S. Szmodics
5'
62'
(ast. P. Bamford)
T. Cannon
69'
(ast. G. Hamer)
S. Peck
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Derby a 49% win probability (draw 22%, Sheffield Utd 28%). The final result was Derby 1–2 Sheffield Utd. In 1 previous meetings, Derby have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sheffield Utd.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
8
1.94
Actual xG
1.66
6
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
4
11
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽S. Szmodics
5'
S. Langas
18'
M. Clarke
26'
45'+2
H. Burrows
54'
J. Tanganga
J. Banel
/ B. Clark
60'
62'
ast. P. Bamford ·
T. Cannon⚽
64'
T. Chong
/
T. Cannon
64'
J. Rothwell
/
O. Arblaster
64'
K. Hoever
/
F. Seriki
B. Brereton Diaz
/ M. Johnston
68'
69'
ast. G. Hamer ·
S. Peck⚽
72'
D. Ings
/
G. Hamer
C. Forsyth
/ O. Fraulo
74'
D. Ozoh
/ L. Salvesen
75'
85'
J. Riedewald
/
C. O'Hare
B. Clark
89'
90'+7
T. Chong
S. Szmodics
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
49.54%
Derby
22.4%
X
28.06%
Sheffield ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sheffield Utd)
28.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.86
1.94
+0.08
1.46
1.66
+0.2
xG dominance was balanced (1.94 – 1.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
3
Craig Forsyth
74'
D
Craig Forsyth
74'
D
5
Matt Clarke
D
Matt Clarke
D
6
Sondre Langås
D
Sondre Langås
D
23
D
27
Lewis Travis
M
Lewis Travis
M
18
D. Ozoh
75'
M
34
J. Banel
60'
M
19
Sammie Szmodics
1 ⚽
M
Sammie Szmodics
1 ⚽
M
25
Ben Brereton Díaz
68'
M
Ben Brereton Díaz
68'
M
9
Carlton Morris
F
Carlton Morris
F
Bench
42
Bobby Clark
41'
M
Bobby Clark
41'
M
28
Dion Sanderson
D
Dion Sanderson
D
22
Max Johnston
33'
D
Max Johnston
33'
D
29
Oscar Fraulo
27'
M
Oscar Fraulo
27'
M
17
G
14
Harrison Burrows
D
Harrison Burrows
D
25
Mark McGuinness
D
Mark McGuinness
D
2
Japhet Tanganga
D
Japhet Tanganga
D
38
Femi Seriki
64'
D
Femi Seriki
64'
D
10
Callum O'Hare
85'
M
Callum O'Hare
85'
M
4
Oliver Arblaster
64'
M
Oliver Arblaster
64'
M
42
Sydie Peck
1 ⚽
M
Sydie Peck
1 ⚽
M
8
G. Hamer
1 👟
72'
M
G. Hamer
1 👟
72'
M
45
Patrick Bamford
1 👟
F
Patrick Bamford
1 👟
F
7
Thomas Cannon
1 ⚽
64'
F
Thomas Cannon
1 ⚽
64'
F
Bench
9
D. Ings
29'
F
18
Djibril Soumaré
M
Djibril Soumaré
M
44
Jaïro Riedewald
16'
M
Jaïro Riedewald
16'
M
48
Joe Rothwell
37'
M
Joe Rothwell
37'
M
12
K. Hoever
37'
D
24
Tahith Chong
37'
M
Tahith Chong
37'
M
Best on the pitch
Sydie Peck
M · Sheffield
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 61 pass
Thomas Cannon
F · Sheffield
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 10 pass
Tahith Chong
M · Sheffield
7.30
1 shots
· 10 pass
Femi Seriki
D · Sheffield
7.20
· 17 pass
Sammie Szmodics
M · Derby
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 29 pass
Lewis Travis
M · Derby
7.00
· 62 pass
Derby — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Craig Forsyth | D | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Matt Clarke | D | 101 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 51 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sondre Langås | D | 101 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 101 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 22% | 1 | — | — | |
| Lewis Travis | M | 101 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 62 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Ozoh | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Banel | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Sammie Szmodics | M | 101 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Ben Brereton Díaz | M | 68 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Carlton Morris | F | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Bobby Clark | M | 41 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Max Johnston | D | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Oscar Fraulo | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Sheffield Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 101 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Harrison Burrows | D | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 43% | — | 1 | — |
| Mark McGuinness | D | 101 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Japhet Tanganga | D | 101 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Femi Seriki | D | 64 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Callum O'Hare | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Oliver Arblaster | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Sydie Peck | M | 101 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 61 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Hamer | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Patrick Bamford | F | 101 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Thomas Cannon | F | 64 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| D. Ings | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jaïro Riedewald | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Joe Rothwell | M | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Hoever | D | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Tahith Chong | M | 37 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Derby vs Sheffield Utd?
The final score was Derby 1–2 Sheffield Utd.
What did the model predict before Derby vs Sheffield Utd?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Derby win, 22% to a draw, and 28% to an Sheffield Utd win.