Deportivo Saprissa - Municipal Liberia
Primera División
August 30, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.3%
Win
Deportivo Saprissa
21.49%
Draw
21.2%
Win
Municipal Liberia
2.14
1.23
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Deportivo Saprissa
57.3%
Probability
66.7%
1X2 accuracy · 12 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.7%)
1X2 Result
✓ 66.7% hit rate (12 picks)
1
57%
X
21%
2
21%
Double Chance
1X
79%
X2
43%
12
79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
51%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Deportivo Saprissa a 57% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Municipal Liberia. Expected goals are 2.1 for Deportivo Saprissa and 1.2 for Municipal Liberia (total 3.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.7% probability. In 6 previous meetings, Deportivo Saprissa have won 3 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Municipal Liberia.
Season Stats
10W
2D
3L
9W
2D
4L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.3
0.9
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
53%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera División. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
8W
0D
2L
· at home
4W
2D
4L
· away
2.7
gls/g
1.1
1.0
Conceded
1.2
80%
Win %
40%
80%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
70%
90%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
10%
70%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Deportivo Saprissa
Municipal Liberia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Deportivo Saprissa
Attack
52
Defence
67
Form
70
Municipal Liberia
Attack
36
Defence
80
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Deportivo Saprissa
|
9 | 21 |
| 1 |
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1 | 3 |
| 1 |
LD Alajuelense
|
2 | 4 |
| 1 |
CS Herediano
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
CS Cartagines
|
9 | 18 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Saprissa
|
1 | 0 |
| 2 |
CS Herediano
|
1 | 0 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Saprissa
|
2 | 1 |
| 3 |
Sporting San Jose
|
9 | 17 |
| 4 |
San Carlos
|
9 | 15 |
| 4 |
Municipal Liberia
|
0 | 0 |
| 5 |
LD Alajuelense
|
9 | 14 |
| 6 |
Inter San Carlos
|
9 | 14 |
| 7 |
Puntarenas FC
|
9 | 11 |
| 8 |
Perez Zeledon
|
9 | 8 |
| 9 |
CS Herediano
|
9 | 7 |
| 10 |
Escorpiones Belén
|
9 | 4 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?
The model gives Deportivo Saprissa a 57% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 21% for an Municipal Liberia win.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?
Expected goals: Deportivo Saprissa 2.1, Municipal Liberia 1.2 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Deportivo Saprissa vs Municipal Liberia?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.7%.