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Championship · Regular Season - 6 September 09, 2026 20:45 Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Derby
#22 · 4 pts
0 – 1
Final score
West Brom
#2 · 14 pts
16' (ast. J. Morgan) Aune Heggebo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Brom a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Derby 30%). The final result was Derby 0–1 West Brom. In 3 previous meetings, Derby have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for West Brom.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
3
67%
Possession
33%
11
Corners
3
15
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
Harry Whitwell
16'
ast. J. Morgan · Aune Heggebo⚽
26'
Brayann Pereira
34'
Brayann Pereira
37'
Nolan Galves / Harry Whitwell ↕
↕ Dion Sanderson / Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
45'
45'
Rabby Nzingoula / Aune Heggebo ↕
↕ Ryan Hedges / Joe Ward
45'
52'
Conor Townsend / Nolan Galves ↕
↕ D. Ozoh / Henrik Wendel Meister
63'
82'
J. Morgan
↕ Eiran Joe Cashin / Corey Blackett-Taylor
84'
Pre-match prediction
30.88%
Derby
31.03%
X
38.08%
West ←
we assigned to the actual result (West Brom) 38.08% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Derby
1.16
—
—
West
1.79
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
Derby Derby 4-2-3-1
1 J. Widell Zetterström J. Widell Zetterström G 6.47
18 C. Taylor C. Taylor D 6.68
44 E. Cashin E. Cashin 84' D 7.09
6 S. Langås S. Langås D 6.73
28 D. Sanderson D. Sanderson 45' D 6.41
4 D. Ozoh D. Ozoh 63' M 6.53
20 A. Mowatt A. Mowatt M 6.99
16 M. Fuseini M. Fuseini M 6.57
8 B. Clark B. Clark M 6.36
26 R. Hedges R. Hedges 45' M 6.12
11 S. Szmodics S. Szmodics F 6.29
Bench
33 C. Blackett-Taylor C. Blackett-Taylor 6' F 6.75
19 H. Meister H. Meister 27' F 6.86
31 J. Vickers J. Vickers G 0.00
23 J. Ward J. Ward 45' M 7.13
15 L. Salvesen L. Salvesen 45' F 6.25
22 M. Johnston M. Johnston D 0.00
29 O. Fraulo O. Fraulo M 0.00
42 Raymond Offor Raymond Offor D 0.00
24 R. Nyambe R. Nyambe D 0.00
West Brom West Brom 4-4-2
1 M. O’Leary M. O’Leary G 7.00
4 C. Styles C. Styles D 6.08
6 G. Campbell G. Campbell D 6.57
3 N. Phillips N. Phillips D 7.36
18 B. Pereira B. Pereira 34' D 5.50
21 I. Price I. Price M 6.35
17 O. Diakité O. Diakité M 6.55
8 J. Molumby J. Molumby M 6.61
29 Harry Whitwell Harry Whitwell 37' M 6.29
11 J. Morgan J. Morgan 1 👟 F 6.81
19 A. Heggebø A. Heggebø 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.81
Bench
42 B. Cisse B. Cisse G 0.00
9 B. Stewart B. Stewart F 0.00
2 C. Mepham C. Mepham D 0.00
22 C. Townsend C. Townsend 38' D 6.71
7 F. Myhre F. Myhre M 0.00
26 K. Tunde K. Tunde F 0.00
25 N. Galves N. Galves 15' D 6.50
20 R. Nzingoula R. Nzingoula 45' M 6.44
15 Tobias Christopher Collyer Tobias Christopher Collyer M 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Heggebø
A. Heggebø
F · West
7.81
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
N. Phillips
N. Phillips
D · West
7.36
· 32 pass
J. Ward
J. Ward
M · Derby
7.13
· 23 pass
E. Cashin
E. Cashin
D · Derby
7.09
1 shots · 80 pass
M. O’Leary
M. O’Leary
G · West
7.00
· 35 pass
A. Mowatt
A. Mowatt
M · Derby
6.99
1 shots · 81 pass
Derby Derby — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Widell Zetterström G 90 6.47 — — 0 30 24% 0 — —
C. Taylor D 90 6.68 — — 0 66 61% 2 — —
E. Cashin D 84 7.09 — — 1 80 70% 0 — —
S. Langås D 90 6.73 — — 0 71 69% 1 — —
D. Sanderson D 45 6.41 — — 0 18 16% 1 — —
D. Ozoh M 63 6.53 — — 0 45 40% 4 — —
A. Mowatt M 90 6.99 — — 1 81 71% 0 — —
M. Fuseini M 90 6.57 — — 1 36 33% 3 — —
B. Clark M 90 6.36 — — 1 40 32% 2 — —
R. Hedges M 45 6.12 — — 1 17 17% 0 — —
S. Szmodics F 90 6.29 — — 3 26 23% 1 — —
C. Blackett-Taylor F 6 6.75 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
H. Meister F 27 6.86 — — 3 3 3% 0 — —
J. Ward M 45 7.13 — — 0 23 19% 1 — —
L. Salvesen F 45 6.25 — — 2 1 0% 0 — —
West Brom West Brom — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. O’Leary G 90 7.00 — — 0 35 16% 0 — —
C. Styles D 90 6.08 — — 0 25 18% 4 — —
G. Campbell D 90 6.57 — — 0 33 27% 0 — —
N. Phillips D 90 7.36 — — 0 32 28% 1 — —
B. Pereira D 34 5.50 — — 0 19 15% 1 — 1
I. Price M 90 6.35 — — 0 19 12% 0 — —
O. Diakité M 90 6.55 — — 1 28 25% 1 — —
J. Molumby M 90 6.61 — — 0 27 24% 3 — —
Harry Whitwell M 37 6.29 — — 0 17 9% 2 1 —
J. Morgan F 90 6.81 — 1 1 11 7% 1 1 —
A. Heggebø F 45 7.81 1 — 2 9 5% 1 — —
C. Townsend D 38 6.71 — — 0 11 9% 1 — —
N. Galves D 15 6.50 — — 0 4 2% 1 — —
R. Nzingoula M 45 6.44 — — 0 8 5% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Derby vs West Brom?
The final score was Derby 0–1 West Brom.
What did the model predict before Derby vs West Brom?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Derby win, 31% to a draw, and 38% to an West Brom win.