Premier Division
· Regular Season - 20
June 12, 2026 20:45
J. Clarke
(ast. K. Santos)
24'
C. Barr
55'
J. Clarke
61'
K. Santos
(ast. M. Duffy)
63'
17'
(ast. R. Tierney)
H. Vaughan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bohemians a 46% win probability (draw 25%, Derry City 28%). The final result was Derry City 4–1 Bohemians. In 3 previous meetings, Derry City have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Bohemians.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
2
3.23
Actual xG
0.81
1
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
6
Corners
6
17
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
17'
ast. R. Tierney ·
H. Vaughan⚽
⚽J. Clarke
· ast. K. Santos
24'
P. McClean
29'
B. Cotter
/ J. Olayinka
46'
⚽C. Barr
55'
60'
J. Flores
/
S. Diallo
60'
C. Parsons
/
D. Rooney
⚽J. Clarke
61'
⚽K. Santos
· ast. M. Duffy
63'
C. Dummigan
67'
69'
R. Burke
/
H. Vaughan
69'
A. McDonnell
/
C. Byrne
74'
J. Flores
75'
R. Tierney
J. Olayinka
/ L. Boyce
78'
79'
Z. Myers
/
R. Tierney
82'
Z. Myers
⚽J. Clarke
(missed pen.)
83'
M. Duffy
/ J. McClean
87'
K. Santos
/ H. Rylah
87'
D. Markey
/ C. Downey
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
28.41%
Derry ←
25.49%
X
46.09%
Bohemians
we assigned to the actual result (Derry City)
28.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.01
3.23
+2.22
1.60
0.81
-0.79
Derry City dominated by xG (3.23 vs 0.81).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
E. Beach
G
E. Beach
G
19
B. Fleming
D
B. Fleming
D
3
Patrick McClean
D
Patrick McClean
D
22
C. Barr
1 ⚽
D
C. Barr
1 ⚽
D
2
B. Cotter
45'
D
23
C. Dummigan
M
C. Dummigan
M
8
A. O'Reilly
M
A. O'Reilly
M
7
M. Duffy
1 👟
87'
M
M. Duffy
1 👟
87'
M
10
D. Markey
M
D. Markey
M
21
Kévin Santos
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
M
Kévin Santos
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
M
15
J. Clarke
2 ⚽
F
J. Clarke
2 ⚽
F
Bench
14
B. Doherty
D
31
Callum Downey
M
Callum Downey
M
20
Carl Winchester
M
24
Henry Rylah
6'
M
Henry Rylah
6'
M
16
J. McClean
6'
D
J. McClean
6'
D
28
J. Olayinka
33'
M
J. Olayinka
33'
M
27
L. Boyce
15'
F
L. Boyce
15'
F
26
Shea Callister
G
32
T. Doherty
F
T. Doherty
F
25
P. Walters
G
P. Walters
G
22
S. Todd
D
S. Todd
D
12
P. Hickey
D
P. Hickey
D
24
C. Byrne
69'
D
C. Byrne
69'
D
11
D. Rooney
60'
M
D. Rooney
60'
M
5
S. Diallo
60'
M
S. Diallo
60'
M
10
D. Devoy
M
D. Devoy
M
16
D. Power
M
D. Power
M
26
R. Tierney
1 👟
79'
F
R. Tierney
1 👟
79'
F
8
H. Vaughan
1 ⚽
69'
F
H. Vaughan
1 ⚽
69'
F
9
C. Whelan
F
C. Whelan
F
Bench
17
A. McDonnell
24'
M
A. McDonnell
24'
M
7
C. Parsons
33'
F
C. Parsons
33'
F
30
Finn McDonnell
G
Finn McDonnell
G
6
J. Flores
33'
M
J. Flores
33'
M
20
Leigh Kavanagh
D
Leigh Kavanagh
D
4
N. Morahan
M
N. Morahan
M
3
R. Burke
24'
D
R. Burke
24'
D
15
S. Mullen
D
S. Mullen
D
23
Zane Myers
14'
D
Zane Myers
14'
D
Best on the pitch
Kévin Santos
M · Derry
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 21 pass
J. Clarke
F · Derry
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 13 pass
C. Barr
D · Derry
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
D. Rooney
M · Bohemians
7.90
3 shots
· 19 pass
B. Fleming
D · Derry
7.30
1 shots
· 32 pass
J. Olayinka
M · Derry
7.30
· 11 pass
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Beach | G | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 17% | — | — | — |
| B. Fleming | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Patrick McClean | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 25% | 4 | 1 | — |
| C. Barr | D | 93 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Cotter | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Dummigan | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. O'Reilly | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Duffy | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D. Markey | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Kévin Santos | M | 87 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| J. Clarke | F | 93 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 5 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Henry Rylah | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| J. McClean | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Olayinka | M | 33 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Boyce | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Bohemians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Walters | G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | — | — | — |
| S. Todd | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Hickey | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 46% | — | — | — |
| C. Byrne | D | 69 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 31% | — | — | — |
| D. Rooney | M | 60 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 11% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Diallo | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Devoy | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Power | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Tierney | F | 79 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 15% | 4 | 1 | — |
| H. Vaughan | F | 69 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Whelan | F | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. McDonnell | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Parsons | F | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Flores | M | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Burke | D | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Zane Myers | D | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Derry City vs Bohemians?
The final score was Derry City 4–1 Bohemians.
What did the model predict before Derry City vs Bohemians?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Derry City win, 25% to a draw, and 46% to an Bohemians win.