Championship
· Regular Season - 7
September 12, 2026 13:30
Bobby Clark
(ast. Sammie Szmodics)
40'
42'
(ast. Liam Millar)
Carlos Vicente
63'
(ast. Liam Millar)
Paik Seung-Ho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham a 36% win probability (draw 32%, Derby 30%). The final result was Derby 1–2 Birmingham. In 2 previous meetings, Derby have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Birmingham.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
18
4
Shots on target
9
6
Saves
1
59%
Possession
41%
10
Corners
4
15
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Mohammed Fuseini
19'
21'
Alex Cochrane
⚽Bobby Clark
· ast. Sammie Szmodics
40'
42'
ast. Liam Millar ·
Carlos Vicente⚽
44'
August Priske
Henrik Wendel Meister
/ Oscar Fraulo
54'
60'
Paik Seung-Ho
/
Jhon Elmer Solís Romero
63'
ast. Liam Millar ·
Paik Seung-Ho⚽
73'
Luis Vasquez
/
August Priske
73'
Ethan Laird
/
Liam Millar
D. Ozoh
/ Corey Blackett-Taylor
85'
Eiran Joe Cashin
/ Ryan Hedges
85'
90'+4
Carlos Vicente
Charlie Taylor
/ Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
90'+5
90'+6
Kristoffer Lund
/
Jay Stansfield
90'+6
Dael Fry
/
Carlos Vicente
Pre-match prediction
30.4%
Derby
32.66%
X
36.95%
Birmingham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Birmingham)
36.95%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.01
—
—
1.30
—
—
Lineups
1
J. Widell Zetterström
G
J. Widell Zetterström
G
18
C. Taylor
D
C. Taylor
D
44
E. Cashin
85'
D
E. Cashin
85'
D
6
S. Langås
D
S. Langås
D
23
J. Ward
D
J. Ward
D
4
D. Ozoh
85'
M
D. Ozoh
85'
M
8
B. Clark
1 ⚽
M
B. Clark
1 ⚽
M
19
H. Meister
54'
M
H. Meister
54'
M
11
S. Szmodics
1 👟
M
S. Szmodics
1 👟
M
16
M. Fuseini
M
M. Fuseini
M
9
C. Morris
F
C. Morris
F
Bench
20
A. Mowatt
M
A. Mowatt
M
33
C. Blackett-Taylor
5'
F
C. Blackett-Taylor
5'
F
28
D. Sanderson
D
D. Sanderson
D
31
J. Vickers
G
J. Vickers
G
15
L. Salvesen
1'
F
L. Salvesen
1'
F
22
M. Johnston
D
M. Johnston
D
29
O. Fraulo
36'
M
O. Fraulo
36'
M
26
R. Hedges
5'
M
R. Hedges
5'
M
24
R. Nyambe
D
R. Nyambe
D
1
J. Beadle
G
J. Beadle
G
20
A. Cochrane
D
A. Cochrane
D
4
C. Klarer
D
C. Klarer
D
5
P. Neumann
D
P. Neumann
D
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
D
B. Osayi-Samuel
D
14
J. Solis
60'
M
J. Solis
60'
M
24
T. Iwata
M
T. Iwata
M
17
L. Millar
2 👟
73'
M
L. Millar
2 👟
73'
M
28
J. Stansfield
M
J. Stansfield
M
7
Carlos Vicente
1 ⚽
M
Carlos Vicente
1 ⚽
M
9
A. Priske
73'
F
A. Priske
73'
F
Bench
23
D. Fry
1'
D
D. Fry
1'
D
2
E. Laird
17'
D
E. Laird
17'
D
27
K. Fujimoto
M
K. Fujimoto
M
25
K. Lund
1'
D
K. Lund
1'
D
3
L. Buchanan
D
L. Buchanan
D
32
L. Vázquez
17'
F
L. Vázquez
17'
F
33
M. Ducksch
F
M. Ducksch
F
8
Paik Seung-Ho
1 ⚽
30'
M
Paik Seung-Ho
1 ⚽
30'
M
21
R. Allsop
G
R. Allsop
G
Best on the pitch
L. Millar
M · Birmingham
8.28
2 👟
· 15 pass
Paik Seung-Ho
M · Birmingham
7.54
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
B. Clark
M · Derby
7.52
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 44 pass
J. Ward
D · Derby
7.16
1 shots
· 46 pass
E. Cashin
D · Derby
7.07
2 shots
· 48 pass
Carlos Vicente
M · Birmingham
6.92
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 25 pass
Derby — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Widell Zetterström | G | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Taylor | D | 95 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Cashin | D | 85 | 7.07 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Langås | D | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ward | D | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Ozoh | M | 85 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Clark | M | 90 | 7.52 | 1 | — | 3 | 44 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| H. Meister | M | 54 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Szmodics | M | 90 | 6.74 | — | 1 | 6 | 37 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Fuseini | M | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 0 | 1 | — |
| C. Morris | F | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Blackett-Taylor | F | 5 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Salvesen | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Fraulo | M | 36 | 6.10 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Hedges | M | 5 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Birmingham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Beadle | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Cochrane | D | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Klarer | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Neumann | D | 90 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Osayi-Samuel | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Solis | M | 60 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Iwata | M | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Millar | M | 73 | 8.28 | — | 2 | 0 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Stansfield | M | 96 | 6.40 | — | — | 4 | 9 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Carlos Vicente | M | 96 | 6.92 | 1 | — | 5 | 25 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Priske | F | 73 | 6.09 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 6% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Fry | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Laird | D | 17 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Lund | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Vázquez | F | 17 | 5.97 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Paik Seung-Ho | M | 30 | 7.54 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Derby vs Birmingham?
The final score was Derby 1–2 Birmingham.
What did the model predict before Derby vs Birmingham?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Derby win, 32% to a draw, and 36% to an Birmingham win.