Premier Division
· Regular Season - 20
June 12, 2026 20:45
J. Clarke
(ast. K. Santos)
24'
C. Barr
55'
J. Clarke
61'
K. Santos
(ast. M. Duffy)
63'
17'
(ast. R. Tierney)
H. Vaughan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bohemians a 46% win probability (draw 25%, Derry City 28%). The final result was Derry City 4–1 Bohemians. In 2 previous meetings, Derry City have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Bohemians.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
2
3.23
Actual xG
0.81
1
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
6
Corners
6
17
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
17'
ast. R. Tierney ·
H. Vaughan⚽
⚽J. Clarke
· ast. K. Santos
24'
P. McClean
29'
B. Cotter
/ J. Olayinka
46'
⚽C. Barr
55'
60'
J. Flores
/
S. Diallo
60'
C. Parsons
/
D. Rooney
⚽J. Clarke
61'
⚽K. Santos
· ast. M. Duffy
63'
C. Dummigan
67'
69'
R. Burke
/
H. Vaughan
69'
A. McDonnell
/
C. Byrne
74'
J. Flores
75'
R. Tierney
J. Olayinka
/ L. Boyce
78'
79'
Z. Myers
/
R. Tierney
82'
Z. Myers
⚽J. Clarke
(missed pen.)
83'
M. Duffy
/ J. McClean
87'
K. Santos
/ H. Rylah
87'
D. Markey
/ C. Downey
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
28.41%
Derry ←
25.49%
X
46.09%
Bohemians
we assigned to the actual result (Derry City)
28.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.01
3.23
+2.22
1.60
0.81
-0.79
Derry City dominated by xG (3.23 vs 0.81).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Eddie Beach
G
19
B. Fleming
D
B. Fleming
D
3
Patrick McClean
D
Patrick McClean
D
22
Conor Barr
1 ⚽
D
2
B. Cotter
45'
D
B. Cotter
45'
D
23
C. Dummigan
M
C. Dummigan
M
8
A. O'Reilly
M
A. O'Reilly
M
7
M. Duffy
1 👟
87'
M
M. Duffy
1 👟
87'
M
10
D. Markey
M
D. Markey
M
21
Kévin Santos
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
M
15
J. Clarke
2 ⚽
F
J. Clarke
2 ⚽
F
Bench
14
Ben Doherty
D
Ben Doherty
D
31
Callum Downey
M
Callum Downey
M
20
Carl Winchester
M
Carl Winchester
M
24
Henry Rylah
6'
M
Henry Rylah
6'
M
28
James Olayinka
33'
M
16
J. McClean
6'
D
J. McClean
6'
D
27
Liam Boyce
15'
F
Liam Boyce
15'
F
26
Shea Callister
G
Shea Callister
G
32
Terence Doherty
F
Terence Doherty
F
25
Paul Walters
G
22
Sam Todd
D
12
P. Hickey
D
P. Hickey
D
24
Cian Byrne
69'
D
11
D. Rooney
60'
M
D. Rooney
60'
M
5
Sadou Diallo
60'
M
10
D. Devoy
M
D. Devoy
M
16
Darragh Power
M
26
R. Tierney
1 👟
79'
F
R. Tierney
1 👟
79'
F
8
H. Vaughan
1 ⚽
69'
F
H. Vaughan
1 ⚽
69'
F
9
C. Whelan
F
C. Whelan
F
Bench
17
A. McDonnell
24'
M
A. McDonnell
24'
M
7
Connor Parsons
33'
F
Connor Parsons
33'
F
30
Finn McDonnell
G
Finn McDonnell
G
6
J. Flores
33'
M
J. Flores
33'
M
20
Leigh Kavanagh
D
Leigh Kavanagh
D
4
Niall Morahan
M
Niall Morahan
M
3
Ryan Burke
24'
D
Ryan Burke
24'
D
15
Senan Mullen
D
Senan Mullen
D
23
Zane Myers
14'
D
Zane Myers
14'
D
Best on the pitch
Kévin Santos
M · Derry
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 21 pass
J. Clarke
F · Derry
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 13 pass
Conor Barr
D · Derry
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
D. Rooney
M · Bohemians
7.90
3 shots
· 19 pass
B. Fleming
D · Derry
7.30
1 shots
· 32 pass
James Olayinka
M · Derry
7.30
· 11 pass
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Beach | G | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 17% | — | — | — |
| B. Fleming | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Patrick McClean | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 25% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Conor Barr | D | 93 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Cotter | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Dummigan | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. O'Reilly | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Duffy | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D. Markey | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Kévin Santos | M | 87 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Clarke | F | 93 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 5 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Henry Rylah | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| James Olayinka | M | 33 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| J. McClean | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liam Boyce | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Bohemians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Walters | G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Sam Todd | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Hickey | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Cian Byrne | D | 69 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 31% | — | — | — |
| D. Rooney | M | 60 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| Sadou Diallo | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Devoy | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Darragh Power | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Tierney | F | 79 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 15% | 4 | 1 | — |
| H. Vaughan | F | 69 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Whelan | F | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. McDonnell | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Connor Parsons | F | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Flores | M | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| Ryan Burke | D | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Zane Myers | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Derry City vs Bohemians?
The final score was Derry City 4–1 Bohemians.
What did the model predict before Derry City vs Bohemians?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Derry City win, 25% to a draw, and 46% to an Bohemians win.