James Clarke
12'
Michael Duffy
(ast. Darragh Burns)
71'
79'
shane tracey
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Derry City a 56% win probability (draw 22%, Dundalk 21%). The final result was Derry City 2–1 Dundalk. In 3 previous meetings, Derry City have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Dundalk.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
12
8
Shots on target
5
1.76
Actual xG
0.82
3
Saves
5
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
5
24
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽James Clarke
12'
Darragh Burns
43'
53'
Keith Buckley
56'
Harry Groome
/
Declan McDaid
56'
Robert Cornwall
/
Egor Vassenin
59'
Trevor Clarke
Adam O'Reilly
/ Darragh Markey
67'
69'
Harvey Warren
/
Tyreke Wilson
69'
Cian dillon
/
Trevor Clarke
69'
shane tracey
/
Keith Buckley
⚽Michael Duffy
· ast. Darragh Burns
71'
Michael Duffy
/ Gavin Whyte
74'
Darragh Burns
/ Kévin Santos
74'
79'
shane tracey⚽
James Clarke
/ Terence Doherty
87'
Cameron Dummigan
/ Conor Barry
87'
Ellis Chapman
89'
Pre-match prediction
56.16%
Derry ←
22.8%
X
21.04%
Dundalk
we assigned to the actual result (Derry City)
56.16%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
1.76
-0.22
1.08
0.82
-0.26
Derry City dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.82).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
B. Maher
G
B. Maher
G
3
Patrick McClean
D
Patrick McClean
D
4
J. Stott
D
J. Stott
D
23
C. Dummigan
87'
D
C. Dummigan
87'
D
19
B. Fleming
M
B. Fleming
M
14
E. Chapman
M
E. Chapman
M
8
A. O'Reilly
67'
M
A. O'Reilly
67'
M
12
D. Burns
1 👟
74'
M
D. Burns
1 👟
74'
M
7
M. Duffy
1 ⚽
74'
F
M. Duffy
1 ⚽
74'
F
17
N. Twisk
F
N. Twisk
F
15
J. Clarke
1 ⚽
87'
F
J. Clarke
1 ⚽
87'
F
Bench
24
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
D
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
D
22
C. Barr
3'
D
C. Barr
3'
D
25
Christy Grogan
D
Christy Grogan
D
10
D. Markey
23'
M
D. Markey
23'
M
11
G. Whyte
16'
M
G. Whyte
16'
M
21
Kévin Santos
16'
M
Kévin Santos
16'
M
32
T. Doherty
3'
F
T. Doherty
3'
F
13
Tom Norcott
G
Tom Norcott
G
29
T. Smith
F
T. Smith
F
1
E. Minogue
G
E. Minogue
G
22
T. Wilson
69'
D
T. Wilson
69'
D
16
E. Vassenin
56'
D
E. Vassenin
56'
D
44
T. Grivosti
D
T. Grivosti
D
3
B. Burns
D
B. Burns
D
6
A. Dervin
M
A. Dervin
M
18
K. Buckley
69'
M
K. Buckley
69'
M
15
T. Clarke
69'
M
T. Clarke
69'
M
7
D. Horgan
M
D. Horgan
M
27
D. McDaid
56'
M
D. McDaid
56'
M
11
R. Teahan
F
R. Teahan
F
Bench
9
C. Dillon
21'
F
C. Dillon
21'
F
8
H. Groome
34'
M
H. Groome
34'
M
5
H. Warren
21'
D
H. Warren
21'
D
10
Leonardo Gaxha
F
Leonardo Gaxha
F
12
L. Mulligan
D
L. Mulligan
D
14
Norman Garbett
M
Norman Garbett
M
13
P. Cherrie
G
P. Cherrie
G
24
R. Cornwall
34'
D
R. Cornwall
34'
D
17
S. Tracey
1 ⚽
21'
M
S. Tracey
1 ⚽
21'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Clarke
F · Derry
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
M. Duffy
F · Derry
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 31 pass
C. Dummigan
D · Derry
7.34
· 53 pass
Patrick McClean
D · Derry
7.22
· 56 pass
B. Maher
G · Derry
7.05
· 50 pass
D. Burns
M · Derry
7.05
1 👟
2 shots
· 23 pass
Derry City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Maher | G | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 43% | 0 | — | — |
| Patrick McClean | D | 90 | 7.22 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Stott | D | 90 | 6.74 | — | — | 0 | 70 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Dummigan | D | 87 | 7.34 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 43% | 7 | — | — |
| B. Fleming | M | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Chapman | M | 90 | 6.48 | — | — | 3 | 55 | 40% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. O'Reilly | M | 67 | 6.69 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Burns | M | 74 | 7.05 | — | 1 | 2 | 23 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Duffy | F | 74 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 31 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Twisk | F | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Clarke | F | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Barr | D | 3 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Markey | M | 23 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Whyte | M | 16 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Kévin Santos | M | 16 | 6.29 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Doherty | F | 3 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
Dundalk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Minogue | G | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Wilson | D | 69 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Vassenin | D | 56 | 5.41 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Grivosti | D | 90 | 5.66 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Burns | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 28% | 6 | — | — |
| A. Dervin | M | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Buckley | M | 69 | 5.62 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Clarke | M | 69 | 5.86 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Horgan | M | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| D. McDaid | M | 56 | 5.86 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Teahan | F | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Dillon | F | 21 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Groome | M | 34 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Warren | D | 21 | 5.85 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Cornwall | D | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Tracey | M | 21 | 6.96 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Derry City vs Dundalk?
The final score was Derry City 2–1 Dundalk.
What did the model predict before Derry City vs Dundalk?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Derry City win, 22% to a draw, and 21% to an Dundalk win.