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Championship · Regular Season - 3 August 29, 2026 13:30 Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Derby
#23 · 7 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Swansea
#2 · 23 pts
2' (ast. Eom Ji-Sung) Joseph Amankwaah Opoku
44' Eom Ji-Sung
90'+1 (ast. Stephen Eustáquio) Ronald Pereira Martins
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Derby a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Swansea 32%). The final result was Derby 0–3 Swansea. In 2 previous meetings, Derby have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Swansea.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
23
0
Shots on target
12
9
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
5
Corners
6
17
Tackles
23
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
2'
ast. Eom Ji-Sung · Joseph Amankwaah Opoku⚽
24'
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo / Joseph Amankwaah Opoku ↕
44'
Eom Ji-Sung⚽
↕ max johnston / Joe Ward
45'
↕ Corey Blackett-Taylor / Sammie Szmodics
45'
↕ Ryan Hedges / Rhian Brewster
45'
65'
Zan Vipotnik / Adam Idah ↕
65'
Elijah Just / melker widell ↕
65'
Stephen Eustáquio / Jay Fulton ↕
Sondre Langas
69'
↕ Lars-Jørgen Salvesen / Filip Bilbija
69'
73'
Marko Stamenić
↕ Alex Mowatt / Owen Eames
78'
Dion Sanderson
79'
Lewis Travis
81'
84'
Elijah Just
85'
Ronald Pereira Martins / Eom Ji-Sung ↕
90'+1
ast. Stephen Eustáquio · Ronald Pereira Martins⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.1%
Derby
32.21%
X
32.7%
Swansea ←
we assigned to the actual result (Swansea) 32.7% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Derby
1.82
—
—
Swansea
1.56
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Derby Derby 4-2-3-1
1 J. Widell Zetterström J. Widell Zetterström G 6.89
18 C. Taylor C. Taylor D 5.88
28 D. Sanderson D. Sanderson D 5.89
6 S. Langås S. Langås D 5.51
22 M. Johnston M. Johnston 45' D 5.18
27 L. Travis L. Travis 86' M 5.69
20 A. Mowatt A. Mowatt 78' M 6.66
33 C. Blackett-Taylor C. Blackett-Taylor 45' M 5.34
8 B. Clark B. Clark M 5.54
26 R. Hedges R. Hedges 45' M 5.79
15 L. Salvesen L. Salvesen 69' F 6.42
Bench
3 C. Forsyth C. Forsyth D 0.00
13 F. Bilbija F. Bilbija 21' M 6.15
31 J. Vickers J. Vickers G 0.00
23 J. Ward J. Ward 45' M 5.42
29 O. Fraulo O. Fraulo M 0.00
10 R. Brewster R. Brewster 45' F 6.35
24 R. Nyambe R. Nyambe D 0.00
11 S. Szmodics S. Szmodics 45' F 6.30
Swansea Swansea 4-3-3
22 L. Vigouroux L. Vigouroux G 6.22
14 J. Tymon J. Tymon D 6.75
23 S. Welsh S. Welsh D 7.96
26 F. Lissah F. Lissah D 7.81
2 J. Key J. Key D 7.74
6 M. Stamenić M. Stamenić M 6.71
4 J. Fulton J. Fulton 65' M 6.68
7 M. Widell M. Widell 65' M 6.58
10 Eom Ji-Sung Eom Ji-Sung 1 ⚽ 1 👟 85' F 8.71
33 A. Idah A. Idah 65' F 6.43
30 Joseph Okopu Joseph Okopu 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.80
Bench
1 A. Fisher A. Fisher G 0.00
8 E. Just E. Just 25' F 6.35
3 J. Seelt J. Seelt D 0.00
49 M. Yeo M. Yeo 66' M 7.20
35 Ronald Ronald 1 ⚽ 5' F 7.49
46 S. Eustáquio S. Eustáquio 1 👟 25' M 7.68
20 Tiago Parente Tiago Parente D 0.00
9 Z. Vipotnik Z. Vipotnik 25' F 7.03
Best on the pitch
Eom Ji-Sung
Eom Ji-Sung
F · Swansea
8.71
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 26 pass
S. Welsh
S. Welsh
D · Swansea
7.96
2 shots · 57 pass
F. Lissah
F. Lissah
D · Swansea
7.81
· 53 pass
Joseph Okopu
Joseph Okopu
F · Swansea
7.80
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
J. Key
J. Key
D · Swansea
7.74
· 41 pass
S. Eustáquio
S. Eustáquio
M · Swansea
7.68
1 👟
· 25 pass
Derby Derby — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Widell Zetterström G 90 6.89 — — 0 25 14% 0 — —
C. Taylor D 90 5.88 — — 1 48 37% 1 — —
D. Sanderson D 90 5.89 — — 0 48 44% 0 1 —
S. Langås D 90 5.51 — — 1 48 39% 0 1 —
M. Johnston D 45 5.18 — — 1 22 14% 0 — —
L. Travis M 86 5.69 — — 1 56 43% 4 1 —
A. Mowatt M 78 6.66 — — 0 53 49% 6 — —
C. Blackett-Taylor M 45 5.34 — — 0 8 5% 0 — —
B. Clark M 90 5.54 — — 1 24 16% 3 — —
R. Hedges M 45 5.79 — — 0 11 6% 2 — —
L. Salvesen F 69 6.42 — — 2 13 8% 0 — —
F. Bilbija M 21 6.15 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
J. Ward M 45 5.42 — — 0 28 19% 0 — —
R. Brewster F 45 6.35 — — 1 9 7% 0 — —
S. Szmodics F 45 6.30 — — 0 8 6% 1 — —
Swansea Swansea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Vigouroux G 90 6.22 — — 0 43 23% 0 — —
J. Tymon D 90 6.75 — — 0 40 33% 1 — —
S. Welsh D 90 7.96 — — 2 57 50% 1 — —
F. Lissah D 90 7.81 — — 0 53 46% 1 — —
J. Key D 90 7.74 — — 0 41 33% 5 — —
M. Stamenić M 90 6.71 — — 1 52 47% 1 1 —
J. Fulton M 65 6.68 — — 0 45 37% 5 — —
M. Widell M 65 6.58 — — 1 17 13% 3 — —
Eom Ji-Sung F 85 8.71 1 1 3 26 23% 1 — —
A. Idah F 65 6.43 — — 4 15 14% 0 — —
Joseph Okopu F 24 7.80 1 — 2 11 9% 0 — —
E. Just F 25 6.35 — — 2 17 13% 0 1 —
M. Yeo M 66 7.20 — — 2 22 20% 3 — —
Ronald F 5 7.49 1 — 2 8 8% 1 — —
S. Eustáquio M 25 7.68 — 1 0 25 23% 1 — —
Z. Vipotnik F 25 7.03 — — 4 3 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Derby vs Swansea?
The final score was Derby 0–3 Swansea.
What did the model predict before Derby vs Swansea?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Derby win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Swansea win.