Rony
8'
F
16
Thaciano
14'
M
Thaciano
14'
M
15
Willian Arão
M
Willian Arão
M
Best on the pitch
Neymar
M · Santos
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 65 pass
Fernando Galeano
M · Deportivo
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 1 pass
Nicolás Marotta
D · Deportivo
7.30
1 shots
· 21 pass
B. Rollheiser
M · Santos
7.20
1 👟
· 67 pass
Igor Vinicius
D · Santos
7.20
2 shots
· 39 pass
Jose Espinola
M · Deportivo
7.00
· 14 pass
Deportivo Recoleta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Dairon Mosquera | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| Luis Cardozo | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Nicolás Marotta | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Echeguren | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Báez | M | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jose Espinola | M | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Domínguez | M | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Wlk | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Rios | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernando Galeano | M | 11 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| J. Franco | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Parzajuk | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| G. Escobar | D | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | — | — | — | |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Vinicius | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| João Schmidt | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Oliva | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Rollheiser | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 67 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Neymar | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 65 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 58 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 75 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Á. Barreal | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rony | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Thaciano | M | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Santos?
The final score was Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 Santos.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Recoleta vs Santos?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Deportivo Recoleta win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an Santos win.